NFL Week 18 PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions

Starting in Week 18 and throughout the NFL playoffs, I will be providing my top player props from PrizePicks.com. Sign up now!

From unders-or-overs to more-or-less, there’s really no better time to dive into play props than at the conclusion of the fantasy football season. Let the game sweats keep coming!

Note that lines may change from the time this is published, in which case I will update the numbers in accordance with what the lines are on the platform, along with any newer props that I think are worthy of targeting.

Let’s get it.

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NFL Week 18 PrizePicks Player Prop Bet Predictions (2023)

Jared Goff (QB – DET): UNDER 257.5 passing yards

• The Green Bay Packers are allowing the fewest passing yards per game at home this season (165.9).
• The Lions are averaging 237.7 passing yards per game on the road.
• Jared Goff threw for just 137 yards the last time he played the Packers. He also has only hit the over on this prop while playing outdoors once all season.
• The Lions seem more likely to enter Lambeau Field with a run-heavy approach against the Packers’ atrocious run defense.

Ezekiel Elliott (RB – DAL): UNDER 57.5 rushing yards

• Ezekiel Elliott has gone under his rushing prop in his last two games, despite totaling 17.5 carries per game.
• The Commanders’ defense has allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game to RBs (71) since Week 7.
• When Dallas last faced Washington, Elliott rushed for just 49 yards on 19 carries.
• After missing Week 17, Tony Pollard is expected back in the lineup for Week 18, thwarting potential carries for Elliott.

Miles Sanders (RB – PHI): OVER 63.5 rushing yards

• Philadelphia is playing for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, while the New York Giants are most likely resting their starters with nothing to play for.
• The Eagles boast the No. 1 run-blocking matchup in Week 18 per the 33rd Team’s Trenches Matchup Tool.
• Miles Sanders rushed for a season-high 144 rushing yards versus the Giants back in Week 14.
• The Giants’ run defense has allowed 119 rushing yards per game to RBs since Week 7 at the fourth-highest yards per carry (5.2).
• Sanders dominated the Eagles backfield with a 71% opportunity share in Week 17 with 12 carries for 61 yards. Boston Scott and Kenneth Gainwell combined for just two carries.

Amari Cooper (WR – CLE): OVER 57.5 receiving yards

• Amari Cooper boasts a 28% target share with Deshaun Watson at quarterback this season.
• He’s averaged 7.2 targets and 63.4 receiving yards per game.
• Cooper has gone over 57.5 receiving yards for 3 straight weeks.
• The Browns No. 1 WR caught seven balls for 101 receiving yards on 11 targets the last time he faced Pittsburgh this season (Week 3).
• Pittsburgh has allowed at least 58 receiving yards to an opposing WR from Weeks 11-15 before facing Derek Carr on Christmas Eve and a Ravens offense last week that does not feature WRs in their passing game.

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