NFL Week 18 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Underdog Bets (2023)

We profited again in Week 17, as we saw the Saints and Lions cover for us. Unfortunately, we are on our final Underdog article for this NFL season. We’ll have to navigate through all the teams resting starters as well as teams still fighting for a playoff berth.

Let’s dive into our final week of Top Underdog bets in the NFL.

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NFL Week 18: Top Underdog Bets

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (+3.5) 

Despite the Ravens resting most of their starters, I actually like them to still keep this game close with QB Tyler Huntley taking over for Lamar Jackson. Yes, they don’t care about the result of this game, but something tells me they would love to knock their AFC North rival out of playoff contention.

At the end of the day, Mason Rudolph and the Steelers will need to go into Baltimore and beat a Ravens team by more than a field goal. I’m not sure they’re capable. Even with some defensive starters out, this defense is excellent and some of these backups could start on other teams. I’m banking on the Steelers to slip up on offense, as they haven’t put together three straight good games at any point this season.

Bet: Ravens +3.5 (-105)

Chicago Bears (+3) at Green Bay Packers

I simply am not a fan of this Packers team. They were very inconsistent throughout this season and never really put it all together at any point. Yes, they looked good last week against a mediocre Vikings team that started the wrong QB. With their season on the line, the Vikings opted to go with a rookie QB who has not played a full game, and it showed. A costly turnover on the first possession resulted in a Packers rout.

I’m not so sure it goes the same if Nick Mullens starts that game. However, the result last week is problem a good reason why we’re getting a full +3 for the Bears this week, so we’re going to take it. This Bears team has really turned a corner as they’ve won 4 of their past 5 games.

Justin Fields is making a statement to be the QB going forward and if he’s able to knock off the Packers at Lambeau, there should be no debate that he is the guy for them in 2024. With both of these teams being very familiar with each other, give me the team with the better QB (Fields) and WR1 (DJ Moore).

Bet: Bears +3 (-112

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+3)

I think the entire world is backing the Bills this week, as they seemingly found their rhythm as this season winds down. However, I still have some concerns with this team. First and foremost, Stefon Diggs is going to have to become a focal point of this offense at some point, as he is a key piece to this offense. He’s only had one game of 50-plus receiving yards in the past two months. While the Bills have won four straight games, I don’t believe this trend can keep up much longer if this team wants to make a run in the postseason.

Secondly, Josh Allen must take better care of the ball as we get into January football. Allen has 19 turnovers, including a career-high 16 interceptions already this season. As this team plays better defenses, these flaws are going to get exposed if they do not correct things. On top of that, they’re traveling to Miami as a road favorite with the AFC East and No. 2 seed in the AFC on the line.

The Dolphins are going to be fired up and motivated for this game. I wouldn’t expect them to get blown out despite their own concerns playing against better teams. This Bills team has won four straight, but they’ve failed to cover the spread against mediocre Patriots and Chargers teams in recent weeks. All of these factors leads me to believe we’re going to have this Sunday Night game for the AFC East going down to the wire. The final score should be a field goal or less on either side.

Bet: Dolphins +3 (-110)


Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:


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