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NFL Week 11 Sleeper Picks Player Predictions (2023)

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Welcome to Sleeper Picks! Sleeper’s newest offering promised plenty of entertainment and action, and they delivered. We will break down our top three picks for this week’s NFL action. Similar to fantasy sports, the goal in Sleeper Picks is to draft a team of players based on who you think will perform better than the field. But with Sleeper Picks, you pick teams of 2-8 players from multiple teams based on your preferences and predict whether those players will score more or less than a predetermined amount. There are a number of ways to play and a variety of strategies to employ, and we’ll guide you through the process each week. 

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NFL Week 11 Sleeper Picks 

Season record: 18-21

David Montgomery (RB – DET): OVER 49.5 rushing yards

This is an immediate attack total that has been set at a number so appealing that it makes you feel like this is a trap. Monty has recorded 67 or more rushing yards in five of six games this season, with 109 or more in three of his last four. Monty was going to eat this week regardless of opponent, but with the Chicago Bears on tap, expect the Lions offensive line to be extra motivated to help their lead runner have a big game. Gamescript will also be on his side, so there should be more than enough backfield touches for both Monty and Jahmyr Gibbs. Gibbs will continue to see an expanded role, but Monty embodies the identity of the Lions team as a whole and is still the runner with better vision at this point of Gibbs’ career. Mash the More on Monty for Week 11. 

Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC): OVER 0.5 pass yards

Sleeper Picks has a promo total for Monday Night Football on Patrick Mahomes for just 0.5 passing yards. It has a static 1.77 multiplier and can be combined with any of your top plays for the next four days. It can only be used once, so be sure to pair it with two other high-probability totals in order to do your best to ensure you are adding to your wallet. I won’t bore you with stats on a one pass total. Just be sure to include this in one of your tickets over the next few days.

Josh Dobbs (QB – MIN): OVER 0.5 pass yards

Surprisingly, Sleeper Picks has two full promo lines for Week 11. Well, they actually had four, as Lamar had a 0.5 passing yards total for Thursday Night Football, and there was also a mini promo on Joe Burrow. The suggestion here is to stick to the 99% promos that offer 0.5 passing yards, 0.5 receiving yards, or 0.5 points (for NBA). There are two NFL promo totals for this weekend, but you can only use one per ticket. Both the Dobbs and Mahomes over 0.5 pass yard totals should be utilized for this weekend if at all possible. Dobbs has been quite the entertaining storyline since being traded to the Vikings, and having some no-sweat action on him this weekend should only increase the entertainment value when Dobbs and the Vikings take on the Denver Broncos on Sunday Night Football.

CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL): OVER 82.5 receiving yards

CeeDee Lamb has been going absolutely bonkers since Week 6, recording 117 or more receiving yards in four straight games. He has averaged a league-high 10.3 receptions, 154 receiving yards, and 155 air yards per game over that span. I expected this total to be in the mid to high 90s, so I am pleasantly surprised. With that said, this is a higher total than can be found elsewhere, so that should be taken into consideration. Projected to record 91.4 receiving yards, I would be surprised to see him post less than 100 against the depleted secondary of the Carolina Panthers. Ride with CeeDee until the wheels fall off, especially against teams without a shutdown corner.

Writers note: The lines are constantly changing on Sleeper, so there is a high probability that one or all of the numbers may no longer be the same when you open your app. There are excellent values when they are first posted, with the only catch being that they are not all released at the same time. Vigilance could provide a solid return on investment this season, literally.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.

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