NFL Week 12 Early Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

by Nick MacDonald |
Nov 21, 2023

For me, Thanksgiving marks the point in the season where it feels like every game is more important. Whether you're cheering for a potential division winner, a wild card run or a shot at Caleb Williams, Drake Maye or Marvin Harrison Jr. fans can start scoreboard-watching and tracking what they need to happen from here on out.

The Week 12 Early Week Parlay reflects how I expect teams to close out this season.

NFL Week 12 Early Parlay

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Leg 1: Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Under 40.5 (-115)

It was announced this week that Aaron Rodgers is targeting Dec. 2 to return to practice. Ever since there have been rumors about Rodgers potentially returning this season, it has seemed like the Jets have been trying to hold onto a chance at squeaking into the playoffs. If it wasn't for the potential return of Rodgers, I think this team might have mailed it in sooner. Still, at least for a couple more weeks, I expect the Jets to be game-planning for this season and not next.

For New York to have a chance at winning this week and extending their playoff hopes, they will have to rely on defense. Tim Boyle was announced as the Week 12 starter, so it's unlikely weâ€™ll see a big offensive breakout game for the Jets.

The Miami offense has been far less explosive than it was at the beginning of the season. The Dolphins have averaged only 17 points per game the past two weeks, going 1-1 against the Chiefs and Raiders.

For a highly motivated Jets team to win this game, I think it will need to be a low-scoring affair, so my lean is to the under 40.5 points.

Leg 2: Carolina Panthers @ Tennessee Titans Under 37.5 (-115)

I would love the under in this game if Carolina owned their own 2024 first-round pick. Even though they don't, I still like the under based on what we've seen from them this season.

The Panthers are averaging 16.3 points on the season and haven't scored more than 15 points in a game in over a month.

The Titans only average 16.8 points per game this season and have their own pick. With a 3-7 record and sitting last in the AFC South, the Titans do not have a lot left to play for this season. They may start using these games to evaluate and experiment with what they have at the quarterback position in preparation for having an early pick in a strong 2024 quarterback class.

I like the under 37.5 in a game with two bad offenses.

Leg 3: Los Angeles Rams +1.5 @ Arizona Cardinals (-120)

The NFC playoff race is pretty bad. At 4-6, the Rams are tied for eighth place, only 1.5 games back of Minnesota and two games back of Seattle for the last wild card spot. Matthew Stafford returned in Week 11 for a win against the Seattle Seahawks. Stafford also played in Week 6 when the Rams beat the Cardinals 26-9.

Kyler Murray also returned in Week 11 after recovering from an ACL injury suffered last season. This Arizona team is much better with him playing quarterback, but sitting at 2-9 currently with the second-worst record in the league, the front office might just be looking ahead at Marvin Harrison Jr. in this upcoming draft.

Outside of current standings, the Rams are 12-2 against Arizona dating back to 2017 when Sean McVay took over as the head coach. I'm looking for McVay and the Rams to continue their winning trend in Arizona, where McVay has never lost as coach of the Rams.

Threeâ€“Leg Parlay Odds: (+541)

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday:

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