NFL Week 6 Same Game Parlay Picks: Jaguars vs. Bears (London)

The NFL is abroad again this week, and the familiar faces of the Jaguars are one of the game’s participants. The Bears are the others playing on Sunday morning. One of the teams have the most eye-catching player props because of the defensive tendencies of their opponent. My favorite same game parlay for this contest has four legs with juicy +650 odds.

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(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears SGP

• Leg 1: Caleb Williams Over 242.5 Passing Yards  (-115)
• Leg 2: Caleb Williams Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+110)
• Leg 3: Rome Odunze 40+ Receiving Yards (-130)
• Leg 4: D’Andre Swift 25+ Receiving Yards (+125)

Caleb Williams had a rough start to his rookie campaign. However, he’s taken advantage of a soft stretch, righting the ship. According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), among 29 quarterbacks with at least 50 dropbacks between Week 3 and Week 5, Williams was 20th in their passing grade, 13th in completion percentage (67.3%), tied for 15th in adjusted completion percentage (74.7%), seventh in passing yards (824), tied for seventh in yards per pass attempt (7.9), tied for 11th in big-time throw percentage (4.3%) and tied for seventh in touchdown passes (five).

Williams averaged 274.7 passing yards per game in those three games, surpassing 300 twice. He’s also thrown multiple touchdowns in two of his past three games. The rookie signal-caller has a golden opportunity for another stellar showing.

According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Jaguars are tied for the sixth-highest situation-neutral pass percentage (60%) against them this year. Conversely, the Bears are tied for the 13th-highest situation-neutral pass rate (55%). Williams should take to the air early and often.

Fortunately, he has a mouthwatering matchup. According to Pro Football Reference, the Jaguars have coughed up the second-most passing yards per game (298.8) and 2.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks. Tua Tagovailoa (338 passing yards and one passing touchdown), Josh Allen (263 and four), C.J. Stroud (345 and two) and Joe Flacco (359 and three) eclipsed 242.5 passing yards against the Jaguars, and three of Jacksonville’s opposing quarterbacks had over 1.5 passing touchdowns. Williams should be the next to exceed both marks.

Rome Odunze and D’Andre Swift can be successful through the air on the receiving end of Williams’s pass attempts. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, since Week 3, Odunze was first on the Bears in air-yard share (36.4%), second in target share (19.2%), third in receptions (12), third in receiving yards per game (54.0) and second in first-read percentage (23.9%). During that period, Swift had a 12.5% target share, a team-high 0.25 targets per route run, 47.0 receiving yards per game and an 11.9% first-read percentage.

Both players have Charmin-soft matchups. The Jaguars have allowed the second-most receiving yards per game (210.4) to wide receivers and the second-most receiving yards per game (57.0) to running backs. Thus, Odunze should have at least 40 receiving yards, and Swift should tally at least 25.

Parlay Odds: +650

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.