NFL Week 5 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone by scoring a touchdown this Sunday (excludes the Sunday night game).
NFL Week 5 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
New York Giants at Green Bay Packers
- AJ Dillon
- Anytime TD Odds: +140 (DraftKings)
Dillon and Jones continue to split the rushing opportunities for the Packers. Last week, Dillon had 17 rushing attempts to Jones’ 16. As 8-point favorites against the Giants in London, I expect both backs to continue to get plenty of opportunity to score, so I’ll chance it with Dillon at the slightly longer odds. Dillon had both rushing attempts inside the 5-yard line this season, one of which he converted for a TD in Week 1.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills
- Gabe Davis
- Anytime TD Odds: +130 (DraftKings)
Davis started out the season with a touchdown on the opening drive against the Rams. Since then he has fallen below expectations to emerge as a top target on a prolific offense. This can mostly be attributed to an ankle injury that he has been dealing with since Week 2. He has practiced in full this week and the hope is he is closer to 100% compared to the last few weeks. The matchup should provide an opportunity for Davis to get his season back on track. The Steelers have given up a TD to a wide receiver in each of the first four games.
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns
- Amari Cooper
- Anytime TD Odds: +200 (DraftKings)
Cooper came back down to earth last week, after back-to-back 100-yard, one-TD games. The Browns offense goes through Nick Chubb and the running game currently, but Cooper is the clear #1 receiver with a team-leading 30 targets. The game script against bad teams has allowed the Browns to stick to the plan for the first four weeks. I expect the Browns will be playing behind, resulting in more opportunities for Cooper, as home underdogs against the Chargers. LA’s secondary has given up six TDs to wide receivers this season.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings
- Kirk Cousins
- Anytime TD Odds: +1000 (FanDuel)
The Bears lead the league in rushing yards allowed. This led to two rushing TDs by Daniel Jones last week with the Bears unsuccessfully overcommitting to stopping Saquon Barkley. The Bears face a similar test this week in stopping Dalvin Cook. While Cousins is not as mobile as Jones, evidenced by the +1000 odds, I can see a similar scenario playing out at the goal line this week. As 7.5 home favorites, the Vikings should have a few opportunities in the red zone for Cousins to sneak one in at long odds.
Tennessee Titans at Washington Commanders
- Robert Woods
- Anytime TD Odds: +190 (FanDuel)
The Commanders have been shredded by wide receivers the last three weeks, giving up seven TDs in that span. Rookie WR Treylon Burks was starting to come on for the Titans, but he has been ruled out with a toe injury. This leaves veteran Robert Woods as the clear top target for the Titans. Woods converted one of his two red zone targets last week for a touchdown.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne
- Anytime TD Odds: +175 (FanDuel)
The Texans have given up two touchdown games on the ground to Khalil Herbert and Austin Ekeler in the last two weeks. While Etienne continues to split work with James Robinson, I think this could be a breakout spot for Etienne to jumpstart his career. The Jaguars are 7-point home favorites with a healthy 25.25 implied team total. Etienne has eight red zone opportunities through four weeks, failing to convert any of them. Lawrence did miss an open Etienne on a wheel route in the end zone in Week 1.
Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints
- Alvin Kamara
- Anytime TD Odds: -105 (DraftKings)
Kamara burned fantasy managers with a surprise inactive for the early London game last week. I wrote him up expecting him to find the end zone in that matchup, and the same argument holds true this week. He may even be in a better spot this week facing off against a Seattle team that just gave up two TDs on the ground to Jamaal Williams. Kamara returned from an injury in Week 3 and received a full workload. He ended with 15 rushes and 7 targets while playing 70% of the snaps. This may not be the Kamara of prior seasons, but I expect him to receive a healthy amount of touches in a must-win game for the Saints, who are 5.5-point favorites.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Chris Godwin
- Anytime TD Odds: +125 (DraftKings)
Returning from injury last week, Godwin played 83% of the snaps and tied Mike Evans with a team-high 10 targets. Evans scored two touchdowns, while Godwin was held out of the end zone. Vegas expects the Bucs to score points this week, as they have the third-highest team total this week. With another week to get healthy, expect Godwin to be heavily involved again and find the end zone against the Falcons.
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
- Raheem Mostert
- Anytime TD Odds: +150 (DraftKings)
Mostert took over the backfield from Chase Edmonds last week, although Edmonds found the end zone through the air. Mostert’s snap share has increased steadily from Week 1 and he had 10 more rushing attempts than Edmonds last week. This includes both rushes inside the 5-yard line. He also ran 17 more routes than Edmonds so there has been a clear shift in the backfield. I think this week Mostert cuts into the three-TD lead that Edmonds has over him currently. The Dolphins are still 3-point road favorites over the Jets with backup QB Teddy Bridgewater starting this week.
Detroit Lions at New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- Anytime TD Odds: +140 (DraftKings)
The Lions have given up a league-high 5.6 yards per carry and surrendered a league-high 10 rushing TDs, three more than the next closest team. Enter Stevenson who has seen his role grow in the last two weeks, averaging 18 opportunities a game. Damien Harris is a threat to steal the goal-line work, but Stevenson did have two carries to Harris’ one in Week 3 inside the 5-yard line. Both RBs converted for TDs in Week 3, but Harris scored the lone opportunity at the goal line last week.
San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers
- George Kittle
- Anytime TD Odds: +205 (BetRivers)
Kittle has been disappointing on the stat sheet lately working his way back from an injury that cost him the first two weeks of the season. He only has 52 yards on six catches in two games this year. That said, he had a TD catch overturned last week and continues to run a route on the majority of passing plays (86.7% per PFF). As 6.5 point favorites in Carolina, I expect Kittle to be more involved in his third week back from injury.
Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals
- Kyler Murray
- Anytime TD Odds: +245 (DraftKings)
Murray ran 12 times and scored last week against Carolina, almost doubling his rushing attempt total from the first three weeks. Prior to last week, Murray’s rushing attempts had been down compared to prior seasons, but he still has two rushing TDs through four games. Murray will need to create some offense in order for the Cardinals to keep up with the 4-0 Eagles this week. I believe he will need to use his legs against an Eagles defense averaging four sacks per game this season.
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams
- Allen Robinson
- Anytime TD Odds: +260 (FanDuel)
The Rams are 5.5-point favorites against the Cowboys at home. While the Rams performance against the 49ers was abysmal, Vegas expects them to rebound this week with a 24.25 implied team total. Stafford has not thrown a touchdown since Week 2, but Robinson continues to get red zone looks. He trails Cooper Kupp by two in red zone opportunities through four weeks. The Rams have not received the production from Robinson they were expecting, but I think he can find the end zone this week.
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