NFL Week 4 Betting Systems Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
We’re headed to another week of the NFL season! Our 20,000+ betting systems have helped boost bankrolls through the first three weeks of the year. Therefore, I added another three system plays for Week 4 that look enticing below.
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Week 4 Best NFL Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pass Completions Over
The “Pass comp over†system has gone 15-3 in its last 18 bets. The system looks for a quarterback to hit completions at a high rate.
Here are the criteria:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 4 to 5
- Last 10 Games: Over in 7 to 10
- Last 15 Games: Over in 11 to 15
- Last 20 Games: Over in 15 to 20
Ultimately, Nix has only played in three NFL games. That said, Nix has completed at least 20 passes in every game this season and looked his best last weekend against the Buccaneers.
Nix had thrown two interceptions in each of his previous two games. However, in Week 3, he completed a season-high 69.4% of passes and didn’t take a single sack. It’ll be harder against the Jets, but Nix was way more comfortable and quickly getting the ball out of his hands.
It doesn’t matter how short of a gain Nix earns from his throws. He just needs to complete them. Let’s back his Over here.
Pick: Bo Nix Over 18.5 Passing Completions (-127)
Rushing Yards
Take a look at the RuYds system. Over the last 208 bets, this system has cashed in a 15.1% ROI on 208 wagers. It’s also hit 61.1% of the time and has earned more than 31 units of profit.
This system looks for players to exceed their rushing yards. A player must have exceeded this percentage in 54% of games and need to cost -351 to -101.
In addition, a player must hit this line in:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 3 to 5
- Last 10 Games: Over in 6 to 10
- Last 15 Games: Over in 8 to 15
- Last 20 Games: Over in 12 to 20
C.J. Stroud has nailed at least eight rushing yards in two of the first three games this season. He’s also added a rush of at least seven yards in two of the first three games. With a matchup against the Jaguars, you can bet the Texans will get down the field. However, he might not find open receivers as much without Tank Dell available. That’ll force him to get out of the pocket and make a play with his legs.
Let’s back Stroud to go Over 7.5 rushing yards.
Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
CatchingBooms System
Check out the CatchingBooms system. Over the last 79 bets, this system has added a 48.6% ROI with a 67.1% win percentage.
To fit the description, a player’s team must be an underdog from EVEN to +5 and cost +101 or worse odds. In addition, a player must have hit this line in 75% of games along with this:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 3 to 5
- Last 10 Games: Over in 5 to 10
- Last 15 Games: Over in 8 to 15
- Last 20 Games: Over in 9 to 20
So far, Luke McCaffrey has two games with at least three receptions. His usage could increase. For one, Austin Ekeler isn’t available in the short passing game. Second, the Commanders were dominant offensively last week and have way more confidence in Jayden Daniels to throw the ball down the field.
McCaffrey is +128 to earn three receptions, but he’s already done this twice in his first three career games.
McCaffrey should add at least three receptions on Sunday.