NFL Week 18 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (2022)
The NFL is a bettor’s dream, offering a boatload of wagering options. The NFL Week 18 player prop bet market is one of the best betting markets. They are an opportunity to bet on a player’s stats, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receptions, or touchdowns. They have perfect crossover appeal for fantasy sports gamers dipping their toes into the betting world. Savvy gamblers wisely check many books for the best prop odds, and the following suggestions are my favorite props after scanning multiple sportsbooks.
So, let’s look at some NFL Week 18 player prop bets.
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
NFL Week 18 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (2022)
Deshaun Watson Under 208.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Deshaun Watson has been comically bad since returning from his suspension. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Watson averages a pathetic 174.4 passing yards per game. He’s also had under 170 yards in four of five starts.
Frankly, his passing prop looks outrageously high. The matchup is challenging, too. According to Football Outsiders, the Steelers are 10th in pass defense DVOA since T.J. Watt returned from an injury in Week 10. In addition, they’ve allowed only two quarterbacks to eclipse 200 passing yards in a game since Watt returned. Thus, Watson’s under for 208.5 passing yards is an exciting wager.
Najee Harris Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Najee Harris has been a new man since Pittsburgh’s bye in Week 9. He’s averaged 74.1 rushing yards per game, had a median of 86 rushing yards and bested 70.5 rushing yards five times in seven contests.
Harris has also succeeded against the Browns. He ran for only 56 yards against them in Week 3 this season. However, he rumbled for 91 and 188 yards last year. Harris should have little trouble running roughshod over Cleveland’s pathetic run defense.
First, the Browns are 26th in rush defense DVOA since Week 11. Second, per The 33rd Team and data from Sports Info Solutions, running backs have averaged 120.1 rushing yards per game during that timeframe. Third, in Cleveland’s previous eight games, eight running backs have exceeded 70.5 rushing yards per game.
The Steelers are 2.5-point favorites, setting the stage for a hefty workload for Harris. As a result, FanatasyPros projects Harris for 71.9 rushing yards. So, bettors are encouraged to join me in betting on Harris’s over for 70.5 rushing yards.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him, @BChad50.