NFL Week 11 Line Movement Analysis: Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

by Kurt Blakeway |
Nov 14, 2023

Two great games bookend the Week 11 slate, starting with an AFC North battle between the Bengals and Ravens on Thursday Night, while we get a Super Bowl rematch for our main event on Monday Night.

As always, we keep tabs on all the NFL and track all significant line movements.

NFL Week 11 Line Movement

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns

Open: Browns -3.5
Current: Browns -4

After a stunning win against the Ravens, the Browns opened up as 3.5-point home favorites against the Steelers. Steelers are coming off a win of their own as both teams sit at 6-3.

Browns QB Deshaun Watson was seen leaving the stadium in a walking boot but went on record saying he is fine and will play this upcoming week.

Early money is coming in on the Browns, as the market now has them as four-point favorites.

Los Angeles Chargers @ Green Bay Packers

Open: Chargers -3
Current: Chargers -3.5

Both teams are coming off a heartbreaking loss in week 10. Los Angeles now has to travel across the country to take on the Packers in Lambeau Field.

The Chargers opened up as a three-point road favorite, but with early money coming in on L.A., it jumped up to 3.5 by Monday morning.

It's also worth noting that the total opened up at 42, and as of Tuesday morning, it has gone up to 44.5.

Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans

Open: Texans -5.5
Current: Texans -4

There is a lot of line movement in this game. The look-ahead line had the Texans laying 3.5 points; after an impressive win over the Bengals, this line reopened with the Texans as 5.5-point home favorites.

By Monday morning, this line had dropped to 4. Are bettors back on the Kyler Murray hype train?

New York Giants @ Washington Commanders

Open: Commanders -8.5
Current: Commanders -10

With Tommy Devito under center, the Giants may have the worst offense in the league. The Giants were outgained 640-172 to the Cowboys in their 17-49 loss. Devito has no business being an NFL QB, and bettors are recognizing that.

The Commanders opened as 8.5-point favorites, and within a few hours, this line ballooned up to 10.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins

Open: Dolphins -10
Current: Dolphins -12

New Head Coach Antonio Pierce has brought new energy to the Raider and has gone 2-0 since taking over the coaching duties.

Despite the recent success, bettors are laying big money on the Miami Dolphins. This line opened up with the Dolphins as 10-point home chalk, and as of Tuesday morning, they are now laying 12 points.

Miami will have a significant rest advantage after coming off their week 10 bye. The Raiders, on the other hand, just played on Sunday night and will now have to travel across the country to Miami.

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams

Open: Seahawks -3
Current: Seahawks -1

After a last-second victory against Washington, the Seahawks open week 12 as three-point road favorites against the Rams.

The Rams took full advantage of their week 10 bye, as they had a chance to get healthy. Matthew Stafford is expected to play Sunday, which may be why this number came down two points.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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