NFL Week 6 Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay (Cowboys vs. Eagles)
On Sunday night, the Cowboys head to Philadelphia for a divisional showdown against the Eagles. This game has massive implications for the 2022 NFC East race, as the Eagles come in at 5-0 and the Cowboys just a game back at 4-1. The winner of this game will have an inside track to a division title from here forward.
The Eagles are favored by 6.5 points in this game with a total of 42.5. It should be a relatively low-scoring matchup between two good defenses. The Eagles have a QB advantage in Jalen Hurts while Cooper Rush has filled in admirably for the injured Dak Prescott. This will be the toughest challenge yet for Rush as a starter.
Ahead of this huge matchup, I’ve found a three-leg Same Game Parlay with exceptional value on Fanduel. See below for commentary on each leg.
View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Leg 1: Jalen Hurts Any Time TD (+115)
After five weeks of Hurts shredding defenses with his legs, it’s shocking to me that we can still get plus-money on his Any Time TD prop. Hurts has run effectively and aggressively this year. He leads the entire NFL in carries inside the red zone and carries inside the five-yard line. His ability to get in the end zone may be discounted because he’s a QB rather than an RB, but if any RB in the NFL had Hurts’ volume and effectiveness, I’d expect their TD prop to carry way more vig.
Hurts has already scored 6 TDs on the season. All but one of those came on attempts inside the five-yard line. He has averaged 2.0 carries per game inside the five and 4.8 carries per game inside the 20. I expect this trend to continue against Dallas.
The Cowboys defense is middle-of-the-pack against the run and good against the pass but bottom three in defending QB runs. Dallas has allowed 6.8 yards per carry against QBs despite not having played a true dual-threat QB besides Daniel Jones.
If Hurts just continues to get the short-yardage opportunities he has all season, I love his odds to score a TD. If you wanted to get aggressive here, Hurts has scored the first Eagles TD in 4 of 5 games this year and is +390 to score the first Eagles TD Sunday night. I’ll play it safe and stick with the Any Time TD, but I like the price offered on both.
Leg 2: Jalen Hurts 50+ Rush Yards (+100)
This play goes hand in hand with some of the rationale behind Hurts’ Any Time TD prop. The Cowboys are one of the worst defenses in defending QB runs, and Hurts has carried the ball more than any QB in the NFL by a wide margin.
Hurts has 66 rush attempts on the season (13.2 per game!) – for context, second place (Lamar Jackson) has 49 carries. Hurts only averages roughly 4.0 yards per carry (due in part to some of these carries coming around the goal line), but that average combined with his volume is enough for a big game on the ground.
If Hurts can maintain his usual volume against a bad Cowboys run defense against QBs, I love his odds to smash this prop.
Leg 3: Cowboys U16.5 Total Points (+105)
In the starts he’s made in place of Prescott, Rush has exceeded everyone’s expectations. He owns a stat line of four TDs with zero INTs and 839 yards on 61-percent completion percentage. While he’s been a great story to start the season, I expect that trend to end against the Eagles.
Dallas has scored only seven offensive TDs in five games this season and haven’t broken 25 points once this year. These numbers have come against mostly middle-of-the-pack scoring defenses – no team they’ve played has allowed as few points per game as the Eagles (17.6).
The Eagles rank inside the top ten in pass defense, rush defense and scoring per game. I expect the Eagles to expose Rush’s game-manager style, and I feel good taking the under on 16.5 Cowboys points scored.
Parlay Odds: +580 (Fanduel)
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