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NFL Week 16 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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The rest of Week 16 is upon us. Let’s take a look at our top same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 15)

Colts @ Falcons

  • Colts +2.5 (-110)
  • Drake London 50+ Rec Yards (-130)
  • Gardner Minshew 2+ Pass TDs (+155)

Somewhat surprisingly, this is a game with major playoff implications for both teams. The Colts are in the thick of the AFC South and wildcard races, while Atlanta is tied for the NFC South lead. Given Atlanta's struggles in recent weeks, I don't think the switch to quarterback Taylor Heinicke will be enough to get them over the hump and win them this game. They're coming off a loss to Carolina, and Indianapolis has won five of their past six games.

I do think Heinicke will provide an instant upgrade to the Falcons' passing game, and should allow Drake London to break 50 receiving yards. London has looked exceptional this year, and has just been limited by play calling and QB play. I also expect Gardner Minshew to throw a couple TD passes – the Falcons defense is exceptional at keeping opposing RBs out of the end zone, and Minshew should get some red zone opportunities.

Parlay Odds: +795

Packers @ Panthers

  • Packers ML (-220)
  • Jordan Love Over 223.5 Pass yards (-110)
  • Aaron Jones Anytime TD (+150)

Carolina is coming off a surprising win this past week over the Falcons, but I don't expect them to make it two in a row. Their defense has struggled lately, and the Packers offense has been consistent. While Green Bay is coming off a couple straight losses, they've scored 20 points or more in five consectutive games. I think Green Bay wins, though I'll take them moneyline just in case the Panthers keep things closer than expected.

Carolina has allowed more touchdowns to opposing running backs than any team in the league this year, and Aaron Jones is a dominant red zone threat. I think Jones gets in the end zone on Sunday. I also expect Jordan Love to go over his 223.5 yard passing prop, as he's thrown for 260 or more yards in 5 of his last 6 games.

Parlay Odds: +445

Browns @ Texans

  • Browns -2.5 (-120)
  • David Njoku 60+ Rec Yards (+135)
  • Case Keenum Under 203.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Against all odds, Joe Flacco has been a revelation for the Browns. They've won their past two games, with Flacco throwing for more than 300 yards in both wins. While Houston squeaked out a win over the Titans last week without C.J. Stroud, the Browns represent a much tougher test. I think Cleveland wins this game and covers the 2.5 point spread.

Tight end David Njoku has been a major driver of the Browns' success over the last two weeks. Njoku has posted at least 90 yards in both wins. Given how he's emerged as a target for Flacco, I think he'll go over 60 yards on Sunday. Cleveland also has the best pass defense in the NFL, and I think they'll contain Case Keenum's passing yardage.

Parlay Odds: +610

Lions @ Vikings

  • Vikings ML (+130)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD (+100)
  • Justin Jefferson 80+ Rec Yards (-130)

While Detroit has been the dominant team in the NFL North all year, their defense has struggled in recent weeks. They're allowing 27.7 points per game over their past six games. Minnesota's offense has been up and down, but Nick Mullins played very well in Cincinnati this past week. A repeat performance from Mullins will have the Vikings in a great spot to win this game.

Even if Minnesota wins, I still like Jahmyr Gibbs' chances of scoring a touchdown. Gibbs has scored a touchdown in six of his past eight games and has taken over at the lead back in Detroit's offense. Finally, I like Justin Jefferson's odds of having a big game. Jefferson returned from injury last week with 7 catches for 84 yards, and should be able to have an even bigger day against the Lions' pass defense.

Parlay Odds: +700

Commanders @ Jets

  • Over 36.5 (-110)
  • Trevor Siemian 200+ Pass Yards (-145)
  • Breece Hall Anytime TD (-105)

In a matchup of the NFL's worst offense and worst defense, I think the Jets offense will put together their first solid game in a while and get a win. Trevor Siemian is getting the start, and he's an NFL veteran who should play well enough to put up some yardage on Washington's atrocious pass defense. Given that Washington's offense has been solid this year, I think this game goes over the low 36.5 point total.

I also like Breece Hall's chances of scoring. Hall gets plenty of red zone work, and if the Jets are able to score 2-3 touchdowns as a team I think Hall will get at least one of them.

Parlay Odds: +335

Seahawks @ Titans

  • Seahawks -3 (-120)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba 50+ Rec Yards (+140)
  • Tyjae Spears 25+ Rush Yards (-115)

After a wild win on Monday night over the Eagles, Seattle is looking to stay hot when they head to Nashville this week. They'll be playing a Titans team that has been up and down this year, and is coming off a tough loss to Houston this past week. I think Drew Lock and the Seahawks offense will stay hot this week against the Titans' below-average pass defense. This should be enough to get the Seahawks a win and a cover.

Rookie wideout Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heating up after a slow start to his rookie season, and I think he could have a nice game Sunday. JSN has at least four catches in each of his past three games, and the Titans have a bottom-five defense against opposing wide receivers. I also think Tyjae Spears could have a solid day. Derrick Henry had one of the worst games of his career last week, and the Titans have been leaning on Spears more and more in recent weeks. Spears has 32 carries in his last three games, and similar volume this week should be enough to break 25 rush yards.

Parlay Odds: +685

Jaguars @ Buccaneers

  • Jaguars ML (+115)
  • Baker Mayfield 250+ Pass Yards (+130)
  • Calvin Ridley 50+ Rec Yards (-145)

Jacksonville has struggled in recent weeks, and Trevor Lawrence is trending toward missing this game with a concussion. Even still, I think the Jaguars can pull off a win on Sunday. CJ Beathard is a veteran backup, and played well in relief of Lawrence earlier this year. Tampa Bay has a brutal pass defense, allowing the second-most passing yards to opposing QBs in the NFL. I think Beathard leads the Jags to a big win on Sunday. 

A big game for Beathard should mean a big game for Calvin Ridley as well. Ridley should be the primary target for the Jags on Sunday, with both Zay Jones and Christian Kirk out. Finally, Baker Mayfield should post a solid yardage total if the Bucs are down on Sunday. Mayfield has played well lately, and the Jaguars pass defense will be dealing with some injuries.

Parlay Odds: +600

Cardinals @ Bears

  • Bears -4.5 (-105)
  • DJ Moore Any Time TD (+130)
  • Trey McBride 50+ Rec Yards (-205)

After looking like one of the NFL's worst teams early in the season, the Bears have gotten things together and played significantly better over the past few weeks. While the playoffs are still a longshot for them, they've been able to compete with every team they've played over the last six weeks. Another solid game out of Justin Fields and DJ Moore - who has scored in two of his past four games - should lead to a big Bears win on Sunday.

Trey McBride has been the brightest part of the Cardinals' rough season. McBride has 60 or more yards in four of his past five games, and should be able to break 50 yards easily on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +445

Cowboys @ Dolphins

  • Dolphins ML (-130)
  • Raheem Mostert Anytime TD (-115)
  • Dak Prescott 2+ Pass TDs (-160)

On paper, this looks to be the most exciting game of Sunday's slate. Both teams have exceptional offenses, and the total coming in sits at 50.5 - the highest of Week 16. While Dallas has played great this year, they've struggled on the road relative to their dominance at home. They've lost three of their past five road games, and their two wins in that stretch were a blowout over Carolina and a tight win over the Chargers. I think Miami will pull out a big home win on Sunday.

Raheem Mostert has been a dominant red zone threat, scoring a TD in 8 of his last 10 games. I think Mostert will stay hot and score again on Sunday. I also think Dak Prescott will add two passing touchdowns - he had hit that mark in seven consecutive games before a dud last week, and he gets plenty of pass attempts in the red zone.

Parlay Odds: +390

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:


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