NFL Week 5 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Moneyline Underdog Bets (2022)
In Week 4, the underdogs went 5-11, bringing their cumulative record for the season to 25-38-1. The Cardinals, Falcons, Titans, Jets, and Seahawks won outright. Listed below are the moneyline odds for Week 5 and three underdogs that may be worth a longshot bet.
Moneyline underdogs for Week 5 with odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:
- Washington Commanders (vs. Tennessee Titans) +118
- Cleveland Browns (vs. Los Angeles Chargers) +130
- Detroit Lions (@ New England Patriots) +140
- Indianapolis Colts (@ Denver Broncos) +144
- New York Jets (vs. Miami Dolphins) +148
- Cincinnati Bengals (@ Baltimore Ravens) +150
- Dallas Cowboys (@ Los Angeles Rams) +180
- Arizona Cardinals (vs. Philadelphia Eagles) +194
- Seattle Seahawks (@ New Orleans Saints) +194
- Carolina Panthers (vs. San Francisco 49ers) +225
- Chicago Bears (@ Minnesota Vikings) +265
- Houston Texans (@ Jacksonville Jaguars) +265
- Las Vegas Raiders (@ Kansas City Chiefs) +290
- Atlanta Falcons (@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers) +315
- New York Giants (@ Green Bay Packers) +340
- Pittsburgh Steelers (@ Buffalo Bills) +610
Small Long Shot (odds up to +150)
The New York Jets will host the Miami Dolphins at Metlife Stadium in Week 5. The primary concern for both of these teams is what they will be able to get out of their quarterbacks.
Tua Tagovailoa will be out this week after a scary scene on the field in Week 4. Teddy Bridgewater will get the start for the Dolphins. In relief last week, Bridgewater went 14 of 23 for 193 yards, one touchdown, and one interception.
The Jets will be hoping to build on last week's win where the defense stepped up with 4 interceptions, 3 sacks and 9 passes deflected. If Robert Saleh can get his defense to disrupt Bridgewater, the Jets could win this game outright as long as they get some steady play from second-year quarterback Zach Wilson. Wilson returned from injury for his first action of the 2022 season in Week 4 and was able to get the win over the Steelers. The 2021 2nd overall selection went 18 of 36 for 252 yards, 1 touchdown pass, 2 interceptions, and a touchdown reception.
Pick: The New York Jets (+148)
Medium Long Shot (odds between +151 to +225)
Whether or not it's a real controversy, it's hard to ignore that the Dallas Cowboys are now 3-0 when Cooper Rush plays. He may not be the flashiest quarterback, but his game management is enough to win for the Cowboys, who put the heavy lifting on their very strong defense.
The Dallas defense was able to hit Carson Wentz 11 times last week. They were also able to compile 2 sacks, 6 tackles for losses, four passes deflected, and two interceptions. Washington came into the game having converted 47.62% of their third downs but was held to a 33.33% conversion rate by the Cowboys.
The Los Angeles Rams limp into this game after an ugly loss in San Francisco, where it looked like outside of Cooper Kupp, this offense really struggles to move the ball. Being so one-dimensional against a defense like Dallas could lead to an upset in Los Angeles. I could see a low-scoring game where Cooper Rush and Ezekiel Elliot give enough room for the Cowboys’ defense to take Kupp out of the play and make Matt Stafford try to beat them in other ways that he hasn't been able to do yet this year.
Pick: The Dallas Cowboys (+180)
Large Long Shot (odds of +226 and up)
With Daniel Jones' (ankle) and Tyrod Taylor's (concussion) statuses currently unknown for the London matchup against the Packers, there are reports that the Giants are working out current free agent quarterbacks including Jake Fromm before Week 5. It’s hard to bet on that situation, but if you are looking for a longshot bet for Week 5, maybe you can ignore the quarterback position and look at the New York Giants' strength vs. the Green Bay Packers’ weakness.
The Giants currently rank first in the league in rushing yards per game with 192.5. The Packers' run defense currently ranks 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game, allowing for 126.8 yards per game. This has the potential to be a huge day for Saquon Barkley, and it may not matter who is handing the ball to him. At the same time, the Packers rank seventh in the league in rushing with 145 yards per game, and the Giants' run defense ranks 28th, allowing 141 yards per game. This could result in a run-heavy game potentially limiting the importance of the quarterbacks, which would be a great thing for the Giants in a matchup against Aaron Rodgers.
Pick: The New York Giants (+340)
The Long Shot Parlay for Week 5:
- New York Jets (+148)
- Dallas Cowboys (+180)
- New York Giants (+340)
Parlay: +2955 (FanDuel Sportsbook)
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