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NFL Week 6 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

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NFL Week 6 is here and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the Week 6 Sunday afternoon slate.

Keep in mind that the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets as well. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 6 Same Game Parlays bets before the games get underway.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 6)

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens

On the surface, this Commanders versus Ravens matchup seems like it'll be a high-scoring one with the No. 1 and No. 2 scoring offenses involved. The Commanders are averaging a league-high 31.0 PPG while the Ravens are putting up 29.4 PPG. However, the under is the sharp play here as the total is a tad inflated. 

First, we're bound to see the Washington offense slow down after such a hot start. As impressive as Daniels has been, his 77.1% completion rate and efficiency overall are due to regress. Daniels and the Commanders have also benefited from an easier schedule thus far with their four wins coming against opponents with a combined 6-14 record. A down performance from the Commanders offensively is likely coming and on the road at Baltimore presents their toughest test yet. 

Meanwhile, the Ravens will employ their run-heavy offensive gameplan to string together long possessions and keep the ball out of Daniels' hands as much as possible. Baltimore is averaging a league-high 211.2 rushing yards per game and faces a Washington defense that's allowing 5.1 yards per carry (31st in NFL). The Ravens survived a high-scoring game in Week 5 in their overtime win at Cincinnati but will likely want to control the clock more here at home. 

On that note, Henry should play a large role for the Ravens as we target his rushing yards prop. As mentioned, the Commanders are giving up 5.1 yards per carry on the ground. Henry is averaging 6.0 yards per carry himself and has 80+ rushing yards in four consecutive games. He's a good bet to clear that line again. 

Even though we're taking the under, Daniels will likely be chucking it plenty. The spread (Ravens -6.5) and higher total both play into a favorable game script for Daniels' pass attempts. Plus, Baltimore's top-ranked rush defense should force Washington to throw it more often. Daniels has yet to throw it more than 30 times in a game this season, but opposing QBs against Baltimore are averaging 37.4 pass attempts per game. 

Parlay Odds: +500 

Houston Texans at New England Patriots

Both the Texans and Patriots have significant news on offense heading into this matchup. Houston's star wide receiver Nico Collins has been placed on injured reserve (IR) with a hamstring injury. The absence is a big one for a Texans offense that struggled to consistently move the ball last week after Collins went out. 

Meanwhile, rookie Drake Maye has been named the Patriots' starting quarterback for this week's game. New England was averaging just 12.4 PPG before this quarterback change, mustering only 26 points over the past three games combined. It's tough to tell whether or not Maye is an upgrade over Jacoby Brissett until we see the rookie in action. He did get some garbage-time snaps back in Week 3, but it wasn't much to go off. 

If we consider the big question marks on offense for both squads, the under is the way to go here. The Pats should go with a run-heavy gameplan to keep pressure off Maye and control the clock. The Texans could have struggles offensively as well without Collins and likely Joe Mixon. Plus, Houston is averaging just 19.2 PPG on the road since the beginning of last year - compared to 23.9 PPG at home. C.J. Stroud has, in turn, played better at home. 

As we take the under, let's also back the Patriots as 7-point underdogs in a lower-scoring contest. Maye is a wild card but he could give the New England offense some life, especially since he's a threat to run. Plus, getting a touchdown home dog in a game with a total below 40 is generally a smart investment. 

With Collins out, Diggs now becomes much more important in the Houston offense. Diggs has mostly taken a backseat to Collins this season after coming over in the offseason. Now, though, he should be a top weapon for Stroud. Diggs had six catches for 82 yards on eight targets this past week after Collins went out. He has 94, 69 and 82 yards in the past three games with eight-plus targets in each as he builds a rapport with Stroud. 

Parlay Odds: +550

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles

Coming out of their bye week and the blowout loss at Tampa Bay last time out, the Eagles are poised for a bounce-back performance here. The offense gets some key players returning from injury with A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and offensive tackle Lane Johnson all expected back. This should help Jalen Hurts and the attack be much more efficient - especially with the extra week to get right. 

On the other side, the Browns' offense looked lifeless for most of this past week's 21-point loss at Washington. In fact, Cleveland has been pretty terrible offensively all season with Deshaun Watson underperforming. Expect Vic Fangio's Philadelphia defense to put forth a strong effort after the bye. Grab the under on Cleveland's 13.5 team total. The Browns are averaging just 15.8 PPG this season with a season-high of only 18 points. 

Cleveland is now 1-4 straight up and ATS with a pair of double-digit losses to NFC teams already. The Eagles can follow suit with a get-right opportunity at home. Under Nick Sirianni, Philly is 2-0-1 ATS in games after the bye. Take the Eagles on the alt line of -13.5 to win by at least two touchdowns and add in Philadelphia to cover the first-half spread as well. 

The Browns have allowed at least one rushing touchdown in every game thus far with eight allowed overall through five games (tied for second-most in NFL). Barkley has five touchdowns through the first four games and should get back into the end zone after being held out in his most recent game. Barring a Jalen Hurts Tush Push on the goal line, Barkley has a great chance at scoring. 

Parlay Odds: +400 

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers

Arizona just pulled off an improbable road upset over San Francisco in Week 5. Despite the impressive result, it's time to fade the Cardinals in a second consecutive road test - this time at Lambeau Field. The Packers have won three of their past four games, covering the spread in each win. They were able to beat the Rams by five points on the road this past week despite an inefficient offense. 

Speaking of the offense, Green Bay should put up points at home against a shaky Arizona defense. The Cardinals are allowing 25.8 PPG this season (27th in NFL). The Packers are averaging 25.6 PPG (eighth) while putting up nearly 400 yards of total offense per week. 

The Pack have also scored at least 24 points in four of five games so far. Green Bay's ground game should set the tone offensively as Arizona is giving up 147.8 rushing yards per game (28th). The Packers, meanwhile, have the third-best rushing offense in the league. 

On that note, let's target some Jacobs props in his favorable matchup. After a couple of down weeks, the Green Bay running back bounced back with 73 rushing yards on 19 carries in their most recent game. He now has at least 70 yards in three of five games with 84 and 151 back in Weeks 1 and 2, respectively. Over the past three games, the Cardinals have allowed four different opposing rushers to gain 80 or more yards. Jacobs should also find the end zone after scoring in Week 5. Arizona has allowed eight rushing scores over five weeks. 

Parlay Odds: +450 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints 

The Buccaneers are coming off a tough overtime loss to Atlanta this past week and are now favored on the road at New Orleans. It's a good situational spot to back last year's NFC South champs, who will be hungry to get their first divisional win of the season. 

As for the Saints, the offense will now have to make do without Derek Carr, who is expected to miss multiple games with an oblique injury suffered in Week 5. In his place, New Orleans will start rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler. That's less-than-ideal for a quarterback in his first NFL game playing behind a banged-up offensive line. Todd Bowles' Tampa defense will likely send blitzes at Rattler all game to force the inexperienced signal-caller into forced throws and mistakes. 

Take the Buccaneers to cover as favorites on the road this week. Interestingly, Tampa has beaten the Saints by at least 10 points in three of the past four meetings in New Orleans - including a 26-9 win in 2023. The Bucs have a significant rest advantage in this game having played on Thursday night of this past week. Conversely, the Saints just played on the road on Monday night and are dealing with multiple injuries on both sides of the ball in addition to Carr.

Let's also grab the under in this divisional showdown. The Saints' offensive situation with Carr out is a big factor, of course. But there's a notable trend to follow here. The Bucs and Saints have played to the under in five consecutive meetings and in seven of their past eight matchups. These rivals have fully played into the narrative of a low-scoring divisional affair. 

Wrap up this SGP with Chris Godwin to gain at least 60 receiving yards. The Buccaneers' wideout has 60 or more yards in four of five games with 53 in the outlier. He's also averaging 77.2 yards per game so far. Saints corner Marshon Lattimore has historically frustrated and usually quieted Mike Evans in this matchup over the years, leaving Godwin with more opportunities in the offense. Last year against New Orleans, Godwin had 81 and 114 yards in the two matchups.

Parlay Odds: +550 

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans 

You may notice a theme of uncertain quarterback situations around the league this week. Well, both Indianapolis and Tennessee are in that boat for their AFC South matchup. Will Levis and Anthony Richardson are dealing with injuries and their statuses are up in the air for the Titans and Colts, respectively. Both practiced this week but it remains to be seen if either or both will start. It's very possible we get Mason Rudolph and/or Joe Flacco for this Week 6 divisional game. 

Despite both quarterback situations, we should have more confidence in the Titans to win at home. Levis looks probable to play after fully practicing and benefiting from a bye week to rest. Either way, Tennessee has the defensive advantage here. The Titans are allowing a league-low 243.8 total yards per game while the Colts are giving up a league-high 419.2 total yards per game. The defenses are literally on the opposite end of the spectrum.

Besides Richardson's status, the Colts are also dealing with multiple injuries on offense. Running back Jonathan Taylor sat out last week with an ankle injury and may miss a second consecutive game. Receiver Michael Pittman will be out and may be sidelined for multiple games. Fellow wideout Josh Downs is questionable to play as well. 

Indianapolis' inability to stop the run is especially worrisome. The defense is allowing 157 rushing yards per game this year (31st in the NFL). With that in mind, let's go with a Pollard-focused parlay. Indy gave up 101 rushing yards to Tank Bigsby this past week and more than 150 to Josh Jacobs and Joe Mixon earlier this season. Pollard is only averaging 61.5 rushing yards per game but he just had 88 on 22 carries in his most recent game. That large workload will likely continue with Levis banged up or Rudolph under center. 

Pollard also has upside as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. He has 87 receiving yards through four games with at least 15 yards in three contests. The Colts defense, meanwhile, has allowed 19 or more receiving yards to six different running backs in the past three games alone. Even with Tyjae Spears involved in the offense, Pollard can exploit this matchup. He has at least 94 total yards in three of four games already. 

Parlay Odds: +430

Pittsburgh Steelers at Las Vegas Raiders

Both the Steelers and Raiders have quarterback questions coming into this Week 6 matchup. Russell Wilson has returned to practice for Pittsburgh. Whether he starts over Justin Fields remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the Raiders are making a quarterback change themselves with O'Connell getting the start this week over Gardner Minshew. The uncertainty on both sides of the ball makes it tough to make a pick against the spread or on the total here. 

Instead, let's target three different player props for this SGP. With O'Connell getting the starting nod, we could see the Raiders let him throw it around. In O'Connell's 10 starts this past season with Las Vegas, he averaged 33 pass attempts and 214.3 passing yards per game. He also had at least 175 yards in seven of 10 starts with 171 in another. When O'Connell has relieved Minshew this season, he's totaled 32 pass attempts in 39 snaps. Considering the Steelers have a top-5 run defense, O'Connell may be asked to throw it a bunch. 

Although the Steelers need to sort the quarterback situation out, we know Harris is the guy in the backfield. He's seeing the large share of carries right now with Jaylen Warren and Cordarrelle Patterson both banged up. Harris had 70, 69 and 70 rushing yards in the first three weeks but has just 19 and 42 yards over the past two games. This is a good matchup for him to get back to the 70-plus-yard mark. The Raiders are allowing 131.8 rush yards per game (23rd in NFL) and 4.9 yards per carry (27th). They've allowed opposing leading rushers to gain 90.4 yards per game so far. 

Whether Fields or Wilson is the starter, Freiermuth should be a safety valve of sorts for either Pittsburgh quarterback. If it's Wilson, expect the veteran to go for quick and sure completions to the tight end as he gets comfortable. If it's Fields, well, Freiermuth is already second on the team in targets, receptions and yards through five games. He has 25 or more yards in four of five contests with 22 in the outlier. 

Parlay Odds: +490

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos

If you read this article this past week, you know we missed the under in Denver's win to ruin that SGP. The Broncos scored 34 points themselves, but that may have been more about the Raiders issues than anything else. Let's go back to the well and count on a low-scoring game for Denver's matchup this week against the Chargers. 

The logic with Broncos unders hasn't changed. Their defense is allowing only 14.6 PPG (second in NFL) and 271.2 total yards per game (third). Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph's unit uses the blitz and man coverage to confuse opposing offenses on a weekly basis. On the flip side, besides last week, the Denver offense has left a lot to be desired with rookie quarterback Bo Nix in a game-manager role.

Meanwhile, the Chargers play a similar style on both sides of the ball. The Los Angeles defense is allowing a league-low 12.5 PPG this season with all four of its games hitting the under. Even with Herbert under center, the Chargers' offense deploys a run-focused attack and severely lacks pass-catching playmakers. Head coach Jim Harbaugh's squad wants to keep games lower-scoring with its slower-paced offense and top-tier defense. 

Grab the under for the full game on an alt total of 32.5 and the first half in this one. The totals are low for a reason, so let's lean into it. These teams are a combined 7-2 to the under this year and a grinding first half should set the tone. Plus, Broncos home games are 17-11 to the under over the past four years. The Chargers, meanwhile, should be dialed in and fresh defensively coming out of their bye week. 

To finish off the parlay, let's add in the under on Herbert's passing yards and pass attempts props. The LA quarterback is averaging just 144.5 passing yards per game with fewer than 180 yards in each contest. The Chargers' run-first approach offensively has also limited Herbert to only 22.8 attempts per game with fewer than 28 in each. Denver, meanwhile, is allowing 159.8 passing yards per game (fifth in NFL) and 5.8 yards per completion (third). 

Parlay Odds: +410

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers 

The Falcons are an interesting case study in the NFL right now. Atlanta is 3-2 and is tied atop the NFC South standings after the first five weeks. However, that record could easily look a lot worse when you consider the Falcons' three wins have been a combined nine points with a loss likely for each. In Week 2, they pulled off a last-minute TD drive to stun the Eagles. In Week 3, they needed a game-winning 58-yard field goal to beat the Saints. In Week 5, they eked out an overtime win over Tampa Bay following a last-second 52-yard field goal to end regulation. 

It's prime sell-high time for an Atlanta team that very well could be 1-4 if not for some late-game miracles. Meanwhile, the market is low on the Panthers for good reason as they are 1-4 themselves with a -82 point differential. Yet, we can buy low on Carolina returning home after losing by 26 on the road in Chicago last week. We should get a strong effort from the home underdogs in a divisional matchup with road trips to Washington and Denver in the next two weeks. 

Andy Dalton and the offense should be much better than they were this past week. One area that Carolina can have success offensively is on the ground with Hubbard. The Falcons are allowing 148.4 rushing yards per game (29th in NFL) while Hubbard is averaging 105 yards over the past three games with at least 97 in each. He's taken over the bell-cow role in the Panthers' backfield now and is gaining 5.8 yards per carry this season. Meanwhile, Atlanta has given up at least 70 rushing yards to a lead running back in every game this year already. 

Although we're backing Carolina here, that doesn't mean Robinson can't get his yards in a favorable matchup. The Panthers are giving up 144.6 rushing yards per game (27th) with nine rushing touchdowns allowed this season (32nd). Though Robinson has been relatively quiet so far, averaging just 57 rush yards per game, this can be a breakout spot. 

Parlay Odds: +650

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

At first glance, Detroit being favored on the road at Dallas may seem like a typo. However, the Lions are the better team right now and are favorites for a reason. For starters, head coach Dan Campbell's squad is well-rested coming out of the bye. The Lions are 3-1 ATS and straight up with a +22 point differential over four games. 

On the other side, the Cowboys are 3-2 on the season but have a -4 point differential. Their past two wins over the Steelers and Giants have come by a combined eight points. This is a notable step up in competition and we could be in for a letdown after Dallas pulled off a close victory at Pittsburgh last week where it trailed in the last minute and easily could've lost. 

The big difference-maker in this matchup is Detroit's advantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball. The Lions' physical run game is averaging 151.3 yards per game (sixth in NFL) with two talented runners in Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. The Dallas defense hasn't faced a potent rushing attack like Detroit's since it played the Ravens in Week 2, and Baltimore racked up 274 rush yards in a road win. The Cowboys are also allowing 135 rushing yards per game as a bottom-10 run defense in the league. 

Meanwhile, the Lions should control the line on the other side with a rush defense that's allowing 90.8 yards per game (fourth in NFL). The Cowboys have lacked a reliable run game all season and are averaging just 82.0 rush yards per contest and 3.5 yards per carry - both second-worst in the league. This will put more pressure on the Dallas passing attack, which has been underwhelming with Dak Prescott's 8:4 TD:INT ratio thus far and the Cowboys' lack of playmakers outside of Lamb. 

Furthermore, the Lions come in with plenty of motivation after nearly pulling off a road upset at Dallas in 2023. They should come in well prepared out of the bye to send a message. The Cowboys, by the way, are already 0-2 at home this season after being so good in their own stadium last year. 

As mentioned above, the Lions should dominate the ground game on offense and we should see plenty of Montgomery. There should be room for both Montgomery and Gibbs to get their yards, but let's focus on former. Montgomery’s averaging 67.8 rush yards per game this season with 105 and 91 yards in two of four games. He’s averaged 72.5 yards per game in 2023 and was a key piece in the near-upset of Dallas with 65 yards on 14 carries (4.6 ypc). He now has 60 or more yards in 12 of 18 regular season games in Detroit's offense.

As the Lions shut down the Cowboys' run game, expect Lamb to get a ton of targets as the go-to option for Prescott. The Detroit defense is giving up 276 receiving yards per game (27th in NFL) and have allowed a 100-yard receiver in three of four games so far. Lamb has yardage totals of 98 and 90 already this year and he had a whopping 227 yards this past year against the Lions.

Parlay Odds: +450

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