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NFL Week 5 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Week 5 begins the NFL’s bye weeks and four teams are off. There is plenty of value to be found in the 14 games on the Week 5 slate so let’s dive in on the best same game parlays.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 5)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons

C.J. Stroud has been one of the stories of the NFL season so far. He has thrown for 240 or more yards in every game this season, and at least 280 yards in each of his last three games. The Falcons have a solid roster, but Desmond Ridder has held their offense back this year, and I don’t think they’ll be able to keep pace with the Texans’ offense.

Stroud should post a solid game even against an Atlanta defense that has allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game to opposing QBs. Tank Dell could be the key to the Texans’ offense, as Falcons CB AJ Terrell should line up on WR Nico Collins for most of the game. Look for Stroud and Dell to lead the Texans to a road win.

Parlay Odds: +430

Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions

The Lions are clearly the better team here, but I think Carolina will hang around and keep things interesting in this matchup. While the Panthers’ 0-4 start has been rough, they’ve been competitive in every game they’ve played. They also have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, allowing just 194.5 passing yards per game to opposing QBs (6th-best in the NFL). I think the Panthers will play well enough to cover the huge 10-point spread.

I do think David Montgomery is a great bet to score a touchdown, even at -180 odds. The Lions appear intent on feeding Montgomery near the goal line, and he converted for three scores against the Packers last week. Carolina has allowed six rushing TDs this season, second-most in the NFL. 

Parlay Odds: +510

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

Many thought the Colts would struggle this year, but rookie QB Anthony Richardson has looked much better than expected. Indianapolis is 2-2, with close home losses to the Jaguars and Rams and big road wins in Houston and Baltimore. Tennessee’s defense has been their strong suit, but I think Anthony Richardson and the Colts’ offense can hang enough points to win this game. Richardson has also scored in every game he’s played this year – with Jonathan Taylor’s status in doubt, I like Richardson’s odds of getting carries around the goal line and scoring again.

I also expect Ryan Tannehill to have a solid game. Tannehill has broken 240 yards twice this season, and posted 198 yards once, so 200 yards is a very attainable mark for him. This is especially true against the Colts’ weak pass defense, which has allowed 286.5 passing yards per game to opposing QBs – 4th-most in the NFL.

Parlay Odds: +525

New York Giants at Miami Dolphins

This one could get ugly. The Dolphins are coming off a big loss in Buffalo, but they’re still one of the premier teams in the NFL this season. Miami should be able to get back on track against a Giants team that has looked overmatched all season, except for one big half against the Cardinals. I think Miami should roll. De’Von Achane will also have a chance to get in the end zone against a New York defense that has allowed the third-most rushing scores to opposing RBs this season. Achane has three TDs on nine red zone carries this year, and should get plenty of looks on Sunday.

When the Giants are on offense, Wan’Dale Robinson has been a bright spot in the passing game. He has at least four receptions in each of their last two games, and should be in plenty of passing situations on Sunday. Look for him to post a solid receiving line once again.

Parlay Odds: +360

Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

This should be a low-scoring game. The Steelers’ offense has struggled this season under the direction of offensive coordinator Matt Canada, while the Ravens have had an efficient but not explosive offense. Both defenses have played very well this year. I think the under is a safer bet in this game than either side. 

Gus Edwards could be in a position to have a solid game. Edwards has seen his usage increase in each of the last three weeks and carried the ball 15 times for 48 yards last week. Pittsburgh allows 4.9 yards per carry (sixth-most in the NFL) and Edwards should get enough volume to top his 44.5-point total. The Ravens are a bottom-five defense in terms of receptions allowed to opposing WRs, and George Pickens should see good volume in the passing game with Diontae Johnson out. Pickens has been inefficient in converting targets (30) to receptions (16) this season but should be able to top 3.5 catches on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +560

New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots

These two teams have struggled on offense but played solid defense all year. New England hasn’t scored more than 17 points since Week 1, while the Saints have failed to top 20 points all year. I think both teams will be in for a defensive struggle, and the game should stay under 39.5 points. Alvin Kamara should have plenty of opportunities in the passing game, however. He hauled in 13 catches last week in his first game back from suspension. He should see some reversion in terms of target volume, but should still see enough targets to put up at least five catches.

Rhamondre Stevenson has seen steady usage this year, but has only had more than 15 carries once. The Saints have an excellent rush defense, allowing just 3.6 yards per carry (5th-best in the NFL). Stevenson likely won’t see enough volume to go over 51.5 rushing yards given his poor 2.7 yard per carry average.

Parlay Odds: +570

Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals

Joe Burrow has struggled this year, as he’s clearly playing through a tough injury. Burrow has only gone over 247.5 yards once this season, grinding out 259 yards against the Rams on 49 pass attempts. While Burrow will likely get back to form at some point this year, I don’t think the correction comes this week. The Cardinals’ pass defense isn’t great, but they’ve played very good offenses in back-to-back weeks in Dallas and San Francisco. I think the Cardinals win this game, and will take the points.

Marquise Brown has been the featured WR on the Cards’ offense this year and has gone over 50 yards in each of his last three games with at least seven targets in each game. Brown’s usage should stay high against the Bengals, and he should break 50 yards once again this week.

Parlay Odds: +490

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams

The Rams have been one of the big surprises of the season, starting 2-2 with the losses being tight games against the 49ers and Bengals. The key to their success has been their passing game. Matthew Stafford is back to his Super Bowl form, throwing for 269 or more yards in every game and breaking 300 yards three times. I think Stafford will have a huge game against the Eagles, who have allowed 279 passing yards per game to opposing QBs – fifth most in the NFL. The Rams will have a great chance to win this game, or at least keep it close, if Stafford can keep it up.

If the Eagles have to throw to keep up, AJ Brown will be the main beneficiary. Brown has exploded over the last two weeks, posting a combined 18 catches on 27 targets for 306 yards over the last couple of games. Brown should continue to see major volume on Sunday and should break 80 yards easily.

Parlay Odds: +740

Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota has struggled this season, starting 1-3 through the first quarter of the season. I think this should be a good game, but with such a high total (52.5) I think there’s good value in Chiefs -3.5. Kansas City has been up and down this season, but against the Vikings’ weak pass defense they should be able to take care of business.

Kirk Cousins could also be in for a great day, however. Not only will the Vikings likely be playing from behind, but the Chiefs’ pass defense has been shaky at times. Statistically, they’ve been solid, but if you strip out the game where they held the Bears’ offense to minimal yardage they’ve allowed 238 passing yards per game. The Vikings throw a ton, and Cousins should be able to post a 300-yard day. Rashee Rice is set up for a nice day on the Chiefs’ side. He’s seen 12 targets over the last two games and posted 91 receiving yards in that stretch. Against the Vikings’ poor pass defense, I think he could have a solid game.

Parlay Odds: +830

New York Jets at Denver Broncos

The Broncos defense has been good at one thing this season – inflating the other team’s stats. They allow the most rushing yards per game to opposing RBs, and the third-most passing yards per game to opposing QBs. Given that Zach Wilson looked solid last week, and that Breece Hall has looked solid in his return from his ACL tear. I love both players’ props this week.

Even still, I think Denver can win this game. Their offense has quietly been very solid this season, and the Jets don’t have the offensive firepower to put teams away. The negative correlation here makes for a parlay with nice odds, but this is very attainable.

Parlay Odds: +750

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:


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