NFL Week 14 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
ice Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
I will track my plays on the BettingPros app. Let's get to the first touchdown scorer predictions for NFL Week 14!
We compare first touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify this week’s best bets >>
NFL Week 14 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
Kyle Pitts
Odds: +1600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Pitts was targeted eight times last week but only produced four receptions for 51 yards. He has a better chance to find the end zone this week against the Buccaneers. They have allowed 257.9 passing yards per game this season and struggle to get off the field on third downs. Pitts led the team in targets last week, so he seems to be getting more involved in the offense. It is worth returning to the well with Pitts this week in a plus matchup.
Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints
Taysom Hill
Odds: +750 via DraftKings Sportsbook
The Panthers are awful against the run and continue to get exploited every game. Alvin Kamara's odds to score first is +375, which makes him hard to bet. Taysom Hill offers plenty of value, even being second on the list. Hill is dealing with a foot injury and missed multiple practices this week. He should see more snaps this week with Derek Carr in concussion protocol. Hill has run the ball 70 times this season for 346 yards and four TDs. The Panthers have given up 20 TDs on the ground this season, and Hill could be the next if he plays.
Houston Texans @ New York Jets
Dalton Schultz
Odds: +1100 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Schultz missed last week's game with a hamstring injury, but his backup Brevin Jordan filled in fine. Schultz may not play this week, so Jordan would be the pick if Schultz does not play. The Jets have allowed seven TDs to the tight end position this season. The Texans lost wide receiver Tank Dell for the rest of the season, so someone has to soak up his targets. It is likely a combination of Noah Brown and the tight ends this week, with Sauce Gardner likely shadowing Nico Collins. Schultz is the play, and take Brevin Jordan if Schultz is a no-go.
Indianapolis Colts @ Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Mixon
Odds: +475 via DraftKings Sportsbook
The Bengals' offense looked great on Monday night with Jake Browning at the helm. Mixon scored twice against the Jaguars and carried the ball 19 times. He should get used heavily again this week. The Colts allow 133.3 rushing yards per game and have surrendered 17 rushing TDs this season. Mixon got targeted seven times out of the backfield, which shows his involvement in the offense. It should not look much different against the porous Colts' defense.
Los Angeles Rams @ Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson
Odds: +850 via Caesars Sportsbook
The last time we went to a quarterback against the Rams, Kyler Murray scored the second touchdown after the Rams punched it in on the first drive. It was an unfortunate outcome, but it was the correct read. The Rams have allowed five rushing TDs to quarterbacks this season, and it seems to be a place where some teams can beat them. The Ravens are one of those teams. The downside this week is that Jackson missed Thursday's practice with an illness. Tyler Huntley is also a good pick if Jackson were to miss the game.
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
Sam LaPorta
Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Lions and Bears scored 57 points in week 11. Both teams should have productive offensive days, with the Bears entering their bye week. LaPorta only caught three passes for 18 yards in their matchup three weeks ago but should be more involved this week. He recorded nine receptions for 140 yards last week and has found the end zone in two consecutive games. He is playing at an elite level and should have a chance to score this week.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cleveland Browns
Elijah Moore
Odds: +850 via Caesars Sportsbook
Amari Cooper is still in the concussion protocol and could miss this week. Elijah Moore is the beneficiary if Cooper does not play. He has seen at least seven targets in four consecutive games, with 12 last week. Joe Flacco looks like he will be the starter again, which is good news for Moore. They played together on the Jets for a couple of games. Flacco should have no problems against this secondary that allowed 354 yards passing to Jake Browning.
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey
Odds: +260 via Caesars Sportsbook
These teams met in week 12, and McCaffrey posted a huge box score. He finished with 19 carries for 114 yards, two TDs, and five receptions for 25 yards. The Seahawk's run defense has been terrible for most of the season. They allow 119.3 rushing yards per game at 4.2 yards per carry. They have also allowed 15 TDs on the ground this season. McCaffrey is as chalky as it gets, but it is the right play in this matchup.
Minnesota Vikings @ Las Vegas Raiders
Justin Jefferson
Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Jefferson is back at practice and will return to action this Sunday. He will be playing his first game with Joshua Dobbs under center. He also has a favorable matchup. The Raiders allow 21.3 points per game and have surrendered 15 passing TDs. Jefferson should be able to have a monster day with his new quarterback. He has a goal set for a 1,000-yard season with only five games remaining. He amassed 571 yards before his injury, which puts him just 429 away from the mark.
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice
Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Rice has become the number-one wide receiver on this offense. He averages 5.4 targets per game and 50% of snaps this season. Rice has 19 targets over the last two games and is averaging 68% of snaps. He is seeing more snaps and targets as the playoffs are near. Patrick Mahomes is trusting him more, and it shows. Rice also offers tremendous value relative to Kelce, who is +650 to score first.
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Courtland Sutton
Odds: +1000 via Caesars Sportsbook
The Chargers have loads of talent but cannot put it together. They are either battling injuries or underperforming. The Broncos have won five of their last six and are making a push for the playoffs. The Chargers allow 265.8 passing yards per game and allow 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Courtland Sutton is Russell Wilson's most targeted option, with 6.3 targets per game. He should be heavily targeted this week, especially in the red zone, where he has 16 targets this season.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:
- NFL Week 14 Player Prop Bets Odds, Picks & Predictions: Fitz's Favorites (2023)
- NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 14)
- College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts