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NFL Week 17 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).

Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).

(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)

Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>

Season Week Units ROI Record
All Time -20.3 -11.9% 125 – 220
2022  All +8.8 +5.2% 68 – 102
2023 1  -2.2  -16.5% 4 – 9 
2023 2 -1.9 -15.4% 4 – 8
2023 3 -3.1 -25.8% 3 – 9
2023 4 -11.0 -100% 0 – 11
2023 5 +4.4 +39.7% 6 – 5
2023 6 -4.8 -39.8% 4 – 8
2023 7 -1.5 -15.0% 3 – 7
2023 8 +1.3 +10.0% 5 – 8
2023 9 +0.4 +4.4% 4 – 6
2023 10 +2.7 +27.0% 3 – 7
2023 11 -2.4 -22.3% 4 – 7
2023 12 +1.0 +9.8% 5 – 5
2023 13 -6.0  -59.9%  2 – 8 
2023 14 -8.4 -76.4% 1 – 10
2023 15 +1.5 +14.6% 5 – 5
2023 16 +0.8 +9.0% 4 – 5

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Best NFL Week 17 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets

Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson
  • Anytime TD Odds: +150 Caesars

Lamar Jackson is now the favorite to win NFL MVP after the Ravens dominated the 49ers on Monday night. He’ll get a chance to further the gap against the Dolphins this week with the #1 seed in the AFC on the line. Jackson surprisingly has not had a rushing TD since Week 7. He has five on the year and continues to see plenty of rushing volume. Since the Ravens’ Week 13 bye, Lamar has averaged 10 rushing attempts and 70.6 rushing yards per game. Gus Edwards has been the beneficiary of the red zone TD’s, but Lamar has had chances himself. Last week, Lamar and Edwards had 3 rushing attempts a piece inside the 10-yard line.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

  • Stefon Diggs
  • Anytime TD Odds: +160 Caesars

Diggs’ second half of the season struggles continued last week in LA. Since Week 10, he is averaging just 39.3 yards/game and has found the end zone once. Over the first 9 games of the season, Diggs had 7 TD’s and averaged 93 yards/game. This has not stopped the Bills from winning three in a row to put themselves in position for the playoffs. That said, the Josh Allen to Diggs connection will need to get back to early season form if they will do any damage in the playoffs. Diggs had 12 targets and a TD against the Patriots in Week 7.

Atlanta Falcons at Chicago Bears

  • Bijan Robinson
  • Anytime TD Odds: +165 ESPN BET

After being out touched 15 to 8 in Week 15, the Falcons got back to featuring Bijan in Week 16. He had 19 touches and handled 3 of the 4 carries inside the 10-yard line. Bijan led all Falcons in catches (7) and receiving yards (50) as well. This should be where Bijan will have success against a Bears defense that is third in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game to RB’s but is last in receiving yards allowed.

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

  • Javonte Williams
  • Anytime TD Odds: +120 DraftKings

All three Denver RB’s were involved against the Patriots last week. Javonte continues to be the goal line back as he handled all 7 carries inside the 20 and was able to convert 1 of them at the goal line. Williams hasn’t seen less than 14 touches in the last five weeks. We can expect this usage to continue against the Chargers in a good matchup as 3.5-point favorites at home. The Chargers have allowed the eighth most total yards to RB’s this season.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

  • Nico Collins
  • Anytime TD Odds: +145 Caesars

Breakout rookie QB CJ Stroud returned to practice this week after missing the last two games with a concussion. The Texans are still in alive in the AFC playoff picture despite multiple injuries on the offensive side of the ball over the last few weeks. Collins returned from a one game absence last week and only had 18 yards receiving. He was able to score but the return of Stroud should help get him to the level of production prior to the QB’s Week 14 injury. Collins had 295 yards receiving and two TD’s in the two games prior to Week 14 with Stroud.

Las Vegas Raiders at Indianapolis Colts

  • Jonathan Taylor
  • Anytime TD Odds: -135 FanDuel

Taylor found the end zone in his return from thumb surgery that caused him to miss the last three weeks. Aside from the TD, Taylor was not very productive on the ground. He ran 18 times for 43 yards but the encouraging part for the rest of the season was the usage. The Colts remain in the playoff hunt and will likely lean on Taylor for the last two weeks of the season. Taylor has four TD’s in his last three healthy games. The Raiders pulled off a surprise win in Kansas City on Christmas but the defense did allow RB Isiah Pacheco to run for a TD. The Raiders rank 21st in TD’s allowed to opposing RB’s.

Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Travis Etienne
  • Anytime TD Odds: -105 Caesars

It remains to be seen if QB Trevor Lawrence will be able to suit up this week after suffering a shoulder injury to his throwing arm last week. This was Lawrence’s third different injury in the last three weeks. Regardless of Lawrence’s status, the Jaguars should ride Etienne in this matchup to avoid dropping their fifth straight loss. Etienne had his worst performance of the season last week, rushing 6 times for 12 yards. He should have much more room this week against the Panthers bottom ranked run defense. Carolina has allowed the most rushing TD’s to RB’s this season, three more than the next closest teams.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Travis Kelce
  • Anytime TD Odds: +105 FanDuel

The Chiefs’ offense looked dysfunctional on Christmas Day in a home loss against the Raiders. This has been a trend recently, as they have dropped three of their last four games, while scoring less than 2o points in each of those losses. They should have a chance to get back on track against a Bengals defense that just allowed a bad Steelers offense to score 34 points last week with Mason Rudolph at the helm. It is clear the 34 year old Kelce has lost a step as the season has gone on, but he is still seeing consistent targets from Mahomes. Despite not scoring since Week 11, Kelce has averaged 7.2 targets in the last five games. The Chiefs are 7-point favorites at home and should be able to reignite the Mahomes to Kelce connection this week.

Los Angeles Rams at New York Giants

  • Cooper Kupp
  • Anytime TD Odds: +110 PointsBet

It was a frustrating night for Kupp last week against the Saints. Kupp was targeted 12 times but only caught 6 balls for 52 yards. Fellow WR Puka Nacua was able to convert his 11 targets for 164 yards and a TD. Kupp was also targeted twice in the end zone but could not connect with Stafford. He had TD’s in three straight games prior to that matchup and should bounce back this week against a bad Giants secondary. The Giants have allowed the fifth most TD’s to WR’s this season.

Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles

  • D’Andre Swift
  • Anytime TD Odds: +105 BetMGM

Swift had 20 touches for the second week in a row against the Giants. He was able to find the end zone for the first time since Week 11 but the usage inside the 10 yard line is encouraging. Swift was the only RB to receive a carry inside the 10. Hurts will continue to steal the TD’s at the one-yard line, but Swift has a great opportunity to score against a bad Cardinals defense this week. The Cardinals are tied with the Panthers for the most total TD’s allowed to RB’s (22) and surrender the second most yards (154.9/game).

Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks

  • Kenneth Walker III
  • Anytime TD Odds: +110 BetMGM

Walker has dominated the Seahawks backfield the last two weeks. He has handled 19.5 touches per game compared to just 3.5 for rookie RB Zach Charbonnet. Walker gets a good matchup at home as a 3.5-point favorites against Pittsburgh. The Steelers run defense allows 101.1 yards per game to RB’s, good for 25th in the NFL. He should handle close to 20 touches again and has chance to end the year strong after a good start to the season. Walker had six TD’s through his first five games but only has two since then.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Chris Godwin
  • Anytime TD Odds: +270 FanDuel

Baker Mayfield leads the NFL in passing TD’s (8) over the last three weeks. Surprisingly, Godwin has not caught one of those during that span. That said, he has been the clear target leader in the offense having seen 35 balls from Baker over the last three games. That is 16 more than fellow WR Mike Evans, who has converted three of those for TD’s. All this to say that Godwin is due for some positive TD regression against the Saints. It is also worth noting that one of his two games this season with over 100 yards receiving came against the Saints back in Week 4.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Commanders

  • Terry McLaurin
  • Anytime TD Odds: +240 FanDuel

McLaurin has come on a bit the last couple weeks after the Commanders Week 14 bye. He has totaled 191 yards and a TD. The Commanders are starting veteran QB Jacoby Brissett in a tough matchup at home but it seems there is some chemistry between Brissett and McLaurin. Brissett targeted McLaurin heavily when he came in during garbage time against the Rams in Week 15 and ultimately connected for a TD. We shouldn’t expect the Commanders (12.5-point underdogs) to keep pace with the 49ers, who are coming a tough home loss against Baltimore. Even so, McLaurin should see plenty of targets this week in a likely trailing game script.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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