NFL Week 11 Teaser Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points like 6, 6.5, or 7 in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow
- Never Cross over 0
- Tease through two key numbers, ideally 3 & 7.
- Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or less.
Below are three teaser options for Week 11, along with my best bet.
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Week 11 Teaser Options
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pittsburgh Steelers from +1.5 to +7.5 vs. Cleveland Browns
The Deshaun Watson news puts the Steelers in a perfect spot to use as a teaser option. Rookie QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson is making his second career start. His first start earlier this year against the Ravens was not great. DTR went 19 for 36 for 121 yards and threw three interceptions as the Browns lost 28-3.
The Steeler’s offense is not much better, as they have been outgained in every game thus far, but still post a 6-3 record. Regression will come soon, and the Browns’ defense should keep them in this game alone.
With a low total of 33, this may be an ugly one to watch and will likely end with either team by a touchdown or less.
Washington Commanders from -8.5 to -2.5 vs. New York Giants
Once again, Tommy Devito will be the starting QB for the New York Giants. If you watch last week’s game against the Cowboys, he has no business being an NFL starting QB.
While Sam Howell is the most sacked QB in the NFL, he also leads the league in completions and passing yards. This offense can be explosive at times, and I think we see that this week against a demotivated Giants team.
Philadelphia Eagles from +2.5 to +8.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Revenge anyone? The Eagles travel to Kansas City on Monday Night, looking for revenge after losing to the Chiefs in last year’s Super Bowl.
Currently, the Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites, but I’ll deem that to be home-field advantage. The Eagles are the better team and have a great shot at winning outright. Teasing them to +8.5 gives an extra cushion in case something crazy happens late.
Detroit Lions from -7.5 to -1.5 vs. Chicago Bears
This line opened at 9, but with the news that Justin Fields is available to play, it has dropped to where it is now 7.5.
I am happy Fields is playing; this should make the Lions take this game a bit more seriously and not totally sleepwalk into this game.
While the Lions can easily cover the 7.5 spread, the potential look ahead to the Thanksgiving showdown could hinder this team a bit. Teasing them below a field goal seems ideal.
Best Bet: Week 11 6-pt teaser
Eagles +8.5 / Commanders -2.5 (-120 odds via DraftKings)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:
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- NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 11)
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