NFL Week 15 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).
Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).
(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)
Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>
Season | Week | Units | ROI | Record |
All Time | -22.6 | -13.3% | 116 â 210 | |
2022 | All | +8.8 | +5.2% | 68 â 102 |
2023 | 1 | -2.2 | -16.5% | 4 â 9 |
2023 | 2 | -1.9 | -15.4% | 4 â 8 |
2023 | 3 | -3.1 | -25.8% | 3 â 9 |
2023 | 4 | -11.0 | -100% | 0 â 11 |
2023 | 5 | +4.4 | +39.7% | 6 â 5 |
2023 | 6 | -4.8 | -39.8% | 4 â 8 |
2023 | 7 | -1.5 | -15.0% | 3 â 7 |
2023 | 8 | +1.3 | +10.0% | 5 â 8 |
2023 | 9 | +0.4 | +4.4% | 4 â 6 |
2023 | 10 | +2.7 | +27.0% | 3 â 7 |
2023 | 11 | -2.4 | -22.3% | 4 â 7 |
2023 | 12 | +1.0 | +9.8% | 5 â 5 |
2023 | 13 | -6.0 | -59.9% | 2 â 8 |
2023 | 14 | -8.4 | -76.4% | 1 â 10 |
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Best NFL Week 15 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
- Christian McCaffrey
- Anytime TD Odds: -320 FanDuel
McCaffrey is a near lock to score every week and he nows gets a matchup against the bottom ranked Cardinals. McCaffrey didnât end up scoring last week, despite rushing for 145 yards on 16 carries. He trails Mostert by 1 TD for the NFL lead but will have a great chance to take the lead this week. The Cardinals have allowed the second-most TDâs to RBâs this season (18) and are two touchdown underdogs.
Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills
- Stefon Diggs
- Anytime TD Odds: +120 Caesars
This game features the highest total (50.5) of the week. The Cowboys have been rolling, winning five in a row and averaging 40.2 ppg during that span. The Bills meanwhile came out of their bye and opened with a win in Kansas City to stay alive in the playoff picture. Diggs struggled in that matchup, only catching 4 of the 11 targets he saw for 24 yards. This matchup should present a chance to get back on track. Over the last five weeks, the Cowboys defense has allowed the second-most catches to WRâs. Although that can largely be attributed to the number of blowouts they have been involved in during that span. Even so, Diggs should be a lock to see double digit targets in a high scoring game and should be able to find the end zone.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
- Drake London
- Anytime TD Odds: +290 PointsBet
Iâm going back to London again this week after he did everything but score against the Bucs last week. London had his best receiving game of his career, totaling 10 catches for 172 yards. The Panthers have been much worse against the run but they have allowed TDâs to #1 WRâs over the last two weeks against Mike Evans and Chris Olave. From a first read perspective, London received 31.4% of the targets from QB Desmond Ridder. He should be able to keep last weeks momentum going against the worst team in the NFL.
Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns
- Amari Cooper
- Anytime TD Odds: +210 FanDuel
Flacco has reignited the Browns passing game and Cooper should continue to benefit. Cooper received 14 targets for a 33.3% share against the Jaguars last week. He only caught half of those targets, so there was production left on the field but the usage was encouraging. The Bears defense has been great since the addition of Montez Sweat. Since Sweat was acquired in Week 10, the Bears have allowed the third-fewest yards in the league. The run and pass defense have been equally as good, but Cooper should be able to overcome the difficult matchup as the clear #1 target from Flacco.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers
- Jayden Reed
- Anytime TD Odds: +145 DraftKings
Reed has emerged as a legit playmaker for the Packers in his first season in the NFL. He has seven TDâs on the year, which includes a TD in four of his last five games. With fellow WR Christian Watson re-injuring his hamstring in Week 13, Reed ended up leading the team with 10 targets last week against the Giants. Watson has not practiced and is likely out again this week, so Reed has a chance to operate as the top receiving option again. He gets a great matchup against a Bucs defense allowing the third most receiving yards to WRâs in the NFL.
Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Rams
- Kyren Williams
- Anytime TD Odds: -200 Caesars
Williams leads the league in touches (24.7) since he returned from IR in Week 12. He has found the end zone three times during that span and now gets a matchup at home against the Commanders as a 6.5-point favorite. There should no reason for Williams to see less than 20 touches in this game. Washington is allowing 37.5 ppg since trading away their defensive pieces prior to Week 10. The Rams should have no problem finding the end zone this week and Williams should benefit.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
- Garrett Wilson
- Anytime TD Odds: +250 DraftKings
Garrett Wilson has not seen less than 13 targets in the last four games that Zach Wilson has started and finished. He unfortunately has not been able to score on any of those targets but the production has been there. He has averaged 95 yards during that span, so there should be no reason for that to change this week with the Jets 9-point underdogs in Miami. The Dolphins secondary just allowed DeAndre Hopkins to total 124 yards and a TD last week.
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire
- Anytime TD Odds: +210 FanDuel
Starting RB Isiah Pacheco is on track to miss his second straight game, so CEH will be heavily involved again this week. Fellow RB Jerick McKinnon was able to convert for a TD on one of his seven touches last week, but CEH out touched McKinnon 13 to 7. The Chiefs are over a TD favorite in New England and are looking to get back on track after losing three of their last four games. There is a good chance the Chiefs are able to control the ball and allow CEH to find the end zone.
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints
- Tommy DeVito
- Anytime TD Odds: +500 FanDuel
The undrafted rookie QB out of Illinois has help lead the Giants to three straight wins. Last week against Green Bay DeVito showed off his rushing ability, totaling 71 yards on 10 carries. HC Brian Daboll will likely lean into this effectiveness against the Saints this week. New Orleans has allowed the third-most rushing yards to QBâs this season. This includes a game against another undrafted rookie, Tyson Bagent, who rushed for 70 yards in a similar situation in Week 9. With the Saints defense likely keying on Saquon Barkely, DeVito could have a chance to rush one in this week.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
- Chigoziem Okonkwo
- Anytime TD Odds: +320 PointsBet
Okonkwoâs usage over the last three weeks with rookie QB Will Levis has been encouraging. He has not seen less than 5 targets in any of those games and has produced his three best receiving yard outputs of the year during that stretch. Okonkwo is still in search of his first TD of the season but the recent involvement in the Titans offense should give him a chance to score this week. The Texans are a great matchup as well, allowing the second most catches (6.2/game) to opposing TEâs in the league.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:
- NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 15)
- NFL Saturday Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 15)
- NFL Saturday Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: (Week 15)
- College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions
- Top NHL Odds, Picks & Predictions
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