NFL Week 5 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay (Bengals vs. Ravens)

If you can bring yourself to watch another primetime NFL game after Thursday’s Colts-Broncos debacle, there’s a great matchup waiting for you on Sunday night. The Cincinnati travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens, and both teams could kick their season into gear with a win. The Bengals are coming off a long week of rest, having beaten Miami last Thursday, while the Ravens are a week removed from a disappointing come-from-ahead home loss to Buffalo.

This will be a tight divisional matchup, and I have a four-leg parlay paying +750 on Draftkings that I love for Sunday’s matchup.

• NFL Week 5 Touchdown Scorer Prop Bets: Sunday Night Football
• NFL Week 5 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions: Sunday Night Football

View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>

Leg 1: Ja’Marr Chase OVER 64.5 Rec Yds

Anyone who played Ja’Marr Chase’s props against the Ravens last year is probably reading this article from the comfort of their yacht. Chase torched Baltimore in his rookie season, totaling 15 catches for 326 yards and a TD in two games. The difference coming into this game is that this year’s Ravens’ pass defense is worse than last year’s.

Baltimore ranks last in the league in pass yards allowed overall and ranks last by a full standard deviation in yards allowed to WRs. They’ve allowed big games to receivers such as Corey Davis and Devante Parker – not necessarily players on the level of Chase.

Chase is off to a slow start to the season by his standards, but he’s gotten plenty of opportunity – Burrow has targeted chase an average of 10.3 times per game over the first four weeks of the season. Against an atrocious pass defense, I expect Chase to convert these targets into big plays – 65 yards or more shouldn’t be an issue.

 Leg 2: Tee Higgins OVER 64.5 Rec Yds

While it’s unconventional to have two WR yardage props from the same team in a parlay, I think Chase and Higgins both have a big game Sunday.

Higgins also feasted on the Baltimore defense last year, posting 19 catches for 187 yards and 2 TDs in the two games they played last year. There’s no reason why both he and Chase can’t post solid games. Just a few weeks ago, both of Miami’s star receivers – Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle – torched this defense for a total of 360 yards.

While matching Hill and Waddle’s massive output will be a tall task for Chase and Higgins, I think both should post nice days. I expect the Bengals to have a pass-heavy game plan, and these WRs have a chance to see 8-10 targets each. They should both post 65 yards or more, given that opportunity.

 Leg 3: Joe Mixon OVER 24.5 Rec Yds

 Not only are the Ravens the worst pass defense against WRs, but they’re bottom 5 in receiving yards allowed to RBs as well. Joe Mixon has gotten a ton of work in the passing game this year –  his 24 targets trail only Austin Ekeler (29) and Breece Hall (27) among RBs. The Ravens’ defense has had trouble tackling this year, and Mixon’s targets are usually high-percentage, short-yardage throws. If he can see 5 or 6 targets on Sunday night, he should be able to post enough catches to get above 25 yards.

It is risky to include three receiving yardage props from one team in a parlay, but given the boost, it gives the odds it’s a risk worth taking. Joe Burrow has thrown the ball nearly 40 times a game this year, and most of these throws have gone to Chase, Higgins, and Mixon. I expect the Bengals to air it out on Sunday and for the offense’s three target leaders to each get enough looks that these yardage props should hit.

Leg 4: Bengals Alternate Line +7.5

As I’m sure you can tell, I expect the Bengals to be effective offensively on Sunday night. The Bengals also own the 7^th best scoring defense in the NFL, allowing just 15 points per game. This includes last week’s game, where the defense held the Dolphins’ explosive offense to just 15 points.

I’m not sure the Bengals will win the game on Sunday, but I love their odds to cover a 7.5-point spread. With the total for this game sitting at 48 points, it doesn’t project as a very high-scoring game. Executing a pass-heavy game plan and playing solid defense, as they have all year, will be enough to keep the Bengals within a touchdown at the end of the game.

Parlay Odds: +750 on DraftKings

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