NFL Week 5 Teaser Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
One popular way bettors try to find value on NFL lines is by playing teasers. An NFL teaser is similar to a parlay; you add multiple legs that must all win for the bet to pay out. The key difference from parlays is that a teaser allows you to buy points like 6, 6.5, or 7 in a direction that lowers risk.
Teaser Tips to Follow
- Never Cross over 0
- Tease through two key numbers, ideally 3 & 7.
- Tease games with lower totals, ideally anything 49 or less.
Below are three teaser options for Week 5, along with my Best Bet.
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Week 5 Teaser Options
Indianapolis Colts from +2.5 to +8.5 vs. Tennessee Titans
The wrong team is favored in this matchup. My numbers have the Colts as a 3-point home favorite.
The Titans are coming off a win against the Cincinnati Bengals. On paper, it looks impressive, but let’s be honest: the Bengals do not look like themselves, and Joe Burrow is clearly still battling that calf injury. The Bengals ranked 28th in offensive EPA/Play and 29th in offensive Success Rate.
Meanwhile, rookie QB Anthony Richardson and the Colts have surprised many through the first four weeks of the season. They almost had a Week 1 upset against the Jaguars, beat the Ravens with a backup QB, and nearly pulled off a 23-point comeback.
Backing the Colts with 8.5 points at home is the best teaser option for Week 5.
Minnesota Vikings from +3.5 to +9.5 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
This option does not necessarily follow the tip above, but I like the Vikings to keep this game close. I think this game ends within one score, so getting the Vikings at home +9.5 is excellent value.
We know the Vikings’ offense can hang with anyone; their defense is a type of defense that bends but doesn’t break, giving them a shot to win week in and week out. All three of the Vikings’ losses are with one score: they lost by three to the Buccaneers, six to the Eagles and four to the Chargers.
The problem with the Vikings is the offensive turnovers; they have 11, which is the most in the league. If they take care of the ball, they should have a shot to win outright against a Chiefs team that hasn’t looked their best.
New York Jets from +2.5 to +8.5 vs. Denver Broncos
Zach Wilson arguably had the best game of his career, nearly pulling off the upset over the Kansas City Chiefs. Now Wilson gets a chance to do the same against a Broncos defense that is off to one of the worst starts in NFL history.
The Broncos defense is dead last in EPA/Play (0.285) and has allowed the second-most passing yards (1129) and the most passing touchdowns (13) to opposing QBs.
The Jets will have to travel to Denver, and playing in that high altitude is a huge advantage to the home team, but If Zach Wilson plays anywhere near how he did last week, he should be able to keep this game within one score.
Best Bet: Week 5 6-pt teaser
Colts +8.5 / Vikings +9.5 (-120 odds via DraftKings)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:
- NFL Week 5 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
- NFL Week 5 Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Jaguars vs. Bills (London)
- MLB Best Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions
- MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
- 2023 Bank of America ROVAL 400: NASCAR at Charlotte Odds, Picks & Predictions
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