NFL Week 18 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).
Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).
(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)
Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>
| Season | Week | Units | ROI | Record |
| All Time | -18.3 | -10.8% | 131 – 227 | |
| 2022 | All | +8.8 | +5.2% | 68 – 102 |
| 2023 | 1 | -2.2 | -16.5% | 4 – 9 |
| 2023 | 2 | -1.9 | -15.4% | 4 – 8 |
| 2023 | 3 | -3.1 | -25.8% | 3 – 9 |
| 2023 | 4 | -11.0 | -100% | 0 – 11 |
| 2023 | 5 | +4.4 | +39.7% | 6 – 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | -4.8 | -39.8% | 4 – 8 |
| 2023 | 7 | -1.5 | -15.0% | 3 – 7 |
| 2023 | 8 | +1.3 | +10.0% | 5 – 8 |
| 2023 | 9 | +0.4 | +4.4% | 4 – 6 |
| 2023 | 10 | +2.7 | +27.0% | 3 – 7 |
| 2023 | 11 | -2.4 | -22.3% | 4 – 7 |
| 2023 | 12 | +1.0 | +9.8% | 5 – 5 |
| 2023 | 13 | -6.0 | -59.9% | 2 – 8 |
| 2023 | 14 | -8.4 | -76.4% | 1 – 10 |
| 2023 | 15 | +1.5 | +14.6% | 5 – 5 |
| 2023 | 16 | +0.8 | +9.0% | 4 – 5 |
| 2023 | 17 | +2.0 | +15.3% | 6 – 7 |
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Best NFL Week 18 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
- D.J. Moore
- Anytime TD Odds: +162 Caesars
The surging Bears look to play spoiler in Green Bay this week with a playoff spot on the line for the Packers. The Packers were in a similar situation last season in the finale against the Lions. Detroit was able to knock the Packers out of the playoffs, despite already being eliminated, and they kept the momentum going into a 11 -5 season this year.
The Bears will look to do something similar in a potential career defining game for Justin Fields in Chicago. With the #1 overall pick locked up, Fields has done enough to convince the majority of Chicago fans and players to trade or use that pick on Marvin Harrison Jr. With regards to the Bears front office, it remains to be seen if Fields has shown enough consistency from within the pocket in his third season to pass on the top QB prospect in this year’s draft, along with the financial benefits that come with it.
Fields turned in his most complete passing performance as a Bear last week against Atlanta and was able to connect with Moore for 159 yards and a TD. Moore has accounted for 50% of Fields’ 16 passing TD’s this season. If Fields can string two great outings from within the pocket to close the season, while knocking out their biggest division rival in the process, GM Ryan Poles may see enough to use the valuable draft capital and cap space to build around him moving forward.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
- Trey McBride
- Anytime TD Odds: +220 Caesars
McBride has broken out in his second year in the league. Since Week 8, he is tied for the most receptions and is third in the league in receiving yards among all TE’s. McBride has also dominated target share (28.2%) in the Cardinals offense during that span. Despite the big workload, he only has two TD’s on the season. The Cardinals are coming off a big win in Philadelphia and are only 2.5-point underdogs against the Seahawks this week. McBride should see plenty of opportunity again this week and has a chance to cap off his breakout year with a TD.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
- Rachaad White
- Anytime TD Odds: -110 FanDuel
White broke his four game streak of finding the end zone last week against the Saints. That game also broke his streak of four straight games with 23 or more touches. White “only†had 15 touches, which was below his average of 19.6 on the season (7th in the NFL). In a must win game for the Bucs, expect White to get back to the usage he was seeing throughout the year against a terrible Panthers run defense. The Panthers have allowed the most total TD’s to RB’s this season (24).
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
- Chase Brown
- Anytime TD Odds: +260 PointsBet
With the Browns starters resting this week, I will lean towards someone on the Bengals side in this matchup. The Bengals have been eliminated from the postseason and could look to get former Illini RB Chase Brown more involved in the finale. Brown was already seeing an increased role over the last five weeks and looked like he belong in the NFL. He averaged 8.2 touches during that span with his one TD coming through the air. The matchup is not great against the Browns, but as mentioned, they will not have their starting defense playing throughout in this one.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
- Justin Jefferson
- Anytime TD Odds: +105 DraftKings
Jefferson has still been productive in his return from injury despite the poor QB play for the Vikings. He has seen 10 targets in three straight games and will likely benefit from Nick Mullens under center again this week. The last time Mullens started, Jefferson had 141 yards and a TD against the Lions. As evidenced by the box score in their last matchup, the Lions present a great opportunity to finish a lost season strong.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers
- Gerald Everett
- Anytime TD Odds: TBD
The Chiefs don’t have anything to play for and the line is indicative of the starters sitting out. The Chargers are 3.5-point favorites at home. The veteran TE has been a reliable option for QB Easton Stick over the last three weeks. He has seen at least 8 targets in those games after struggling with injuries earlier in the season. This is an ugly game with one of the lowest totals on the week (35), but Everett has a chance to find the end zone if he continues to see that volume from Stick.
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders
- Jakobi Meyers
- Anytime TD Odds: +260 PointsBet
Both teams were officially eliminated last week but we should still see the usual suspects be involved on the Raiders side. That leans me towards WR Jakobi Meyers finishing the year strong after a productive year. Meyers season got off to a great start with his new team against this same Broncos defense. Meyers caught 9 passes and had two TD’s in that matchup. His scoring has cooled off since finding the end zone five times through the his first six games but has still been integral part of the passing offense. Rookie QB Aiden O’Connell looked his way often last week, throwing 10 passes his way.
New York Jets at New England Patriots
- Breece Hall
- Anytime TD Odds: +160 FanDuel
Hall has had two of his best performances of an otherwise disappointing season over the last two weeks. He has accounted for 317 yards of offense and has scored three times during that span. In a matchup of two terrible offenses that features the lowest total of the week (30.5), I’ll side with Breece Hall again. He has averaged 27 touches per game during the last two games and there should be no reason for the Jets to move away from Hall being the focal point.
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
- Chris Olave
- Anytime TD Odds: +200 BetMGM
This is a must win game for the Saints and they need their best pass catcher to step up. Olave had a disappointing outing last week, only catching three passes for 26 yards. This comes the week after he saw 13 targets and turned them into 123 yards. This may be a good bounce back spot for Olave. He was on his way to a career performance the last time he faced the Falcons in Week 12. Olave turned in 114 yards on 7 catches, despite being knocked out of the game with a concussion by half. Expect Olave to be heavily involved and find the end zone this week.
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants
- A.J. Brown
- Anytime TD Odds: +130 DraftKings
The reeling Eagles fell out of the division lead in the NFC East. They’ll need a win this week to have a chance to reclaim the division. Devonta Smith’s status for Sunday is not looking great after sustaining an injury late in the game last week. The Eagles will need Brown to step up against a poor Giants secondary. Brown has not scored since Week 12 but has still seen double digit targets in four of the five games since then. Hurts and Brown should be able to connect for a TD this week.
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
- Jordan Mason
- Anytime TD Odds: TBD
Both teams having nothing to play for this week and will be resting their starters. It give an opportunity for other younger players to step up and should allow for added opportunity for RB Jordan Mason. Mason has been behind CMC and Mitchell on the depth chart but has still taken advantage of the limited opportunities in his second season. He has three TD’s on year, despite never playing over a quarter of the snaps. Mason should see more than that this week and will get a chance to add to his TD total.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
- Calvin Ridley
- Anytime TD Odds: +175 Caesars
The status of QB Trevor Lawrence is in doubt again this week. This is a must win game for the Jags to make the playoffs, so I would expect Lawrence to be out there, even if he is not fully healthy. This should be a welcome sight for Ridley, who has had an up and down season his return for suspension. Ridley has been a consistent target earner and has averaged 10 targets a game over the last five weeks. With seven TD’s on the season and facing a vulnerable Titans secondary, Ridley has a good chance to make it eight and help get the Jags in the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders
- Tony Pollard
- Anytime TD Odds: -122 ESPNBET
Pollard disappointing season continued last week. He hasn’t totaled mored than 6o yards in three straight games and only has five TD’s on what has been the third highest scoring offense in the NFL. Luckily for Pollard, he gets a matchup against a bottom ranked Commanders defense that has allowed the most rushing yards per game (145.0) to RB’s over the last five weeks. Pollard has continued to be the goal line back, despite not converted a number of chances this year. That said, the Cowboys are 13-point favorites in a game they need to win to clinch the division and the #2 seed in the NFC.
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