NFL Week 16 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
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Buffalo Bills @ Chicago Bears
Josh Allen
Odds: +700 via DraftKings Sportsbook
The Bears allow 143.9 rushing yards per game and have allowed the most rushing touchdowns this season. Allen and Devin Singletary have the same odds because Allen has been using his legs much more in the last four games. He has 10 carries in three of his previous four games and two rushing touchdowns. Singletary only has one TD and has not been efficient in his past three games. Allen is probably the better play.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Marquise Goodwin
Odds: +2000 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Tyler Lockett will not play this week after having surgery on his index finger on Monday. That provides Goodwin with an opportunity to see an increased share in targets. He has averaged 3.2 targets per game this season and has seen five or more targets in his last two games. Lockett averages 7.7 targets per game, so there will be a few to spread around. The Chiefs allow 227.6 passing yards per game and have allowed the most passing touchdowns this season. Many players could score in this game, so Goodwin is a solid play at this price.
New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
Saquon Barkley
Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Barkley led the Giants in targets last week and scored a rushing touchdown. The Vikings have allowed 24.9 points per game this season and 30.7 per game in their previous three games. He has the same odds to score first as Justin Jefferson, while Dalvin Cook is the favorite. Barkley is the leader of this team, and they go as he goes. The Vikings have been giving up points early and mounting comebacks in the second half, so avoid them in this market. Barkley is usually the favorite to score the first TD so betting on him at this price is a no-brainer.
Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots
Ja’Marr Chase
Odds: +600 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Ja’Marr Chase is averaging 11 targets per game this season and has scored in back-to-back games. The Patriots are stellar against the run and can get plenty of sacks. They have been struggling on offense, however. Rhamondre Stevenson has been the lone bright spot, but the Bengals rank eighth in rushing yards allowed per game. Chase has worse odds than both Stevenson and his teammate, Joe Mixon, even though his matchup is better. Burrow has plenty of options, but he has been looking in Chase’s direction more often as of late.
New Orleans Saints @ Cleveland Browns
Nick Chubb
Odds: Not Listed Yet
It is going to be nine degrees and windy in Cleveland on Saturday, which is not great for the passing attacks of either team. Nick Chubb is questionable with a foot injury, but the team believes he will play despite missing practice on Wednesday. Kareem Hunt is in line to start if Chubb does not play. The only sportsbook to release odds for this market does not have either of the Browns’ running backs listed, so check here to find the best number once they are released. If Chubb plays, he will likely be the favorite, but he is still the best bet.
Atlanta Falcons @ Baltimore Ravens
J.K. Dobbins
Odds: Not Listed Yet
Dobbins has been tremendous in his past two games and seems healthy after dealing with a knee injury. He has a great matchup against the Falcons, who allow 129.9 rushing yards per game. The odds for this game have not been released due to injuries to the Ravens’ quarterbacks. Lamar Jackson missed practice, and Tyler Huntley was a limited participant on Wednesday. Dobbins is sure to be the favorite in this market, given his matchup. Check the odds here to get the best number possible.
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Jamaal Williams
Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Williams has not scored in two consecutive weeks but still leads the league in rushing TDs. The Lions have been playing better on defense as of late, and the Panthers allowed 156 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns against the Steelers. All of Pittsburgh’s scores came inside the 10, which is the area of the field in which Williams thrives. Both teams are playing for their playoff lives, and they will rely heavily on their best players. Williams offers solid value and has a high chance of scoring in this game.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry
Odds: +320 via Caesars Sportsbook
The Texans are the worst run defense in the league (167.5 rushing yards per game), and Henry has already torched them this season. No reason to stray away from fading the Texans’ run defense this week. Henry ran for 219 yards and two touchdowns against the Texans earlier this season and should be relied on heavily this week. Ryan Tannehill is likely out for the season, and rookie, Malik Willis, is replacing him. Willis’ first start came against the Texans, so the Titans have already proved the game script for this scenario. Derrick Henry will touch the ball early and often in this one. Check the odds at other sportsbooks here since Caesars is the lone sportsbook with odds in this market at the time of writing.
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
Christian McCaffrey
Odds: +300 via Caesars Sportsbook
The 49ers relied heavily on McCaffrey last week. He received eight targets, which led the team, and ran 26 times for 108 yards and a touchdown. The Commanders have only allowed seven rushing TDs this season, but McCaffrey is utilized in the passing game too. Deebo Samuel is still out with a knee injury, so McCaffrey’s workload will likely be higher than usual. McCaffrey was limited in practice on Wednesday, a common occurrence for him this season. He has suited up the past three weeks despite limited practice and has produced each time.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Goedert
Odds: +1700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Goedert will return against the Cowboys this week after a stint on the injured reserve. He should be a safety blanket for Gardner Minshew if Jalen Hurts does not play. He averaged 5.9 targets per game before his injury and has no designation heading into this game. Minshew started in Week 13 last season and threw two touchdowns to Goedert. They have a good track record together, and Goedert is a great value play due to not playing since Week 10.
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