NFL Week 2: Best Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions for Sunday (2022)

Check out some of our favorite player prop bet odds, picks, and predictions for Week 2 of the NFL season.

NFL Week 2: Best Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)

Mitchell Trubisky under 0.5 (+105)

The Steelers had a solid offensive game plan that allowed them to come away with a win against the Bengals. They didn't force Trubisky to make big plays, and he only came away with 3.5 air yards per attempt last week. They will continue with that same game plan against the Patriots and will not test that secondary.

Check out our other NFL Week 2 Interception Over/Unders >>

Deebo Samuel (-120 DraftKings)

Deebo Samuel is the focal point of this offense, we saw it all last year, and we saw it again in rain-soaked week 1 vs. the Chicago Bears. 

Playing out of his “wide-back” position, Deebo was targeted seven times but only had two catches for 14 yards. He also had eight rushing attempts for 52 yards and one touchdown.

With the injury to Mitchell, I am sure we will see Deebo splitting time between the backfield and the WR positions again and creating mismatches all game. 

Last season the Seattle Seahawks allowed the most receptions and receiving yards to opposing running backs and have continued that trend this year. Last week against Denver, they allowed 16 receptions and 133 yards to Denver’s backfield and were lucky enough to recover two fumbles on the goal line, or they could have also let up two rushing touchdowns.

Check out our other NFL Week 2 Anytime Touchdown Scorer >>

Donovan Peoples-Jones (+1000)

The Cleveland Browns host the New York Jets on Sunday as six-and-a-half point favorites. Serving as Cleveland’s number one passing option, Donovan Peoples-Jones is worth a stab at this prop, considering New York’s terrible secondary.

Last week, the Jets’ secondary got torched by Baltimore’s receiving core as they surrendered all three touchdowns through the air. The first score of the game was a 25-yard pass from Lamar Jackson to Devin Duvernay.

We could see another first score through the air in this matchup. In Week 1, the Browns’ first score was a passing touchdown to Kareem Hunt.

While It was just a one-yard screen, Cleveland demonstrated how unafraid they are to throw the football with Brissett throwing 34 times. He had one favorite target in that game: Peoples-Jones.

Peoples-Jones finished with 60 yards on six catches while leading the team in targets (11), which was five more than the second most-targeted receiver (Amari Cooper). New York’s offense was as bad as you would expect last week with Joe Flacco at the helm, evidenced by the fact that their only touchdown was scored with a minute left in the game.

At 10/1, Peoples-Jones is worth a shot to score first.

Check out our other NFL Week 2 First Touchdown Scorer >>

Tom Brady UNDER 276.5 passing yards

Dennis Allen, who's been the Saints' defensive coordinator since 2015 and is now their head coach, has done a pretty good job of scheming against Brady ever since the GOAT's 2020 arrival in Tampa. Brady has failed to hit this number in four of his five games against the Saints the last two years, including a playoff game in January 2021. Brady's yardage totals in those five games: 239, 209, 199, 375, 214. Brady won't have WR Chris Godwin (hamstring). WRs Justin Gage (hamstring) and Julio Jones (knee) are also less than 100%, as is LT Donovan Smith (elbow). And Saints CB Marshon Lattimore has had Buccaneers WR Mike Evans' number the last couple of years. This number looks too tall for Brady.

Carson Wentz OVER 240.5 passing yards

A.J. Brown came through for us last week, easily hitting the over on his yardage total against the Lions, so let's keep picking on the weak Detroit secondary. Wentz is a more appealing play than any of the Washington receivers because it appears the Commanders now have three good pass-catching options with Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and rookie Jahan Dotson. Why guess at target distribution when we can just bet the over with Wentz and leverage the talents of all three of those receivers? The Lions gave up a league-high 7.6 yards per pass attempt last season and allowed 7.5 yards per attempt in Week 1. As noted here last week, Lions CB Jeffrey Okudah came into the season having allowed 2.28 yards per coverage snap and 12.6 yards per target over his brief career, while Lions CB Amani Oruwariye entered 2022 having allowed 1.20 yards per coverage snap and 9.1 yards per target for his career.

Javonte Williams OVER 59.5 rushing yards

Williams had a modest 7-43-0 rushing line against the Seahawks in Week 1, but he was used extensively in the passing game, catching 11 of 12 targets. Melvin Gordon had a 12-58-0 rushing line in that game, but Williams played 58% of the offensive snaps for the Broncos, while Gordon played 41% of the snaps. The guess here is that we'll continue to see something close to a 60/40 workload split in Williams' favor. That should mean at least 12-15 carries for Williams this week in a game that has the Broncos favored by 10 points over the Texans (i.e., likely a run-friendly game script). No team allowed more rushing yards to opposing RBs last year than Houston, and Jonathan Taylor trampled the Texans for 161 rushing yards last week.

Check out the rest of Pat Fitzmaurice’s favorite player prop bets here >>

Chase Edmonds Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Edmonds has an outstanding matchup for demonstrating his pass-catching chops. Last week, Jets running backs combined for 13 receptions for 78 yards against the Ravens. Obviously, one game doesn’t make a season. Still, the Ravens were gashed by running backs through the air last year. Baltimore allowed the seventh-most receiving yards (743) to running backs in 2021. Further, running backs had a scintillating 9.53 yards per reception against the Ravens last season.

Fortunately, Edmonds is capable of exploiting Baltimore’s defense. The speedy running back was third on the Dolphins in routes (21) and targets (four) last week, parlaying his work into four receptions for 40 yards.

Edmonds also wasn’t just used out of the backfield. He aligned wide once and in the slot twice. Further, Edmonds had a 3.8-yard aDoT, meaning he was thrown passes behind the line of scrimmage instead of just check-downs and dump-offs. So, he has an excellent chance of exceeding 22.5 receiving yards. Finally, the FantasyPros algorithm is projecting Edmonds for 25.8 receiving yards, putting him over his prop.

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