NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Someone must score the first TD of the game, and this article will help you increase your odds of hitting on that player based on matchups and team strengths. It will feature a selection for each game of the Sunday slate.
I will track my plays here on BettingPros. Let's get to the first touchdown scorer predictions for NFL Week 6!
NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions
Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans
Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Ravens rushing attack took a hit when J.K. Dobbins tore his Achilles, but the offense averages 146 rushing yards per game, which is fourth in the league. Lamar Jackson has picked up some of the slack. He is chipping in 53 rushing yards per game and has scored four TDs this season. The Titans rank 23rd in passing yards allowed per game and are stingy against the run. Jackson should have throwing lanes and could be the Ravens' best source of a ground game.
Washington Commanders @ Atlanta Falcons
Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Commanders have allowed the second most points (32) per game. They are weak against the run and the pass. The Falcons' defense is a top-10 unit in the league based on yards and points allowed. The Atlanta offense is not the greatest, however. Desmond Ridder has been average this season but loves targeting Drake London in the red zone. London has seven targets inside the 20 and has caught four for two TDs. This game is difficult to predict because both teams like to spread the ball around, so let's go with the top red zone target against a porous defense.
San Francisco 49ers @ Cleveland Browns
Odds: +850 via DraftKings Sportsbook
Deshaun Watson is not expected to start on Sunday, and PJ Walker will be at the helm. The Browns and the 49ers have suffocating defenses, but the 49ers' offense is too good. George Kittle had a massive Week 5 against the Cowboys and could have another great day on Sunday. If the Browns have any weaknesses on defense, it is defending the tight end position. Mark Andrews caught five passes for 80 yards and two TDs against them in Week 4. Kittle has momentum heading into this one and is a value play behind the other weapons on this offense to score first.
New Orleans Saints @ Houston Texans
Odds: +500 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Saints have utilized Alvin Kamara a lot since he returned in Week 4. He has seen 33 rush attempts and 17 targets, which he has caught 16 for 50 yards. He is also being used in the red zone, partly because Jamaal Williams is on the IR with a hamstring injury. Kamara has five attempts inside the 20 and has found paydirt once. The Texans have been up and down against the run this season. They allow 112.4 rushing yards per game and have allowed eight rushing TDs this season. Kamara is the favorite for a reason.
Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins
Odds: +1300 via DraftKings Sportsbook
De'Von Achane hurt his knee last week and is on IR. Jeff Wilson Jr. was activated from IR earlier this week but has been limited in practice. He may not play, which means Salvon Ahmed will be the backup to Raheem Mostert. Mostert has been efficient this season but took a backseat to Achane the past two weeks. He averaged 13.7 carries per game through the first three weeks and fell to 8.5 carries per game that last two weeks. It is clear that the Dolphins do not want to use one running back and will be closer to a 50/50 split as far as snap count. Ahmed should be utilized this week and is a sneaky play to score first against this defense that allows 140.8 rushing yards per game.
Seattle Seahawks @ Cincinnati Bengals
Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Bengals' defense has been awful defending the run this season. They allow 154 rushing yards per game, which is second-worst, and 5.3 yards per rush attempt. Kenneth Walker has seen a lot of volume early this season. He is averaging 16 carries per game for 70.8 yards per game. He has also scored five times this season. The Bengals' defense has the second-most missed tackles this season, which is Walker's specialty. He should have a big day against this matchup and hopefully find the end zone early.
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Neither defense has been dominant this season, but it is hard to trust Gardner Minshew behind center. The Jaguars should strike first, especially after gaining momentum by beating the Bills last week. Calvin Ridley saw eight targets in that matchup, which he turned into seven receptions for 122 yards. He had eight receptions for 101 yards and a TD in Week 1 against this team and should have another monster day. He and Trevor Lawrence seem more comfortable with each other, and the Colts struggle against outside receivers.
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Odds: +750 via Caesars Sportsbook
DJ Moore is coming off a monster game and is entering another great matchup. The Vikings allow 240 passing yards per game and have allowed nine scores through the air. Moore is averaging 6.8 targets per game, with 9.5 per game in the last two weeks. He has also caught all four red zone targets and three for a TD. He is showing why the Bears went out and got him to be Justin Fields' No. 1 receiver. The Bears will be without Khalil Herbert (ankle) and Roschon Johnson (concussion), so they could lean on Moore this week. The Vikings will also be without Justin Jefferson, so their offense is unknown. Not every sportsbook has released odds for this market, so check here for the best odds closer to game time.
New England Patriots @ Las Vegas Raiders
Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Patriots' offense has shown no signs of life over the past two weeks and cannot be trusted until proven otherwise. The Raiders beat the Packers on Monday night and will enter this game on a shorter week of practice. The Patriots' defense has been solid this season but has not looked the same since they lost Matthew Judon and Christian Gonzalez. Jakobi Meyers benefitted from Davante Adam's shoulder injury last week; he received 10 targets to Adams' four. It was the third game he received 10 or more targets through four games played. Meyers also played for the Patriots for the past four seasons, and they did not resign him in free agency. He should have something to prove.
Detroit Lions @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
The Buccaneers are returning from their bye week and have a tough home matchup. The Lions are one of the better teams across the league this season but have not been good at stopping teams through the air. They’ve allowed 224.4 passing yards per game, 6.4 yards per pass attempt and eight passing TDs. Chris Godwin is averaging 7.5 targets per game this season. He has also seen the most red zone targets on the team, with seven. Godwin has brought in three but still has not scored a touchdown. He is due for a score and could get the ball rolling for the Buccaneers coming off their bye.
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Odds: +410 via Caesars Sportsbook
It is hard to ignore the workload of Kyren Williams this season. He has had at least 10 carries in every game this season and is averaging 4.8 targets per game. He also plays almost all the snaps and is always on the field. The Cardinals allow 124.2 rushing yards per game and have allowed seven rushing TDs. They also lost James Conner for multiple weeks, which means their offense could take a hit. Williams is getting too much volume to pass on him in this matchup.
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets
Odds: +650 via DraftKings Sportsbook
D’Andre Swift is becoming the workhorse back in the Eagles' backfield. He is averaging 18.75 rushing attempts and 3.75 targets per game since Week 2, which is top-tier volume, especially in this offense. His offensive line opens massive holes for him, and he uses his excellent speed to burst through them. The Jets have been a stellar defense in terms of points allowed but have not been able to stop the run. They allow 146.2 rushing yards per game, and the Eagles' offense averages 164 rushing yards per game. Swift's matchup is too good to pass on, even if Hurts scores via another "tush push."
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday:
- NFL Betting Primer: Top Picks & Player Prop Bets for Every Game (Week 6)
- NFL Week 6 First Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
- Erickson's NFL Week 6 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (2023)
- Thor Nystrom's Best College Football Week 7 Bets (2023)
- Top NHL Odds, Picks & Predictions (Penguins vs. Capitals)
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