NFL Week 6 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

by Sam Smith |
Oct 13, 2023

Letâ€™s take a look at our top NFL Week 6 same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 6)

49ers @ Browns

49ers -9.5 (-110)
Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD (-175)
PJ Walker O166.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Every time I watch the 49ers, itâ€™s hard for me to picture them ever having an off game. Theyâ€™re consistently able to exploit opponentâ€™s weaknesses. This should be especially true this week, as the Browns are without Deshaun Watson and will be starting PJ Walker at QB. Given how the 49ersâ€™ defense made the Cowboysâ€™ offense look last week, I think Cleveland could be in for a long day. Even still, Walker has played well at times in his career, and I think heâ€™ll go over 166.5 pass yards. He should have plenty of opportunity if the Browns find themselves down early.

Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD has been an automatic bet since he joined the 49ers. He dominates their red zone touches, and has scored in his last 14 games. This is a safe leg to add onto this parlay to get some solid odds.

Parlay Odds: +490

Commanders @ Falcons

Falcons ML (-130)
Bijan Robinson 60+ Rush Yards (-175)
Drake London Anytime TD (+200)

While the Falcons have been an incredibly frustrating team for fantasy owners, I expect that to change this week. Washington has one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and Desmond Ridder should be able to lead Atlanta to victory. The Commanders have a bottom-ten rush defense in terms of yards allowed per carry, and Bijan Robinson has averaged 5.4 yards per carry this year. His usage could be better, but heâ€™s gotten at least 14 carries in three of his last four games (the other was a blowout loss) and that kind of volume should be enough for 60 yards on Sunday.

Drake London has two TDs already this year, and has seen seven red zone targets in five games. The Commanders have allowed nine TDs to opposing WRs this year â€“ most in the NFL â€“ and London is a solid bet at +200 to get in the end zone.

Parlay Odds: +530

Panthers @ Dolphins

Dolphins -13.5 (-110)
Tyreek Hill 6+ Receptions (-210)
Bryce Young 225+ Pass Yards (+135)

Outside of their game against Buffalo a couple weeks ago, the Dolphins have rolled pretty much everyone theyâ€™ve played. At home theyâ€™re 2-0, with two covers as favorites. I expect that trend to continue this week, as the Panthers should be totally outmatched. Carolinaâ€™s defense has struggled this year, and the Dolphins offense is prolific enough to cover this spread. Tyreek Hill should be a big part of the gameplan â€“ he has at least 9 targets in three of his last four games. Carolina allows a reception on 65% of WR targets, and Hill should get plenty of volume.

I also expect Bryce Young to post a solid game. Young has been overshadowed by other rookie QBs, but heâ€™s improved on his yardage total every week this year and put up 247 yards last week. Miami allows 258 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, and I think Young should get plenty of opportunity if the Panthers get down early.

Parlay Odds: +615

Vikings @ Bears

Vikings ML (-155)
Justin Fields 200+ Pass Yards (+110)
Jordan Addison 60+ Receiving Yards (+115)

The Chicago Bears had an atrocious start to the season, but theyâ€™ve largely straightened things out over their last couple games. They put up 68 total points over their last two games, and Justin Fields looks much more comfortable than he did to start the year. Even still, I think the Vikings will come out of Chicago with a win this week. Their four losses have all been by one possession, and all to quality teams (Kansas City, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Los Angeles Chargers). Even without Justin Jefferson, I expect them to win against the inferior Bears.

I think Jordan Addison should see plenty of targets this week in Justin Jeffersonâ€™s absence, and the Bears defense is allowing 9.3 yards per target to opposing WRs. Addison should definitely see enough volume to break 60 yards. I also expect Fields to stay hot â€“ it wonâ€™t be enough to win the game, but given his performance in recent weeks Iâ€™ll take 200+ passing yards given the odds.

Parlay Odds: +510

Colts @ Jaguars

Calvin Ridley 70+ Rec Yards (+115)
Josh Downs 50+ Rec Yards (+105)
Travis Etienne Anytime TD (-120)

I think this game has a chance of being a bit of a shootout. Calvin Ridley has been a bit up and down this year, but heâ€™s coming off a big game in London last week against the Bills. He also torched the Colts the first time these two teams played, posting 8 catches and 101 yards. Given the Colts have struggled to contain opposing WRs â€“ theyâ€™ve allowed the 9th most yards per game to opposing WRs â€“ I think Ridley could be in for a repeat performance. I also like Josh Downsâ€™ chances at a solid game on Sunday. Downs has averaged 7 targets per game over his last 3 games, and the Jaguars allow 9.6 yards per target to opposing WRs. Downs should see enough volume to post a nice receiving yardage total.

Finally, I like Etienneâ€™s chances of getting in the end zone due to his red zone usage this year. Etienne has been splitting goal line work with Tank Bigsby this year, but he does have eight red zone carries over five games. Etienne has posted at least 19 carries in each of his last three games, and given his volume this is a solid bet.

Parlay Odds: +665

Saints @ Texans

Texans ML (+105)
Kendre Miller O19.5 Rush Yards (-120)
Nico Collins U4.5 Receptions (-110)

These two teams have been very hard to gauge week to week, with both pulling off big wins and suffering tough losses over the last few weeks. I think CJ Stroud is a more sure thing at QB than Derek Carr given the way the two have played this year, and I believe that should be enough for Houston to win this game at home. Kendre Miller could get plenty of carries, however, even if the Saints find themselves trailing. Miller saw nine carries three weeks ago (though Alvin Kamara didnâ€™t play) and twelve carries last week (though it was a blowout). While these performances do deserve asterisks, Miller appears to be the Saintsâ€™ clear cut backup. I think heâ€™ll get enough opportunity to go over this low yardage total.

Nico Collins has has a great season, but the Saints do defend opposing WRs well. Marshon Lattimore should be lining up across from Collins, and the Saints can give him plenty of attention if Tank Dell misses the game. Collins has gone under 4.5 catches in two of his last three games, and I think heâ€™ll do so again this week.

Parlay Odds: +750

Seahawks @ Bengals

Over 45.5 (-105)
Jaâ€™Marr Chase O7.5 Catches (-105)
Geno Smith O238.5 Pass Yards (-115)

Joe Burrow appeared to get himself back on track last week, and it may be wheels up for the Bengalsâ€™ offense. Their defense has been a different story recently, allowing 20 points last week to the Cardinals and 27 points the week prior to the Titans. Seattle is better than either of those offenses, and should be able to find some success on Sunday. The Seahawksâ€™ defense isnâ€™t much better â€“ they allowed at least 27 points in each of their first three games this year before playing the Giants prior to their bye week. This game could be high scoring.

Jaâ€™Marr Chase has gotten a fair share of targets all season, even when Joe Burrow hasnâ€™t been playing his best. Chase has at least 8 targets in every game this year, and 43 targets over his last three games. If he sees similar volume, he should be able to pull down at least 8 catches on Sunday. The Bengals have a solid pass defense statistically, but they havenâ€™t played many good passing offenses this year. Geno Smith has had some big games this year, and I think heâ€™ll put up another solid one Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +410

Patriots @ Raiders

Raiders -2.5 (-120)
Jakobi Meyers 60+ Rec Yards (+100)
Patriots Team Total U19.5 (105)

I expect the Raiders to roll in this one, primarily because Iâ€™ve watched the Patriotsâ€™ last three games and have no confidence in them scoring any points this week. New England hasnâ€™t gone over 17 points in any of their last four games, and has just three points combined in their last two games. I wouldnâ€™t be surprised to not only see the Raiders dominate this one, but to see Mac Jones get benched if his poor play continues.

Sunday could also be a big day for Jakobi Meyers. Itâ€™s a revenge game for Meyers, after he spent the early part of his career with New England. Meyers has gone for 75 or more yards in three of the four games heâ€™s played this year, and I think he could see additional targets as he takes on his former team. The Patriots have a good pass defense, but I think Meyers will post a solid line.

Parlay Odds: +370

Lions @ Buccaneers

Lions ML (-160)
David Montgomery Anytime TD (-155)
Buccaneers Team Total O20.5 (+105)

This is a bit of a cheeky one â€“ I think the Lions win this game, but their defense has struggled this season and I think thereâ€™s a chance they win despite a solid offensive showing from Tampa Bay. The Lions have been exceptional this year, clearly separating themselves as a top-3 NFC team. Their offense has been extremely effective, and I think theyâ€™ll be able to hang some points on the Buccaneers. I also love David Montgomeryâ€™s odds of scoring this week, with no Jahmyr Gibbs and with his massive share of red zone carries.

The Bucs have been good on offense this year behind a resurgence from Baker Mayfield. Theyâ€™ve scored at least 20 points in four of their five games this year. The Lions, on the other hand, have allowed at least 20 points in four of five games this year. I think the Lions win, but give up 21 or more to Tampa Bayâ€™s solid offense.

Parlay Odds: +625

Cardinals @ Rams

Over 48.5 (-110)
Matthew Stafford 300+ Pass Yards (+160)
Zach Ertz O32.5 Rec Yards (-115)

This is another game that I could see becoming a shootout, as both teams have solid offenses and defenses that have struggled at times. The Cardinals have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL this season, allowing 274.4 passing yards per game to opposing QBs â€“ sixth-most in the NFL. Matthew Stafford has been exceptional this year, and despite a tough game last week against the Eagles, this is a great bounceback spot for him.

The Rams, on the other hand, have allowed 66.0 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs. This is fourth-most in the NFL. Zach Ertz has been up and down this year, but overall his production has been solid. He has 22 catches on 34 targets, and averages just under 7 yards per game. Similar volume should allow him to break 33 receiving yards on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +530

Eagles @ Jets

Jets +6.5 (-120)
Garrett Wilson 50+ Rec Yards (-155)
Jalen Hurts 40+ Rush Yards (-140)

While the Eagles have been one of the best teams in the NFL this season, I like the Jetsâ€™ odds of covering +6.5 at home. New York has played pretty solidly over their last two games, coming within three points of beating the Chiefs at home and putting up a double digit win as road underdogs in Denver. Their defense has been very good, and Zach Wilson has played well enough to keep them in games. Philadelphia is 5-0, but theyâ€™ve played inferior teams close this year, and I think that could continue this week.

If the Jets are going to keep it close, theyâ€™ll need a big game from Garrett Wilson. Wilson has broken 50 yards in three of the last four weeks, and posted 48 yards the one week he came up shy. He should see plenty of targets this week as the Jets try to keep pace with the Eagles.

The Jets have allowed the second-most rushing yards per game to opposing QBs, and allow 6.0 yards per carry when the other teamâ€™s QB is running the ball. Hurts has at least nine carries in each game this year, and similar volume should yield at least 40 rushing yards.

Parlay Odds: +390

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

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