NFL Week 2 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Bears vs. Packers (2022)
Week 1 of Sunday Night Football was a one-sided, low-scoring game as the Buccaneers knocked off the Cowboys, 19-3. On paper, we may be in for more of the same in Week Two. The Chicago Bears visit Lambeau Field to take on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers this week and enter the game as 9.5-point underdogs. With a total on the game of only 41.5, the books are forecasting a dominant, low-scoring win for the Packers.
The Offenses
Neither team's offense dazzled in Week 1. The Packers were shut out in the first half of their game against the Vikings en route to a 23-7 loss, while the Bears managed to score 19 points in a sloppy, rainy upset over the 49ers. If the Bears’ defense can replicate their Week 1 performance, they'll have a chance in the game, but they'll be in for a much more difficult challenge playing against Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has owned Chicago recently, especially in Lambeau. The Bears haven't won in Green Bay since 2015, with 5 of their 6 losses since then coming by 8 or more points.
Last week's Packers loss reminds me of their 2021 season opener – a game they lost 38-3, in which Rodgers played poorly. Rodgers came back in Week 2 with an excellent game, throwing for 255 yards and 4 touchdowns in a dominant win over the Detroit Lions. I expect Rodgers to put up a great game again on Sunday night. The Packers are 9-0 after a loss in the regular season under Matt LaFleur, and it seems unlikely that Rodgers will allow the Packers to fall to 0-2 at home.
The Defenses
On the other side of the ball, the Packers’ defense matches up well with Chicago. Green Bay didn't play their best defensive game last week, but allowing 23 points against a Vikings offense that looks to be one of the best in the league this year is a respectable performance. The Packers had a great deal of trouble with star Vikings WR Justin Jefferson, but the Bears don't have any weapons that require a similar level of concern. In both their games against Green Bay last year, Bears QB Justin Fields threw for 398 yards, 3 TDs, and 3 INT on a 56% completion rate. These numbers aren't bad for a rookie QB, but I expect the Packers’ defense to come to play on Sunday.
Allen Lazard
Finally, I expect Packers WR Allen Lazard to have a nice game on Sunday. Rodgers struggled to build much rapport with any of his receivers last Sunday – the leading receiver in the game was RB AJ Dillon with 46 yards, and none of the Packers WRs eclipsed 37 yards. Lazard missed the game with an ankle injury, but he has practiced this week and looks to be on track to rejoin the Packers on Sunday night. Rodgers will be thrilled to have Lazard back as a red zone target. On 40 catches last season, Lazard converted 8 TD.
With Rodgers lacking history with any other receiving option, I expect him to look for Lazard as a primary target every time the Packers get into scoring range on Sunday night.
The Bet:
- Leg 1: Packers -2.5
- Leg 2: Under 48.5 total points
- Leg 3: Rodgers Over 199.5 pass yds
- Leg 4: Allen Lazard anytime TD (+575 Draftkings)
Odds: +575 DraftKings
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