NFL Week 13 Pick’em Pool Predictions (2024)
It's Thanksgiving Week, and all 32 NFL teams are in action. While the Detroit Lions and Kansas City Chiefs are both favored by double-digits, 13 of the other 14 games have point spreads of less than seven points.
Here is our best NFL pick’em advice for Week 13.
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NFL Week 13 Pick’em Pool Predictions
Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers
Thanksgiving Day has a weird slate this year. The Lions are favored by double digits over the Chicago Bears, and the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants are both heading in the wrong direction with just six weeks remaining. But the night game provides an excellent matchup as the red-hot Dolphins take on the Packers.
Since returning from injury, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown 11 touchdown passes and just one interception, as he has led the Dolphins to a 3-2 record in five games. It's worth noting that the two losses during that stretch were by a combined four points. Can Tagovailoa stay hot against the 11th-ranked Packers' pass defense? He can, especially since the Packers allow 10.2 yards per completion.
The Packers' three losses this season are to the Lions, Minnesota Vikings, and Philadelphia Eagles, the three teams with the best records in the NFC. Last week, Jordan Love finally completed a game without an interception.
While things may be looking up for the Packers after their 38-10 win over the San Francisco 49ers, their three wins before that one came by a combined six points. Had Brock Purdy played last week, I'm not sure the Packers would have won in such a convincing fashion. Tagovailoa has the Dolphins' offense finally playing at the level they're capable of. Because of that, I like them in the upset.
Pick: Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons
After back-to-back weeks against top-six scoring offenses, the Chargers' top-ranked scoring defense should get back on track this week. Even after allowing 57 points in the last two games, the Chargers still only allow 15.9 points per game this season.
The Falcons are averaging 22.2 points per game, which is tied for 16th in the league. They've scored fewer than 20 points in back-to-back games, dropping both of those contests. Though the Falcons are coming off their bye week, their inconsistent offensive performance worries me. They've scored fewer than 20 points in five games this season, losing all of them. That's bad news considering the Chargers have held eight opponents to fewer than 20 points.
The Falcons are also allowing nearly 25 points per game this season. The Chargers have scored at least 20 points in five consecutive games. With all of this in mind, this is just a really bad matchup for the Falcons, even though they're coming off the bye week. Take the Chargers, despite playing on the road in the early time slot.
Pick: Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings
After winning four games in a row to get to 6-4, the Cardinals followed their bye week with a 16-6 loss. They managed just 49 rushing yards, as the offense found no rhythm for the entirety of the game. But can they spring an upset in Minnesota this week?
The Vikings have won four games in a row, but they have been far from convincing during that stretch. Three of their wins are by eight points or fewer, and last week's fourth-quarter meltdown against the Chicago Bears was alarming.
While I do expect Kyler Murray to find success against the Vikings' 28th-ranked pass defense, I think that the Vikings will ultimately find a way to snag the victory in this game. They're used to winning close games, and even though the offense has struggled in recent weeks, they did put up 30 points last week. Don't sleep on the Cardinals, but if forced to pick this game straight-up, take the Vikings.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens
This is the game of the week in the NFL. The Eagles have won seven games in a row, and four of those victories have come by at least 17 points. Meanwhile, the Ravens just put up 30 points on the Chargers, going 8-of-15 on third down and 3-of-3 on fourth down.
The X-factor in this game will be Lamar Jackson. He is an incredible 23-1 against the NFC in his career. No matter how good the NFC teams he faces, they always have a hard time defending him. The Eagles' defense has been excellent this season. They're allowing just 18.2 points per game; they're number one in the league, allowing just 274.6 yards per game. But with how tough Jackson is to defend, I can't help but throw those numbers out.
For the Eagles to win, they'll need another massive game from Saquon Barkley. After his 255-yard performance last week, it's clear that no matchup is a negative one for him. That said, the Ravens rank second in the league in rush defense, allowing just 77.9 rushing yards per game. If Barkley struggles, the Eagles are in a lot of trouble.
Pick: Baltimore Ravens
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.