NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
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San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Odds: +600 via BetMGM
The 49ers have allowed the fewest total points and fewest first-quarter points in the league, so it makes sense to take someone on their offense. Deebo Samuel has received a team-high 26.8% of the team’s targets through five games. They should look for him early and often to try and get an early lead. The Falcons have allowed eight passing TDs and 1,391 passing yards, which is the fourth most. Deebo only needs a sliver of space to break a long TD, whether it be a reception or a carry.
New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns
Odds: +700 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Rhamondre Stevenson is the pick to score first for the third straight week. However, this week he will be in a different situation. Damien Harris will likely miss this week’s game due to a hamstring injury, and Stevenson will see an increased workload. Last week, Stevenson had 25 carries for 161 yards after Harris left the game. The Lions have given up ten total rushing TDs, most in the league, despite not allowing one to the Patriots last week. The Browns have given up eight rushing TDs, and the Patriots will find the end zone on the ground this week.
New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers
Odds: +900 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Aaron Rodgers is 9-0 following a loss under Matt LaFleur. He has thrown for 24 TDs, zero interceptions, and over 2,300 yards in those games. The most recent outing following a loss was against the Chicago Bears. Rodgers consistently looks for Allen Lazard, who has been targeted eight times per game in the last two games. Expect Rodgers to come out firing at home against the Jets. Lazard is the most likely beneficiary.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts
Odds: +1100 via BetMGM
The Colts have been extremely slow to start games this season. They have only scored ten points in the first quarter, while the Jaguars have scored 27. The Colts also have allowed the fourth most first-quarter points, with 30. The Jaguars have already beaten the Colts this year (24-0), and Kirk caught the first TD. He caught a TD in the third quarter, as well. Maybe lightning will strike twice for Kirk against Indianapolis.
Minnesota Vikings @ Miami Dolphins
Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Dolphins plan to start Skylar Thompson regardless of Teddy Bridgewater’s status in the concussion protocol. Head coach Mike McDaniel said Thompson starts the game, and Bridgewater will be his backup, so Minnesota is probably the side to score first. Thielen averages seven targets a game this season and has not found the end zone since week three. Since the start of the 2020 season, Thielen’s longest TD drought is two weeks, so statistics say he is due for one this week.
Cincinnati Bengals @ New Orleans Saints
Odds: +650 via BetMGM
The Bengals should look to get Chase involved early and often when they travel to New Orleans. Tee Higgins has not practiced this week after aggravating an ankle injury in Sunday night’s game against the Ravens. Hayden Hurst is dealing with a groin injury and is limited in practice. Chase received a team-high 12 targets last week and could be in line for a similar number this week. The Saints allowed Geno Smith to throw for three TDs last week, and Chase is the main target for Burrow this week, so he is the best bet.
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants
Odds: +900 via BetMGM
The Giants have been a surprise success story thus far this season; they are 4-1 and beat the Packers in London this past week. They will have a tough challenge this week, however. Baltimore is one of the best offenses in the league, ranking fourth in points this season. Rashod Bateman is still a no-show at practice, so Duvernay is next in line to receive the targets from Lamar Jackson. Duvernay was targeted seven times last week and had three carries for 24 yards. They want to get him the ball; hopefully, it is early in the game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Odds: +525 via Caesars Sportsbook
Although Godwin has not practiced this week, he is still on pace to suit up for Sunday’s game in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have been struggling on defense without T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick. They have given up at least 24 points in their past three games, and Tom Brady is looking for a “get right†game. He has thrown for 350 yards in back-to-back games, but one of those games was a loss to Kansas City. Godwin saw ten targets against the Chiefs and six against the Falcons last week. He has also been held out of the end zone this season and is due for a score.
Carolina Panthers @ Los Angeles Rams
Odds: +800 via Caesars Sportsbook
Baker Mayfield is dealing with a high ankle sprain and has yet to practice this week. He is likely to miss this game, and P.J. Walker will get the start. The Panthers also fired Matt Rhule earlier this week, and Steve Wilks will fill in as interim head coach. Neither offense has been exceptionally great this season, but the Rams are likely to score first. The Panthers have given up five rushing TDs and seven passing TDs, and are more susceptible to the run. The Rams, however, are not good at running the ball. They rank dead last in rushing yards per game. Robinson averages 4.6 targets per game, but the Rams want to get him more involved, and this is a perfect opportunity against a team struggling to find its identity.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Odds: +470 via Caesars Sportsbook
The Cardinals have allowed 38 first-quarter points, and the Seahawks have allowed 28 points. On offense, however, the Cardinals have yet to score in the first quarter, and the Seahawks have scored 41. Arizona has given up eight passing TDs, but five were in their first game of the season against the Chiefs. Rashaad Penny broke his fibula last week, and Walker will receive most of the workload. He scampered for a 69-yard TD in the fourth quarter last week but has not had more than eight rushing attempts in a game. The rookie should get more early work that could easily lead to a TD.
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
Odds: +1500 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Both teams have scored 34 first-quarter points, but the Bills have allowed more points in the first with 31. Whichever team gets the ball first will likely put up the first TD. It could also be a wide array of players for each side due to how well the quarterbacks spread the ball around. The best way to attack this bet is to find the best value. Smith-Schuster has received the second most targets for the Chiefs this season, only behind Travis Kelce. Kelce, though, has scored seven times compared to zero for Smith-Schuster. Based on the target percentage (18.4%), Juju is due for a score and offers the best value for this play.
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