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NFL Week 13 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Last week, I suggested backing the Giants-Patriots Under 35.5. That number has dropped to 33.5. I also acknowledged the Texans at +1.5 (-105). While that line hasn’t changed much, the odds have shifted from -105 to -110.

Finally, I had the Broncos-Browns matchup at Under 41. That number has been driven down to 35.

That’s the goal of this article. We’re looking for value ahead of the Week 12 matchups for Week 13. Here are three bets to consider for potential +EV bets.

    Early NFL Week 13 Best Bets

    All wagers are 1 unit | Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

    Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans

    There aren’t many ways for the Titans to drive up the price of their game against the Colts. The Titans are taking on the Panthers in Week 12.

    The Titans could beat the Panthers, and everyone would shrug their shoulders. However, a loss for the Titans would move the Tennessee line against the Colts to push the Colts as favorites.

    Meanwhile, the Colts are at home against the Buccaneers in Week 12.

    If the Titans lose to the Panthers and the Colts add a win against the Buccaneers, Indianapolis will be favored by kick-off next weekend.

    Bet: Colts +1 (-115)

    Arizona Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

    The Pittsburgh Steelers continue to play close games throughout the year. Sure, they’re above .500, but analytically, it’s not really deserved.

    They’ve got great coaching and leadership from Mike Tomlin, but Pittsburgh just fired their offensive coordinator despite having a winning record. That’s where things are right now in Pittsburgh.

    The Steelers will face the Bengals on the road in Week 12. A loss to Jake Browning and the Bengals is undoubtedly possible. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are at home against the Rams.

    The offense has looked much better with Kyler Murray and James Conner back. That includes Trey McBride, who has instantly become a top-five tight end in the NFL.

    If the Cardinals win and the Steelers lose, that price for the Cardinals could jump under that +3 number. We get +3.5 right now. I’ll take it.

    Bet: Cardinals +3.5  (-105)

    Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots

    The New England Patriots have a road game against the New York Giants on Sunday. It’s unclear who the Patriots will even start at quarterback in that game. They’re 3-point favorites, but a loss to the Giants is definitely in the cards on Sunday.

    Meanwhile, the Chargers will face the Ravens on Sunday Night Football. It’s a loss to the Ravens, and nobody will care. But a win against the Ravens at home will help move the Chargers-Patriots line in our favor.

    The Chargers are sitting at -4, but I don’t see how New England will keep up with Los Angeles. If the Patriots lose to the Giants and the Chargers keep it close against the Ravens, the money will roll over on the Chargers.

    Bet: Chargers -4 (-110)

    Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

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