NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions (2022)
Each week, I’ll provide my favorite Sunday parlay and my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. So without further ado, here are this week’s parlay picks.
NFL Week 17 Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions (2022)
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-3) | Total 42.5
- Cardinals +3
- James Conner over 71.5 rushing yards
- Drake London over 58.5 receiving yards
- Odds: +592
Colt McCoy is back for Arizona, adding a bit more legitimacy to this unit. The Cardinals should also have plenty of success against a lackluster Falcons run defense. And London has cleared this prop in his last three games and faces a banged-up Cardinals secondary coming off an emotional loss to Tampa Bay on a short week. This isn’t a game I love by any stretch.
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants (-5.5) | Total 39
- Colts +5.5
- Zack Moss over 58.5 rushing yards
- Saquon Barkley anytime TD
- Odds: +501
Give me the points every time in a game with such a low total. Indianapolis still has a top-10 defense, according to DVOA, and I’d expect better from Nick Foles in his second start. The Giants also rank 31st in rush defense DVOA, which means Moss could hit the prop for a third straight week. Finally, Barkley serves as my anchor as he’s as safe a bet as it comes to getting in the end zone.
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-12.5) | Total 45
- Broncos +12.5
- Patrick Mahomes to throw an INT
- Isiah Pacheco over 66.5 rushing yards
- Odds: +628
I’m banking on the firing of Hackett galvanizing a Broncos team that’s just playing out the string. However, Denver forced Mahomes into three interceptions in the first meeting between these squads. And with Kansas City simply looking to stay healthy heading into the postseason, I’d expect Pacheco to get a decent amount of touches against a Broncos defense that ranks 22nd in rush defense DVOA.
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) | Total 40.5
- Tampa Bay -3
- D’Onta Foreman under 60.5 rushing yards
- Sam Darnold to throw an INT
- Odds: +567
Maybe I’m just naive in backing this Bucs team again. But I think the market might be overreacting to Carolina’s resounding win over the Lions. I’m banking on a good performance from the Buccaneers’ defense, which ranks 10th in rushing DVOA. I also suspect they’ll force Darnold into some bad throws that will have people wondering whether his career really is saved.
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-6) | Total 52
- Bears +6
- Justin Fields over 70.5 rushing yards
- Jared Goff over 267.5 passing yards
- Odds: +560
Again, are we really going to trust Detroit to win by a touchdown against anyone with all of the pressure on them? I need to see it to believe it. Fields rushed for 147 yards in the first meeting between these teams and is gunning for the single-season quarterback rushing record. Meanwhile, Goff should be able to answer against a Bears secondary that ranks 29th in pass-defense DVOA.
New York Jets (-2) at Seattle Seahawks | Total 42.5
- Jets -2
- Zonovan Knight over 57.5 rushing yards
- D.K. Metcalf under 68.5 receiving yards
- Odds: +567
The Seahawks could get receiver Tyler Lockett back for this game, but both Lockett and Metcalf could get locked up against New York’s talented cornerback tandem. Mike White is back under center for New York, which means Seattle will at least have to recognize that the Jets have someone who can complete passes. That exposes their 25th-ranked run defense against Knight, who has been a nice little surprise during the season’s home stretch.
Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) | Total 42.5
- Rams +6.5
- Cam Akers over 69.5 rushing yards
- Justin Herbert over 284.5 passing yards
- Odds: +567
The Rams are still playing hard for Sean McVay, which showed in last week’s obliteration of the Broncos. Baker Mayfield is also playing for his NFL future. Akers has emerged out of nowhere during the last month and now gets a porous Chargers run defense. However, Herbert should be able to counter against a Rams defense that ranks 20th in passing DVOA.
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