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NFL Week 12 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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We are already looking at Week 12 games in the NFL before Week 11 even begins.

Our goal is to find some +EV bets in advance for Week 12.

Let’s find some value!

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Early NFL Week 12 Best Bets

All wagers are 1 unit | Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants

The Patriots will be coming off a bye week. After a loss to the Colts in Germany and questions at quarterback, it’s hard to imagine the Patriots coming into Week 12 with a solid offensive performance.

The Giants are good defensively, and they’ve been more consistent recently when you take away their game against the Cowboys last weekend.

Meanwhile, New York’s chances of scoring are even more slim. With Tommy DeVito running the show, the Giants will likely struggle to find points against the Patriots in this game.

This total will trend downward once the Giants score a few points against the Commanders in Week 11.

Bet: Under 35.5 (-115)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6.5-point favorites at home against the Titans. If the Jaguars win, we’ll all shrug our shoulders. If they lose, we’ll question whether Trevor Lawrence is the answer in Jacksonville.

On the other hand, the Texans will face the Cardinals at home. If Houston’s C.J. Stroud outplays Kyler Murray, many bettors will move Houston’s line at home. If the Texans win on Sunday, they should become favorites against the Jaguars.

So, let’s grab that +1.5 line before it turns to -1.5.

Bet: Texans +1.5 (-105)

Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos

The Browns looked better offensively in Week 10 against the Ravens. But Cleveland’s offense typically weakens against the Steelers. Now with Deshaun Watson ruled out, the offense will definitely have its setbacks.

Pittsburgh has performed poorly in the secondary, but the Steelers still have a significant pass rush that can create chaos. If the Browns struggle to score points against the Steelers with P.J. Walker and lose at home, many bettors will question Cleveland’s quarterback position heading into Week 12 against the Broncos.

On the other hand, the Broncos will face Joshua Dobbs and the Vikings before this game against the Browns. With the public so high on Joshua Dobbs, if Denver can silence the Vikings’ offense like they were in the second half in Week 10, the Under will start to be bet a little more.

Getting this bet in at Under 41 is solid. I was expecting it to be lower right off the bat, since Denver’s defense made Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes look silly.

Bet: Under 41 (-110)

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

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