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NFL Week 4 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Underdog Bets (2023)

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In Week 3, we again saw six underdogs cover the spread. We went 3-0 from our underdogs article last week, and we will look to continue our success this week.

Some notable games in Week 3 included the Colts, Cardinals and Texans winning outright as big underdogs. Nobody predicted the Colts to go into Baltimore and handle the Ravens like they did. The Saints squandered a big lead in Green Bay but still managed to cover our spread of +2 thanks to Matt LaFleur going for two and the win.

That said, let’s dive into our best Week 4 underdog bets.

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    NFL Week 4: Top Underdog Bets

    Baltimore Ravens (+3) vs. Cleveland Browns

    After a heartbreaking loss to the Colts, I like John Harbaugh to motivate this team for a huge divisional game against the Browns. As it seems to be the case every year, this Ravens team is always dealing with injuries. Last week, they had some key guys on both sides of the ball missing, and it was very obvious during the game. However, some of those guys should be working their way back this week, including Ronnie Stanley, Justice Hill, Tyler Linderbaum and Marcus Williams. It would provide a big boost up front against this tough Browns defense if those guys are able to go. If Kyle Hamilton and Marcus Williams can gut it out this week, I think it will also do wonders for this defense.

    Yes, the Browns played a nearly perfect game last week against a mediocre Titans team, but I’m still not completely sold on this team. The defense has looked incredible so far, but that was against the Titans, Steelers, and Bengals with a banged-up Joe Burrow in the rain. This Ravens offense and Lamar Jackson will bring a new test to this defense and reveal how serious this team really is.

    These teams know each other very well, and I can’t imagine this game doesn’t go down to the wire and isn’t decided by three points or less. I’ll take the Ravens here as they’ve had their way with this division in recent memory and are motivated coming off of a bad, embarrassing loss. This game goes a long way in deciding who will be the leader of the division when it’s all said and done.

    I’ll take the Ravens to cover +3 and even win outright in a huge game in Cleveland.

    Bet: Ravens +3 vs. Browns (-115)

    Las Vegas Raiders (+5.5) vs. Los Angeles Chargers

    We pulled out a crazy Chargers win last week despite Brandon Staley’s decisions. Staley went for it on fourth and one deep in their own territory to attempt to seal the win against the Vikings. This backfired and nearly allowed the Vikings to take the lead late in the game. Luckily, the defense was able to force a turnover in the end zone to bail out Coach Staley.

    This week, I’ll gladly take the other side to avoid a heart attack from this Chargers team. The Raiders put up a disappointing home performance last week against the Steelers and also had their own interesting coaching decision as they went for a field goal late in the game and were down eight points. This game seems like it will be about which coach can stay out of their own way. Also, the Raiders seem to have the Chargers number in recent years.

    The Chargers just lost WR Mike Williams due to a torn ACL, and this offense may take some time to mesh with guys stepping up. I like the Raiders to bounce back here off a loss in a big game. Would have liked to get this number a +6-6.5, but nonetheless, I still think they keep this game within a field goal.

    Bet: Raiders +5.5 vs. Chargers (-110)

    Arizona Cardinals (+14) vs. San Francisco 49ers

    We have another divisional game on our board, but we’re going to the West Coast this time.

    After nearly upsetting the Giants in Week 2 and then dominating the Cowboys for a huge win, this Cardinals team is still a 14-point underdog heading into Week 4. Once again, it seems like the 49ers are being overpriced due to how great they’ve looked in the first three weeks of the season. Rightfully so, as they have been nearly perfect in each game so far, with minimal weaknesses.

    It doesn’t feel good going against this team, but I’m having trouble passing up 14 points in a divisional game. The 49ers will look to run the ball all day and shorten this game as they get a lead. Purdy isn’t going to go for 350 yards and three TDs, as we know what this team likes to do. If Josh Dobbs can take care of the football and continue playing solid, they should be able to keep this game relatively close. It’s only a matter of time before we see this 49ers team struggle a bit and play down to their competition.

    I’m betting on the 49ers to look past the Cardinals this week as they have a huge Sunday night game against the Cowboys next week and allow the Cardinals to keep this game within eight to 13 points.

    Bet: Cardinals +14 vs. 49ers (-110)

    Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:

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