NFL Week 3 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Each week, I’ll be providing my favorite Sunday parlay, along with my favorite same-game parlay options for each game. Without further ado, here are this week’s parlay picks.
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Week 3 Parlay
- Leg 1: Indianapolis Colts moneyline +215
- Leg 2: Minnesota Vikings -6
- Leg 3: Atlanta Falcons moneyline +100
Odds: +1116
We’re going a little bold with this week’s parlay. The Colts’ +7 were one of my favorite spread bets of the week, and I think they could win this game outright with a big game from Jonathan Taylor. The same goes for Atlanta, who has more talent than the depleted Seahawks. Lastly, I don’t love many favorites this week, but I think we’re getting Minnesota at a discount after their disappointing effort Monday night.
Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 at Indianapolis Colts | Total 50.5
- Leg 1: Colts +5.5
- Leg 2: Jonathan Taylor over 83.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 touchdown passes
Odds: +629
As I said before, this is a buy-low spot on the Colts in a game I suspect they could win outright. To win, they’ll have to give Jonathan Taylor more than 10 carries like they did last week. The Chiefs rank 6th in rush defense DVOA, but they haven’t really been tested against Arizona and the Chargers. Taylor should feast, and if he does, the Colts should cover. As for Mahomes, he has 17 touchdowns in his career against Colts defensive coordinator Gus Bradley. While the Colts will try to take the air out of the ball, Mahomes has a good chance of getting three touchdowns.
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings -6 | Total 52.5
- Leg 1: Vikings -6
- Leg 2: Justin Jefferson over 98.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Amon-Ra St. Brown over 70.5 receiving yards
Odds: +600
This game has the potential to be a shootout, as both teams possess high-powered offenses and mediocre defenses. And mediocre might be putting it lightly regarding Detroit’s defense. Jefferson should be set to explode against a Lions secondary allowing 273.5 passing yards per game. Minnesota’s secondary has actually been slightly worse in that category, and St. Brown should thrive in the slot. This game could play out similarly to Detroit’s Week 1 loss to Philadelphia. And we may have to sweat out this cover as the Lions potentially make a late charge.
Houston Texans at Chicago Bears -2.5 | Total 40
- Leg 1: Houston +2.5
- Leg 2: Dameon Pierce over 58.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: David Montgomery over 68.5 rushing yards
Odds: +598
I think the Texans will continue to be undervalued, as they’ve covered in their first two games against superior opponents. Now they’ll travel to face a similarly untalented Bears team. It won’t be a pretty game to watch, but I’d take the points with a Texans team that’s been more consistently competitive. As for the running back props, both of these teams rank outside the top 25 in rush defense DVOA. With both of these teams being overly conservative, I’d expect both these backs to produce.
Las Vegas Raiders -1.5 at Tennessee Titans | Total 45.5
- Leg 1: Raiders -1.5
- Leg 2: Davante Adams over 83.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Treylon Burks over 3.5 receptions
Odds: +593
The Bills can make any team look bad, but the Titans are far from the team that earned the No. 1 overall seed a year ago. The Raiders will be plenty motivated after last week’s debacle, and I expect Davante Adams to get fed against a lousy Titans secondary that just let Stefon Diggs go off. Meanwhile, Burks has gotten more targets than expected to begin the year and has seven receptions in three games. I suspect Tennessee will be forced into a pass-heavy game script, favoring Burks’ potential in this matchup.
Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 at Washington Commanders | Total 47.5
- Leg 1: Commanders +6.5
- Leg 2: Carson Wentz over o.5 interceptions
- Leg 3: Jahan Dotson over 40.5 receiving yards
Odds: +471
I’d prefer this at Commanders +7, but I think it’s a nice buy-low, sell-high spot after the Eagles dominated the Vikings Monday night. As for Wentz, he feels like a confident bet to make at least one mistake against his former team. However, he’s been slinging the ball around and has built a solid rapport with the rookie Dotson, who has hit 40 yards in his first two career games.
Cincinnati Bengals -6 at New York Jets | Total 45
- Leg 1: Bengals -6
- Leg 2: Joe Mixon over 75.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: Joe Flacco over 36 pass attempts
Odds: +644
Maybe I’m falling into a trap, but I think the Bengals get right against a Jets team that was fortunate to win in Week 2. Great story, but the Jets’ defense is still struggling mightily, and this will be the best offense they’ve faced all year. Given Cincinnati’s offensive line woes, I’d expect them to feed Mixon against a Jets run defense that struggled against Nick Chubb last week. Lastly, this game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, and if the Jets get in an early hole, we should see Flacco eclipse this really high prop.
Baltimore Ravens -2.5 at New England Patriots | Total 44.5
- Leg 1: Under 44.5
- Leg 2: Lamar Jackson under 50.5 rushing yards
Odds: +265
This is admittedly not one of my favorite games on the board. I do expect it to be a low-scoring affair, with Bill Belichick committing to containing Jackson in the pocket.
Buffalo Bills -5 at Miami Dolphins, Total 52.5
- Leg 1: Over 52.5
- Leg 2: Jaylen Waddle over 61.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Stefon Diggs over 80.5 receiving yards
Odds: +567
Points, points, and more points. That’s what I’m anticipating in this one. I’m rolling with Waddle’s yardage total because it’s lower than Tyreek Hill’s, even though he’s equally as capable of monster plays. As for Diggs, it’s hard to deny him surpassing this total, especially if Gabriel Davis is out yet again.
New Orleans Saints -2.5 at Carolina Panthers | Total 41
- Leg 1: Panthers moneyline +130
- Leg 2: Under 41
Odds: +348
This is a game I’m not touching, but if I had to play it, I’d take a shot on the Panthers pulling this mild upset. The Saints’ offense was a disaster without Alvin Kamara, and he could miss this week’s game. I’m anticipating another low-scoring affair between these two uninspiring offenses.
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 at Arizona Cardinals | Total 45.5
- Leg 1: Over 48.5
- Leg 2: Cooper Kupp over 98.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Greg Dortch over 2.5 receptions
Odds: +747
This is another game that could feature many points, as neither defense has inspired much confidence early on. Kupp should go off once again, while Dortch has developed into a nice ancillary weapon in the place of Rondale Moore, who could miss another game.
Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks -1 | Total 42
- Leg 1: Falcons moneyline +100
- Leg 2: Drake London over 53.5 receiving yards
- Leg 3: Marcus Mariota anytime TD
Odds: +1126
As I mentioned above, I think Atlanta has more talent than Seattle and is a live short underdog on the road. London has emerged as Atlanta’s top receiving target and matches up with a Seahawks secondary that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA. Lastly, I’m taking a shot on Mariota using his legs to get a score, as he already has a rushing score on the season.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Los Angeles Chargers -7 | Total 47
I’m passing on this until we get further clarification on quarterback Justin Herbert. However, at this current number, I would recommend a play on Jacksonville, as the Jags could stay within this number even if Herbert plays.
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1.5 | Total 42
- Leg 1: Buccaneers -1.5
- Leg 2: Aaron Jones under 55.5 rushing yards
- Leg 3: Tom Brady under 245.5 passing yards
Odds: +546
This feels like a cheap number to buy the Buccaneers, especially at home. I know they’ve struggled mightily on offense, but so have the Packers through two games. The best unit in this game is Tampa Bay’s defense, and I suspect they’ll be committed to shutting down the Packers’ running game. As for Brady, I’m selling him until his receivers get fully healthy. We already know he’ll be without Mike Evans and likely Chris Godwin this week.
San Francisco 49ers -1.5 at Denver Broncos | Total 44.5
- Leg 1: Under 44.5
- Leg 2: Jeff Wilson under 55.5 rushing yards
Odds: +253
This game screams defensive struggle to me, as the Broncos look completely out of sync to start the year and could be short-handed without Jerry Jeudy. Meanwhile, I expect Kyle Shanahan to utilize a committee at tailback, limiting Wilson in what’s already a tough matchup against a stout Broncos front seven.
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