NFL Week 14 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).
Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).
(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)
Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>
| Season | Week | Units | ROI | Record |
| All Time | -14.2 | -8.3% | 115 – 200 | |
| 2022 | All | +8.8 | +5.2% | 68 – 102 |
| 2023 | 1 | -2.2 | -16.5% | 4 – 9 |
| 2023 | 2 | -1.9 | -15.4% | 4 – 8 |
| 2023 | 3 | -3.1 | -25.8% | 3 – 9 |
| 2023 | 4 | -11.0 | -100% | 0 – 11 |
| 2023 | 5 | +4.4 | +39.7% | 6 – 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | -4.8 | -39.8% | 4 – 8 |
| 2023 | 7 | -1.5 | -15.0% | 3 – 7 |
| 2023 | 8 | +1.3 | +10.0% | 5 – 8 |
| 2023 | 9 | +0.4 | +4.4% | 4 – 6 |
| 2023 | 10 | +2.7 | +27.0% | 3 – 7 |
| 2023 | 11 | -2.4 | -22.3% | 4 – 7 |
| 2023 | 12 | +1.0 | +9.8% | 5 – 5 |
| 2023 | 13 | -6.0 | -59.9% | 2 – 8 |
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Best NFL Week 14 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
- Drake London
- Anytime TD Odds: +250 FanDuel
London has had an inconsistent season to date and has not scored since Week 4. The struggles can mainly be attributed to the poor QB play the Falcons have had this season. That said, the matchup at home against the Bucs, who have allowed the third-most receiving yards to WR’s in the league, should be a spot where London can get back on track. Over his three home games, London is averaging 98 yards/game on 9.3 targets/game. The Falcons also have looked to London when in scoring position this year. He has double the end zone targets than the next closest player.
Los Angeles Rams at Baltimore Ravens
- Keaton Mitchell
- Anytime TD Odds: +200 PointsBet
Mitchell handled a season high snap count (46%) and touch count (11) prior to their Week 13 bye. Most important to note is that he out-touched fellow RB’s Gus Edwards and Justice Hill for the first time this season. Coming out of the bye, there is reason to be optimistic Mitchell’s role in the offense grows even more. Even on limited touches, Mitchell has two scores over the last four games. The Ravens are touchdown favorites at home against the Rams, so the game environment should present an opportunity for Mitchell to cement himself as the 1a in the RB room for the rest of the season.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
- David Montgomery
- Anytime TD Odds: -110 DraftKings
Montgomery gets another round of revenge against the team that drafted him this week. He was able to score the game winning TD against the Bears in Week 11 and has now scored in every game that he has started and finished this year. Despite missing three games, Montgomery is tied for sixth in the NFL in total TD’s. The matchup is tough against a Bears defense that has been great against the run this year. Since Week 3, Chicago ranks first in rushing yards (73.6) and rushing TD’s (4) allowed.
Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals
- Zack Moss
- Anytime TD Odds: -130 FanDuel
The production we saw early in the season when Moss replaced starter Jonathan Taylor was not there in Week 13. That said, the role was fantastic and should mean Moss can get back to the production he had early in the season. Moss played 94% of the snaps and handled 21 touches. If he gets that workload against the Bengals, he should take advantage. The Bengals have allowed the most rushing TD’s (7) over the last four weeks.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns
- Elijah Moore
- Anytime TD Odds: +310 BetRivers
Moore seemed to recapture some of the chemistry he had with QB Joe Flacco from their time with the Jets. He saw a season high 12 targets and turned them into a season high 83 yards. He did only catch four of those targets, so there was production left on the field. With Amari Cooper’s status in doubt, Moore should once again see a healthy dose of targets against the Jaguars. The Jags defense is coming off a week where they allowed Bengals’ QB Jake Browning to throw for 354 yards in his second career start.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs
- Stefon Diggs
- Anytime TD Odds: +120 Caesars
The 6 – 6 Bills come off their bye and travel to Kansas City in a must-win game to stay afloat in the AFC playoff picture. The game prior to the bye saw them play well in Philly and had multiple opportunities to win that game. While the Chiefs defense has played well this season, they did suffer multiple injuries last week in Green Bay. The Bills offense has scored 32 and 34 points in the two games since firing their OC and should be able to keep the momentum going this week. Diggs played in KC last season and totaled 148 yards and a TD in that matchup. The Allen to Diggs connection will be pivotal if Buffalo expects to make the playoffs.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
- Jerry Jeudy
- Anytime TD Odds: +280 DraftKings
Jeudy has taken a backseat to fellow WR Courtland Sutton this year. Wilson has connected with Sutton for 9 TD’s this year, while Jeudy only has one. This could be a good chance to get Jeudy going to end the year against a bottom ranked Chargers secondary. The Chargers have allowed the fourth most receiving yards and sixth most TD’s to WR’s this season. Over the last four games, Jeudy has drawn only one less end zone and red zone target than Sutton and has much longer odds to score this week.
Minnesota Vikings at Las Vegas Raiders
- Justin Jefferson
- Anytime TD Odds: +160 Caesars
Jefferson is expected to make his return off of IR and all indications are he will be full go. There were reports he could have suited up prior to the bye, but it made sense to give the star player the extra rest. The Vikings are 3-point favorites on the road and the Raiders don’t present a difficult matchup for Jefferson to be productive immediately. Jefferson’s receiving yardage prop has hovered in the mid-60’s this week. When healthy in the beginning of the year, this line would be in the 80 or 90 yard range. With the Vikings at 6 – 6 and still in playoff contention, expect Jefferson to be involved and have multiple chances to score this week.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints
- Jonathan Mingo
- Anytime TD Odds: +410 FanDuel
Mingo’s role in the Panthers offense grew last week. He saw double digit targets for the first time this season. Important to note, he was the first read on all of his 10 targets, which also accounted for 41.7% of the Bryce Young’s total first reads. This role change makes sense with the Panthers in a midst of a lost season. They need to see what they have in their young players moving forward, so this usage should continue for Mingo. Mingo has long odds for what could be Young’s primary read for the rest of the season.
Houston Texans at New York Jets
- Garrett Wilson
- Anytime TD Odds: +300 Caesars
Wilson’s talent has been minimized in what has been a terrible Jets offense. They will turn back to Zach Wilson this week, which should mean plenty of targets for Garrett Wilson. In Zach’s last full three games from Weeks 8 – 10, Garrett Wilson saw at least 13 targets in each of those games. Those also happen to be three of his most productive games of the season, so we can at least expect Wilson to be heavily involved. Houston has allowed the fourth most receiving yards per game to WR’s over their last four games.
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers
- George Kittle
- Anytime TD Odds: +160 FanDuel
It is always difficult to predict which 49er offensive star will be the focus of the game plan. They have plenty to choose from which leads to inconsistent offensive performances throughout the season. That has been true for Kittle this year, who has 8 games with 3 catches or less. He has still found the end zone five time this year, albeit three of them coming in one game. This can be a week that Kittle is more involved and finds the end zone against a Seahawks defense that just allowed a big game to Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson (6/77/1) last week.
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