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NFL Week 13 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Best Futures Bets (2023)

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This week’s future bets take aim at the #1 seed in both conferences by taking advantage of some plus money odds on the Chiefs and 49ers, both of which currently sit at 2nd in their respective conferences. I’ve also included a future on Tyreek Hill to win OPOY, who currently sits at plus odds despite the fact that he’s on pace to set the NFL record for receiving yards in a single season. Note that these prices obviously vary between books, but I’ve highlighted where the best prices can be found for each market.

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NFL Week 13: Best Futures Bets

Tyreek Hill to win Offensive Player of the Year (+105 @ DraftKings)

Before the 2023 season began, Tyreek Hill declared that he wanted to be the first receiver ever to reach the 2,000-yard mark – and he’s currently on pace to do so. He’s the favorite to win this award at nearly every book, but this market at DraftKings actually has him as the second favorite behind Christian McCaffrey. While McCaffrey has also had a whale of a season, Hill has actually outgained him in terms of yards from scrimmage by 15 yards even though McCaffrey has multiple avenues to getting the ball and gets far more touches per game.

Speaking of touches, Hill leads the NFL in yards per touch at 14.8 in addition to his league-leading receiving yards (1,324), receiving touchdowns (10) and receiving yards per game (120.4). You can pitch a logical argument that several different players on the 49ers are more important than McCaffrey in terms of offensive success, but there is no such debate to be had with Hill and the Dolphins. If he can get to that 2,000-yard mark, I don’t see any way how he doesn’t win this award (and I do think he’ll get there). This is a great price to take advantage of at DraftKings, and the prices that you see at other books are reflective of that sentiment.

Kansas City Chiefs to be the No. 1 Overall Seed in the AFC (+125 @ DraftKings)

The Chiefs currently sit at the second seed in the conference, trailing only the 9-3 Ravens by a half-game for the top spot. They have head-to-head wins over fellow 8-3 teams Jacksonville and Miami, which is huge for tie-breaker purposes if those teams were to end up with identical records at the end of the season.

Regarding the Ravens, while they have looked to be the most complete team in the NFL for stretches of the season, they just loss perhaps their most important receiving threat in tight end Mark Andrews and they have a gauntlet of a schedule remaining. Their only game left against a team below 0.500 comes against a 5-6 Los Angeles Rams team that is fighting for a spot in the NFC playoffs, and they still have to go to Jacksonville and San Francisco before hosting Miami and Pittsburgh.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs have by far the easiest remaining schedule of the three-loss AFC teams with their only remaining game against a team above 0.500 coming at home against the Buffalo Bills in Week 14. Despite the “offensive struggles” of the Chiefs this season, they still have a top-10 unit in terms of both points and yards per possession and they have paired that with a defense that ranks top-five in both points and yards allowed per possession. Simply put, the Chiefs are still one of the best all-around teams in football, they have a very favorable schedule down the stretch, and they hold tie breakers over teams immediately following them in the standings. This same prop is minus odds at many other books, so I’d jump on this bet at DK while the price is still at plus money.

San Francisco 49ers to be the No. 1 Overall Seed in the NFC (+450 @ BetMGM)

The 49ers have officially recovered from their midseason swoon when they dropped three consecutive games without the services of Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams. They’ve won three consecutive games by 13+ points coming out of their bye week. San Francisco currently trails the 10-1 Philadelphia Eagles by two games in the conference, which is paramount going into this week’s matchup in Philadelphia. The 49ers opened this week as short underdogs but their side has since been pounded by sharp money, moving that line all the way up to SF -2.5. The Eagles deserve credit for continuing to stack up wins, but they aren’t as dominant as the team that made it to the Super Bowl this past season and with Lane Johnson’s health in question, the 49ers are the healthier team in this matchup.

Following their game with the 49ers, the Eagles travel to take on a Dallas Cowboys team that dominated their first matchup and very much should have won that game. With two consecutive wins and two consecutive losses from the Eagles, the 49ers could have their name on that top spot by the time Week 14 concludes.

Regarding other contenders in the Cowboys and Detroit Lions – Detroit has a trip to Dallas remaining on their schedule and the 49ers already have a decisive win over the Cowboys on their resume, so I give San Francisco the upper hand on both those teams coming down the stretch. This bet requires some help from the Eagles, but I think they’re due for some losses against good teams after all the close calls they’ve had in recent weeks.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

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