NFL Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Underdog Bets (2023)

Listen, I absolutely love the Texans this year and what CJ stroud has done and we saw them come through for us last week against the Bengals, but I’m going to take the Cardinals here this week. There’s something to be said about the mindset of these teams when they enter a game as an Underdog vs as a Favorite. This Texans team is not used to being a favorite and may get too comfortable at home against a mediocre Cardinals team after their big win.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals are looking like a brand new team with the return of Kyler Murray and James Conner. It was evident in last week’s win that the rest of this team is playing more inspired football with Murray at the helm. This team can be really pesky over the 2nd half of the season and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Murray lead them to several close finishes and even some upsets down the stretch.

I believe the Vikings can win this game outright if their defense can step up to the task on the road on Sunday Night Football. Russell Wilson has been playing good, mistake-free football and RB Javonte Williams is finally looking healthy like the explosive runner we saw in his rookie year. The Vikings may be without RB Alexander Mattison in this game, but could see a huge boost with the potential return of star WR Justin Jefferson if he is able to suit up. The confidence of QB Josh Dobbs and the rest of this team can only increase once their stud WR steps back onto the field and takes some pressure off everyone.

Look for the Vikings run to continue on Sunday Night Football in Denver.

On Monday Night Football, we will have a Super Bowl Rematch and potentially the regular season game of the year in 2023. After a Chiefs win in the Super Bowl, I am going to take the other side here and take the Eagles +3 in the rematch. Typically, going against Andy Reid after a bye week is a bad move as he has a 27-11 record when his team has 10+ days of rest between games. But, looking closer at the numbers, Reid is only 20-18 against the spread in those games and is actually 11-13 against the spread in those games with the Chiefs. On top of that, this Eagles team is probably better than most of the teams Reid has faced in those games in the past. Therefore, I don’t mind taking a great Eagles team at +3 here, even though it never feels good going against Mahomes and Reid in a big game.

Jalen Hurts should be a lot healthier now, as he had some nagging injuries before the bye week. Replacing Dallas Goedert will be a big task, but the Eagles should be able to run the ball effectively and find AJ Brown and Devonta Smith through the air to pull of a huge win and get revenge on the Chiefs from Super Bowl 57.