NFL Week 4 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

by Dan Servodidio |
Sep 27, 2024

NFL Week 4 is here and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the Over/Under are more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the Week 4 Sunday afternoon slate. Keep in mind, the odds below are accurate as of this writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets as well. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 4 Same Game Parlay bets before the games get underway.

Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 4)

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Leg 1: Eagles -1.5 (-112)
Leg 2: Rachaad White Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Leg 3: Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown (+130)

Following their 2-0 start to the season, the Buccaneers regressed majorly in Week 3 with a 26-7 home loss to Denver. Meanwhile, the Eagles bounced back from their own home loss in Week 2 with a road victory at New Orleans last weekend. Philadelphia's defense limited the red-hot Saints to just 12 points and pulled off the win despite being held scoreless through the first three quarters.

The Eagles haven't really played well on both offense and defense in the same game yet this season. Even so, they're 2-1 and could be undefeated if not for Atlanta's miracle last-minute comeback two weeks ago. It's still buy-low time for Philly. Plus, this is a nice revenge spot for a team that got embarrassed in the playoffs by Tampa Bay last year.

We may be seeing a changing-of-the-guard in the Bucs backfield right now. Rachaad White is averaging only 2.1 yards per carry this year with 31, 18, and 17 total rushing yards in the first three games. Rookie Bucky Irving, meanwhile, has been a spark plug with his 6.2 ypc average and a team-high 154 rushing yards this season. Tampa Bay head coach Todd Bowles said this week that Irving has earned more snaps moving forward. Take the Under on White's yards prop as he loses touches to Irving.

Let's wrap up this SGP with a Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown. The Eagles' quarterback has scored once on the ground so far this season and is bound to see positive regression in that area. Remember, Hurts scored a TD in 11-of-17 games last year with 15 total rushing scores. He had 13 rush TDs two seasons ago as well. Even with Saquon Barkley in town, Hurts will be scoring plenty this year. Tampa allowed Jayden Daniels to score twice in Week 1 and Bo Nix found the end zone last week in this matchup.

Parlay Odds: +410

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

Leg 1: Falcons -2.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Chris Olave Over 85.5 Receiving Yards (+175)
Leg 3: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions (+115)

After a hot start to the season, New Orleans came back down to Earth last week in a home loss to Philadelphia. The Saints came out of that with a lengthy injury report ahead of this divisional matchup. Pro Bowl center Erik McCoy is now on IR after getting hurt last week and guard Cesar Ruiz's status is up in the air with a knee injury. Alvin Kamara (hip/ribs), corner Alontae Taylor (illness), and linebacker Demario Davis (hamstring) are all questionable after not practicing this week. That's a number of key players who are either out or limited.

On the other side, Atlanta is coming off a tough-luck loss to Kansas City. The Falcons led at halftime and easily could've won the game outright if not for that uncalled pass interference penalty at the end. Kirk Cousins looks much more comfortable running the offense over the past two weeks.

The Falcons have had some issues containing opposing top wide receivers. George Pickens (6 receptions for 85 yards) and DeVonta Smith (7 for 76) both had good stat lines against Atlanta's secondary in the first two weeks. Then Rashee Rice exploded for 12 catches and 110 yards in Week 3. Enter Chris Olave, who just had six receptions for 86 yards last week.

Olave is already locked in as Derek Carr's top target in the New Orleans offense. His role this week could be even bigger with Kamara questionable to suit up. Plus, Olave had seven catches for 114 yards on the road at Atlanta last year. He has 80+ receiving yards in back-to-back games coming in and should be in line for another. Let's roll with two Olave props to round out this SGP.

Parlay Odds: +425

Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears

Leg 1: Bears -2.5 (-125)
Leg 2: D'Andre Swift 40+ Rushing Yards (+120)
Leg 3: Tutu Atwell 40+ Receiving Yards (-105)

This Week 4 matchup between the Rams and Bears is an interesting situational spot for both squads that favors the home team. Los Angeles just pulled off an improbable fourth-quarter comeback and upset win at home against division-rival San Francisco. Chicago, meanwhile, has lost two straight road games and heads back home where Caleb Williams should feel much more comfortable.

The Rams' key offensive injuries haven't gone away either. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are both still sidelined and the offensive line is down three starters. LA overcame these absences last week but it may be tough to replicate that on the road against a hungry Bears team.

It's been an underwhelming season so far for D'Andre Swift, who has only 68 rushing yards through three games while averaging just 1.8 yards per carry. Yet, this is a favorable matchup for Swift to wake up. The Rams are giving up 177 rushing yards per game (third-most in NFL) with the following yardage totals allowed to opposing lead backs: David Montgomery (91 yards), James Conner (122 yards), and Jordan Mason (77 yards). It's also encouraging that Swift is still seeing the majority of carries in the Bears backfield with 37 rush attempts compared to eight apiece for Roschon Johnson and Khalil Herbert.

With Kupp and Nacua out, Tutu Atwell is now a top target for Matthew Stafford by default. Atwell led the Rams in receptions (4) and receiving yards (93) in Week 3 with his teammates sidelined. Sure, a 50-yard catch late makes the stat line look a lot better. Even so, the opportunity is there for Atwell as long as Kupp and Nacua are sidelined. Last year, we saw Atwell go for 119, 77, and 50 yards in the first three games of the season with Kupp out.

Parlay Odds: +485

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Leg 1: Packers Moneyline (-148)
Leg 2: Aaron Jones Anytime Touchdown (+130)
Leg 3: Justin Jefferson Under 100.5 Receiving Yards (-275)

The Vikings are 3-0 to start the season and are underdogs in this road divisional matchup against Green Bay. The oddsmakers are telling us something, so let's lean right into it. Minnesota is bound to regress and Sam Darnold is overdue for a mediocre or bad game. On the road at Lambeau Field is a good time to sell high.

The Packers, meanwhile, could be getting Jordan Love back as he returned to practice this week. That would obviously boost the offense a ton. If he doesn't suit up, well, Malik Willis was good enough to anchor a 30-14 win on the road last week. Love is trending towards playing, though.

Minnesota running back Aaron Jones returns to Green Bay for the first time since he left in free agency. Let's roll with the narrative as we add in his anytime touchdown to this SGP. He's scored in 2-of-3 games this season with 325 all-purpose yards so far. With how much he's involved in the Vikings' offense, Jones will have a good chance to score in any given week.

Betting against Justin Jefferson is always a risky proposition. However, we're doing it this week as we follow an interesting trend. In his career on the road at Green Bay, Jefferson has underperformed with 15, 58, and 26 receiving yards in his three games at Lambeau. Take those stats with a grain of salt, but we know he has a tough matchup with Packers corner Jaire Alexander hounding him all day.

Parlay Odds: +525

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

Leg 1: Colts Moneyline (+105)
Leg 2: Under 41.5 Total Points (-136)
Leg 3: Jonathan Taylor 80+ Rushing Yards (+110)

The Steelers are one of the more surprising undefeated teams in the NFL thus far. Their 3-0 start deserves some context as it relates to the three opposing quarterbacks, though. Pittsburgh has benefited from facing Kirk Cousins in his first game back from the Achilles injury and his first with a new team, rookie Bo Nix in his second NFL start, and a banged-up Justin Herbert who left early after reaggravating his ankle injury.

Those arenâ€™t exactly the toughest of challenges for the Steelers defense. Now, Anthony Richardson and the Colts aren't exactly Mahomes and the Chiefs on the offensive side. Still, Richardson has a big arm and Indy has a workhorse running back in Jonathan Taylor to lean on. Plus, the Pittsburgh offense has been getting by with Justin Fields, who has been better than expected and may be due for a bad game.

As we back the Colts on one end of this parlay, let's also take the Under. Though the Steelers' competition hasn't been the stiffest, it's hard to argue against their defense allowing league-lows in points per game (8.7) and total yards per game (229). Pittsburgh wants to make it a low-scoring contest. Meanwhile, Indianapolis is at its best with Taylor pounding the rock.

On that note, Taylor is coming off back-to-back games with 100+ rushing yards. He has a monopoly on the carries in the Colts backfield (outside of Richardson's attempts) and is averaging 5.1 YPC this season. Even though Pittsburgh has been strong against the run, Taylor should see a ton of touches to get 80 or more yards.

Parlay Odds: +465

Denver Broncos at New York Jets

Leg 1: Jets -6.5 (-139)
Leg 2: Braelon Allen 40+ Rushing Yards (+115)
Leg 3: Garrett Wilson Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

After getting embarrassed against San Francisco in Week 1, the Jets have bounced back with a 7-point road win at Tennessee and a 24-3 drubbing of New England in the past two games. The New York defense looks more like the elite unit we expected and it could be a long day for Broncos QB Bo Nix here on the road. Plus, Aaron Rodgers and the offense are now in a rhythm with 24 points in back-to-back games.

The Jets should also benefit from extra rest after playing last Thursday night and now getting another home game. Denver, meanwhile, could be in for a letdown after a double-digit road win over Tampa Bay last week and playing on the road on the East Coast for a second straight game. Nix and the Broncosâ€™ offense struggled against Pittsburgh's top-tier defense two weeks ago and could be slow to get going here.

Braelon Allen is trending up in the Jets backfield. He's now seen an increase in touches and snaps each week, culminating in his 11 carries for 55 yards last game. The rookie is averaging 5.1 yards per carry compared to Breece Hall's 3.7 this year. This week also presents a favorable game script for Allen with New York likely leading in the second half. Plus, the Broncos just lost linebacker and leading tackler Alex Singleton for the season. That's a big loss for the defense, especially against the run.

As talented as Garrett Wilson is, there's value in taking the Under on his receiving yards prop. Rodgers is spreading the ball around a decent amount with four different pass-catchers seeing 10+ targets and totaling 100+ yards thus far. Wilson has 150 yards through the first three weeks with game totals of 60, 57, and 33 yards. Now he has to line up against Denver's elite cover corner, Patrick Surtain II. Opposing top wideouts have been quiet against Surtain and the Broncos this year: DK Metcalf (29 yards), George Pickens (29 yards), and Mike Evans (17 yards).

Parlay Odds: +495

Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers

Leg 1: Bengals -4.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Bengals Team Total Over 26.5 Points (-112)
Leg 3: Diontae Johnson Over 5.5 Receptions (+105)

Who else predicted the Bengals to be winless after the first three weeks of the season? It's certainly a surprising development and it puts Cincinnati in must-win mode this weekend. This is a nice get-right opportunity against a bad Panthers team that is coming off a double-digit road win last week. Carolina is bound to regress back to the squad that lost by 23 and 37 points in the first two games.

The Panthers are allowing a league-worst 31.7 PPG this year. The defense will be among the worst all season and it's a good spot for the Cincy offense to take advantage. Despite their poor record, the Bengals have been fine on offense with 33 and 25 points scored in the past two games. Expect Joe Burrow and Co. to exploit the matchup and put up a big number en route to their first victory.

Diontae Johnson saw a whopping 14 targets last week with Andy Dalton under center, catching eight passes for 122 yards. It's only one game, but it appears Johnson is Dalton's guy. With Adam Thielen now sidelined, Dalton will likely lean on Johnson even more now. In Dalton's lone start last year, he targeted Thielen 14 times and DJ Chark nine times. The spread (and this SGP) suggests Carolina will likely be playing from behind - resulting in a positive game script for Johnson's reception chances.

Parlay Odds: +410

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

Leg 1: Jaguars +7.5 (-141)
Leg 2: Nico Collins 70+ Receiving Yards (-205)
Leg 3: C.J. Stroud Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

After getting blown out by Buffalo on Monday night, Jacksonville is now 0-3 to start the season. Doug Pederson's squad is in desperation mode and this is a good buy-low opportunity as underdogs in a divisional matchup. Unless they're actually this bad, this is the lowest the market will be on the Jaguars for maybe the rest of the season.

The Texans, meanwhile, are still a tad overvalued after failing to cover the spread in their first three games. Last week's 34-7 loss to Minnesota is glaring as the offense struggled to complete drives. Houston also barely survived in Week 1 against Indianapolis and benefited from facing a rookie QB at home in Week 2 (Caleb Williams and the Bears).

Following his breakout season last year, Nico Collins has started out hot in 2024. He has 338 receiving yards through three games with yardage totals of 117, 135, and 86. Collins is still a favorite target of C.J. Stroud's despite Stefon Diggs now being in town. Jacksonville's secondary is allowing 263.3 receiving yards per game (29th in NFL) with five opposing pass-catchers gaining 70+ yards against them already through three weeks.

C.J. Stroud isn't exactly a running quarterback, but this rushing yards line is a tad too low for a guy who is certainly capable of scrambling for a couple of first downs. Stroud has 12 and 13 rush yards in two games this year and had 10+ yards in eight games last season (including both vs Jacksonville). The Jags have allowed 44 rush yards to Josh Allen, 20 to Deshaun Watson, and 11 to Tua Tagovailoa in the first three weeks. Stroud may need to use his legs more this week with Joe Mixon hurt.

Parlay Odds: +500

Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals

Leg 1: Cardinals -3.5 (-102)
Leg 2: James Conner 70+ Rushing Yards (-125)
Leg 3: Zach Ertz Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

There's a ton of hype surrounding the Commanders after their Monday night road upset at Cincinnati. It's a perfect time to sell high on Washington. The Cardinals, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back after losing by seven to Detroit last week. Remember, Arizona blew out the Rams by 31 points the game before and played the Bills tough on the road back in Week 1.

Arizona will also be playing its third straight home game in a row, which shouldn't go overlooked. The Commanders, on the other hand, are on the road for back-to-back weeks and the third time in four games. As impressive as Jayden Daniels has been, the rookie could come back down to Earth here.

The Commanders' rush defense has been shaky at times, allowing 5.1 yards per carry (29th in NFL) this year. Washington gave up 95 rushing yards to Devin Singletary, 93 combined to Bucky Irving/Rachaad White, and 120 combined to Zack Moss/Chase Brown in the first three games. James Conner is seeing the majority of carries in the Arizona backfield. Though he only mustered 17 yards last week, Conner racked up 122 the game before.

Zach Ertz has been a favorite target for Daniels early on. It makes sense with a veteran tight end being a safety valve for a rookie quarterback. Ertz's 13 targets and 128 yards are second on the team behind Terry McLaurin, and his 12 catches are tied for the team lead. He has 28, 62, and 38 yards in the first three games. Ertz will be targeted in the short and medium range even more with Austin Ekeler ruled out now.

Parlay Odds: +420

New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers

Leg 1: 49ers -10.5 (-108)
Leg 2: Brandon Aiyuk 60+ Receiving Yards (-135)
Leg 3: Jordan Mason 90+ Rushing Yards (+105)

The 49ers have lost back-to-back games outright, including a tough last-minute loss to the Rams last week. This is the perfect get-right spot for San Francisco at home against the lowly Patriots, who got blown out by 23 last week against the Jets. Since New England's upset win over Cincy in Week 1, the offense, as well as the team overall, has regressed back to the lower level we all expected.

Laying double digits is always concerning, but it's been worth it when the large favorite has been San Fran. The 49ers were 4-2 ATS as double-digit favorites last season and are 8-3 ATS when favored by 10+ points in the past three seasons. Even without George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, and Christian McCaffery last week, the offense still put up 425 total yards, albeit in a loss.

Samuel is likely out again and Kittle is questionable after practicing this week. With Kittle probably limited, the 49ers' receiving corps centers around Jauan Jennings and Brandon Aiyuk. Though Jennings is the hot name right now, don't forget about Aiyuk. We're still waiting for a breakout game from the wideout and New England's secondary is beatable. The Pats are allowing 257.3 receiving yards per game (27th in NFL) with four opposing pass-catchers totaling 60+ yards against them through three games.

Considering the spread and expected game flow, Jordan Mason should see plenty of carries as San Francisco runs out the clock with a lead in the second half. It's a favorable script for Mason, who has amassed 324 rushing yards through three games as the workhorse starter. He's averaging 4.8 yards per carry and has game yardage totals of 147, 100, and 77 so far.

Parlay Odds: +445

Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders

Leg 1: Jerome Ford 50+ Rushing Yards (+130)
Leg 2: Jerome Ford Anytime Touchdown (+190)
Leg 3: Gardner Minshew 200+ Passing Yards (-145)

The Raiders have struggled to stop the run this season. The defense is allowing 152.7 rushing yards per game (29th in NFL) and 5.4 yards per carry (31st) through the first three games. J.K. Dobbins (135 rushing yards), Derrick Henry (84), and Chuba Hubbard (114) have each had success on the ground in this matchup. Vegas has also allowed a rushing score each week.

Now it's Jerome Ford's turn. The Cleveland running back has mostly underperformed thus far with 44, 64, and 37 rushing yards in the first three weeks. However, he's averaging 5.0 yards per carry. Let's bank on Ford to take advantage of this matchup with his yards prop and anytime TD odds in this SGP.

Our last leg of the bet takes us to the other side of the matchup. Vegas has almost no ground attack to speak of right now, averaging just 51 rushing yards per game (last in NFL). Conversely, the Raiders' 244.7 passing yards per contest is the fourth-highest in the league. Gardner Minshew is chucking it with 33, 38, and 28 attempts in the first three games. Despite getting benched last week, Minshew is back as the starter. He has 257, 276, and 214 passing yards in the first three contests and should get to 200+ here.

Parlay Odds: +525

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Leg 1: Chiefs -6.5 (-123)
Leg 2: Travis Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards (+270)
Leg 3: Travis Kelce Over 4.5 Receptions (-130)

Laying a big number for a road favorite in a divisional matchup is definitely not ideal. However, it's hard to feel good about the Chargers in this spot. Justin Herbert's status is in question after re-injuring his ankle last week. Starting offensive tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt are both expected to miss this game. On the defensive side, edge rusher Joey Bosa may also be sidelined due to injury, and safety Derwin James is suspended this week.

Speaking of the Los Angeles defense, it has yet to be tested by an offense as dangerous as Kansas City's. The Chargers have faced the following quarterbacks so far: Gardner Minshew, Bryce Young, and Justin Fields. It's safe to say Patrick Mahomes is on a different tier than them. The Chiefs, despite some turnover issues and inconsistency, are still averaging 25 PPG. Don't be surprised if they put up a big number as LA struggles to keep up.

To round out our SGP, let's go with a pair of Travis Kelce props. A lot has been made about Kelce's slow start to the season and his lack of involvement in the Chiefs offense. He has just eight catches for 69 yards through the first three games. Well, this might be the tight end's breakout game against an opponent he has dominated in recent years.

Check out Kelce's past six stat lines against the Chargers: 12 receptions for 179 yards; 6 for 115; 5 for 51; 10 for 191; 7 for 104; 9 for 90. That's an average of 8.2 catches and 121.7 yards per game. Meanwhile, Los Angeles allowed Raiders TE Brock Bowers to go for six catches and 58 yards in Week 1 - which may be the floor performance for Kelce in this spot.

Parlay Odds: +490

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