NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Each week, I’ll provide my favorite Sunday parlay and my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. So without further ado, here are this week’s parlay picks.
Week 17 Parlay
- Colts +5.5
- Broncos +12.5
- Bears +6
- Jets -1.5
- Odds: +1258
What do you do when you’ve got a few ugly sides that you like? Parlay them together, of course! Betting the Colts is always a risky proposition, but I’m buying the notion that Nick Foles needed to get the rust off last Monday night. Indy has also bounced back after blowout losses this season and faces a Giants team that has only three wins of six or more points.
The Broncos are a tough team to back after getting embarrassed on Christmas Day. But it was clear the team had completely quit on former coach Nathaniel Hackett, who was fired a day later. I’m not saying Denver will upset the Chiefs outright, but they have the defense to keep this game within 10.
Chicago closed at -3 in the first meeting with the Lions at Soldier Field. Now, Detroit is laying six? I’ll roll with a Bears squad that should’ve beaten Detroit the first time. Oh, and Detroit is playing with all the pressure, something this franchise hasn’t really experienced much in recent years.
Lastly, I think the difference between Zach Wilson and Mike White is enormous, and I’m not even that big of a fan of White. The Seahawks are still fighting for a playoff spot, but it’s obvious this team is closer to the one everyone expected to be terrible at the beginning of the year.
Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders (-2) | Total 40.5
This game lacks a prop menu at the moment due to uncertainty at quarterback for Washington. It’s also not a game I’m dying to get involved with. However, I would take the Commanders on the money line and an over on Brian Robinson’s rushing yardage, as the Browns rank 30th in run defense DVOA. I’d also bet on Nick Chubb to go under his rushing total, considering Washington ranks 11th against the run.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-2.5) | Total 41
Another game with quarterback uncertainty and no prop menu. Tua Tagovailoa will likely miss this game with another concussion. Rather than get involved on a side, I’ll go with the under 41, as I don’t expect either offense to move the ball with much success. I’d also fade Jaylen Waddle, who had just four receptions for 69 yards in the Week 1 meeting between these teams.
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-3) | Total 42.5
- Cardinals +3
- James Conner over 71.5 rushing yards
- Drake London over 58.5 receiving yards
- Odds: +592
Colt McCoy is back for Arizona, adding a bit more legitimacy to this unit. The Cardinals should also have plenty of success against a lackluster Falcons run defense. And London has cleared this prop in his last three games and faces a banged-up Cardinals secondary coming off an emotional loss to Tampa Bay on a short week. This isn’t a game I love by any stretch.
Jacksonville Jaguars (-4) at Houston Texans | Total 43.5
You guessed it, sportsbooks have yet to unveil any props for this game, as there are questions regarding how many starters will suit up for the Jags. This game essentially doesn’t matter for Jacksonville, as their season will come down to next week’s game against Tennessee. For those reasons, I would take the Texans +4, as we could see Jacksonville’s starters see limited action.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants (-5.5) | Total 39
- Colts +5.5
- Zack Moss over 58.5 rushing yards
- Saquon Barkley anytime TD
- Odds: +501
Give me the points every time in a game with such a low total. Indianapolis still has a top-10 defense, according to DVOA, and I’d expect better from Nick Foles in his second start. The Giants also rank 31st in rush defense DVOA, which means Moss could hit the prop for a third straight week. Finally, Barkley serves as my anchor as he’s as safe a bet as it comes to getting in the end zone.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5) | Total 45
- Broncos +12.5
- Patrick Mahomes to throw an INT
- Isiah Pacheco over 66.5 rushing yards
- Odds: +628
I’m banking on the firing of Hackett galvanizing a Broncos team that’s just playing out the string. However, Denver forced Mahomes into three interceptions in the first meeting between these squads. And with Kansas City simply looking to stay healthy heading into the postseason, I’d expect Pacheco to get a decent amount of touches against a Broncos defense that ranks 22nd in rush defense DVOA.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) | Total 40.5
- Tampa Bay -3
- D’Onta Foreman under 60.5 rushing yards
- Sam Darnold to throw an INT
- Odds: +567
Maybe I’m just naive in backing this Bucs team again. But I think the market might be overreacting to Carolina’s resounding win over the Lions. I’m banking on a good performance from the Buccaneers’ defense, which ranks 10th in rushing DVOA. I also suspect they’ll force Darnold into some bad throws that will have people wondering whether his career really is saved.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-6) | Total 52
- Bears +6
- Justin Fields over 70.5 rushing yards
- Jared Goff over 267.5 passing yards
- Odds: +560
Again, are we really going to trust Detroit to win by a touchdown against anyone with all of the pressure on them? I need to see it to believe it. Fields rushed for 147 yards in the first meeting between these teams and is gunning for the single-season quarterback rushing record. Meanwhile, Goff should be able to answer against a Bears secondary that ranks 29th in pass-defense DVOA.
New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) | Total 42.5
The inclination is Jalen Hurts won’t play Sunday for Philadelphia, but that’s yet to be confirmed. At this number, I would take the points with New Orleans. But it’s hard to gauge the prop market properly without an official word on Hurts’ status. I would take Alvin Kamara to clear his rushing total, as he could run wild against a Philly defense that ranks 19th in rush defense DVOA and could be missing Jordan Davis up the middle.
San Francisco 49ers (-9) at Las Vegas Raiders | Total 42
Unfortunately, sports books simply won’t post props until all information becomes available. This game is another example of their reluctance to get exposed on a bad number. I hate backing Kyle Shanahan as a big road favorite, so instead, I’ll take Las Vegas’ team total under 16.5 points, as well as unders on Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams’s yardage props, as Jarrett Stidham could truly kill this offense.
New York Jets (-2) at Seattle Seahawks | Total 42.5
- Jets -2
- Zonovan Knight over 57.5 rushing yards
- D.K. Metcalf under 68.5 receiving yards
- Odds: +567
The Seahawks could get receiver Tyler Lockett back for this game, but both Lockett and Metcalf could get locked up against New York’s talented cornerback tandem. Mike White is back under center for New York, which means Seattle will at least have to recognize that the Jets have someone who can complete passes. That exposes their 25th-ranked run defense against Knight, who has been a nice little surprise during the season’s home stretch.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3.5) | Total 48
The statuses of Packers weapons Aaron Jones and Christian Watson are worth watching as the weekend goes on. The Packers feel like they’re hitting their stride at the right time and are running into a Vikings team that’s already clinched the NFC North. With everything on the line, I expect Rodgers and the Pack to deliver against a Vikings team that might be running low on luck. I’d lay it with Green Bay and take an over on Watson’s receiving yardage should he play. I think Dalvin Cook could also have a big game, considering Green Bay’s struggles against the run.
Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) | Total 42.5
- Rams +6.5
- Cam Akers over 69.5 rushing yards
- Justin Herbert over 284.5 passing yards
- Odds: +567
The Rams are still playing hard for Sean McVay, which showed in last week’s obliteration of the Broncos. Baker Mayfield is also playing for his NFL future. Akers has emerged out of nowhere during the last month and now gets a porous Chargers run defense. However, Herbert should be able to counter against a Rams defense that ranks 20th in passing DVOA.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) | Total 35
Once again, the sports books slowly unveil props for this matchup. However, this game is almost an automatic under play for me. These two defenses also happen to rank top 12 in DVOA. This AFC North showdown is always a slugfest, and I would fade the offenses, especially if Tyler Huntley is back under center. That means taking unders on J.K. Dobbins and Najee Harris’ rushing totals too.
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