NFL Week 6 Player Prop Bets Picks & Predictions: Best Bets (2022)
The BettingPros Player Prop Cheat Sheet is an invaluable tool to help guide your player prop wagering. Here are some bets the cheat sheet likes this week and that I like enough to bet on myself.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
NFL Week 6 Player Prop Bets Picks & Predictions: Best Bets
Marcus Mariota Under 208.5 Passing Yards (-179, Caesar's)
Let's start things in Atlanta where the Falcons take on the San Francisco 49ers. Despite what appears to be a well-below average team, the Falcons have managed to stick around in every game they've played this season. However, this is not largely due to the passing performance of quarterback Marcus Mariota. In five games this season, Mariota has exceeded 208.5 passing yards in just two games. Furthermore, Mariota has never eclipsed the 230 passing yards mark in 2022. The Betting Pros cheat sheet projects Mariota to finish with 181.7 passing yards on Sunday, which is a 26.8 yard difference from his betting line. Additionally, the 49ers defense has been elite at stopping the pass so far this season. San Francisco ranks third in the NFL, allowing just 177.8 passing yards per game. I expect Mariota will struggle greatly through the air against a hard-nosed San Francisco defense.
Eno Benjamin Over 52.5 Rushing Yards (-115, BetMGM)
Moving onto the Cardinals and Seahawks in Seattle. Starting running back of the Arizona Cardinals, James Conner, is expected to miss Sunday's game with a rib injury. As a result, Eno Benjamin is slated to start at running back. Benjamin has made the most of his carries in 2022, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Additionally, Seattle's run defense ranks dead last in the NFL as they allow a staggering 170.2 rushing yards per game through five games this season. Furthermore, the cheat sheet projects Benjamin to finish with 61 rushing yards which is 8.5 yards more than his line. I expect Benjamin to make the most of his opportunity and run all over a horrendous Seahawks defense.
Nick Chubb Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-115, BetMGM)
When analyzing the Patriots and Browns game in Cleveland there is one prop that jumps out. Nick Chubb's rushing prop is set at just 90.5 yards, despite heading into Sunday averaging 118.6 rushing yards per game. After taking a closer look, Chubb has eclipsed 90.5 rushing yards in four of five games this season, ending with 87 in his only sub-90 performance. On top of this Chubb is averaging a career-best 6.1 yards per carry and our cheat sheet projects him to finish with 99.2 rushing yards. Furthermore, the Patriots rank in the bottom half of the league in terms of run defense. New England has allowed 128.8 rushing yards per game despite playing rather poor rush offenses so far this season. Chubb is far and away the best running back the Patriots will face at this point in the season and should run all over them on Sunday.
Michael Pittman Under 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110 DraftKings)
Finally we head to Indianapolis to discuss my last cheat sheet player prop. The Jaguars absolutely dominated the Colts in a 24-0 shutout during their last meeting. While he didn't play in their first matchup, Michael Pittman has not been the same since his injury. His lack of production may be predominantly due to a horrendous Colts offense, but nevertheless the production just isn’t there. Pittman has finished below 66 receiving yards in each of the last two games. Additionally the Jaguars rank 8th in the NFL in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers with just 137 per game. Finally the Betting Pros cheat sheet projects Pittman to finish with only 56.1 yards.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
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