NFL Week 7 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below, I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone with a TD this week (excludes the Sunday night game).
Below are my results from the 2022 and 2023 seasons to date (assuming one unit per prop).
(Data per Fantasy Points Data | Odds as of Friday afternoon)
Compare touchdown stats to prop bet odds to help identify the best bets of the week >>
| Season | Week | Units | ROI | Record |
| All Time | -9.7 | -5.7% | 89 – 152 | |
| 2022 | All | +8.8 | 5.2% | 68 – 102 |
| 2023 | 1 | -2.2 | -16.5% | 4 – 9 |
| 2023 | 2 | -1.9 | -15.4% | 4 – 8 |
| 2023 | 3 | -3.1 | -25.8% | 3 – 9 |
| 2023 | 4 | -11.0 | -100% | 0 – 11 |
| 2023 | 5 | +4.4 | 39.7% | 6 – 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | -4.8 | -39.8% | 4 – 8 |
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Best NFL Week 7 Anytime TD Scorer Prop Bets
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens
- Mark Andrews
- Anytime TD Odds: +210 at Fanduel
Andrews has gone scoreless the last two weeks after opening the season with three TD’s in three games. Andrews trails only Zay Flowers in targets since he returned in Week 2 and he continues to be a target in the red zone. He leads the team in targets when inside the 20. The Lions defense leads the league in rushing yards allowed per game at 64.7. The Ravens will likely need to air it out to be successful and Andrews should take advantage. The Lions rank second to last in receptions allowed to TE’s this year.
Las Vegas Raiders at Chicago Bears
- Josh Jacobs
- Anytime TD Odds: -110 at DraftKings
This will be an ugly game featuring backup QBs and the second lowest total of the week (37.5). That said, Jacobs’ role has been among the best in the league in terms of volume. He is averaging 25.7 opportunities per game, trailing only Alvin Kamara, who has played three games. Jacobs only has two TD’s to show for it, but should get a good chance to add to his total against an injured Bears team.
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos
- Aaron Jones
- Anytime TD Odds: +115 at BetMGM
Jones looks likely to make his return from a hamstring injury that has essentially sidelined him since Week 1. It seemed like he returned too quickly in Week 4, where he only touched the ball 6 times on 35% of the snaps. The bye week should have helped get Jones back to full go and he will be rewarded with the softest matchup he could ask for in a return. The Broncos have allowed the most rushing yards and second most receiving yards to RB’s this season. In terms of total TD’s allowed to RB’s, only the Panthers have allowed more.
Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts
- Elijah Moore
- Anytime TD Odds: +280 at DraftKings
It sounds like QB Deshaun Watson has a chance to be back this week after returning to practice on Thursday and Friday. If that is the case, Elijah Moore will benefit. Moore had his best game of the year in Watson’s last game against the Titans, catching 9 passes for 49 yards. Through the first three weeks when Watson was active, Moore was tied with Cooper for the team lead in target share (24.7%). I’m willing to take a chance at long odds that Moore can find the end zone if that connection returns this week.
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
- Josh Palmer
- Anytime TD Odds: +270 at DraftKings
There was an expectation coming out of the bye that first-round rookie WR Quentin Johnston would be more involved. That was not the case in Week 6. Johnston only saw two targets while running a route on less than half of Herbert’s dropbacks. Palmer remained the clear #2 WR behind Keenan Allen and could have had a much bigger game on Monday Night than his box score suggests. Palmer had multiple catches and a TD taken off the board from penalties. The TD would have been his second in three games as he looks to be the main beneficiary from Mike Williams’ injury. This matchup features the second-highest total of the week and the Chargers will likely need to pass as 5.5-point underdogs to keep up with the Chiefs.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Rams
- Cooper Kupp
- Anytime TD Odds: +105 at FanDuel
Kupp found the end zone last week for the first time this season, as he continues to look like his old self in the second game off IR. Over the last two weeks, Kupp has averaged 10.5 targets and 133 yards per game. There is not reason to see that pace slow down against the Steelers secondary. Pittsburgh is tied for the second most receiving yards allowed to WR’s (204.8).
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
- Latavius Murray
- Anytime TD Odds: +260 at BetMGM
Murray had a significant role in last week’s ugly win over the Giants. He received 12 touches, while Cook received 14. Most importantly for purposes of finding the end zone, Murray had all three carries inside the 5-yard line between the Bills RB’s. Fellow RB Damien Harris has been ruled out this week, so Cook and Murray will share the workload again. As 9-point road favorites, the Bills run game should have an opportunity to be successful.
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
- Brian Robinson
- Anytime TD Odds: +125 at FanDuel
Robinson leads the RB room with 14.7 touches per game and leads the team with five TD’s this season. The Giants have struggled against the run all year and teams have taken advantage. While it helps that opposing teams have been leading against the Giants, they are facing 25.7 rushing attempts per game from opposing RB’s. This has led to 132.2 yards allowed per game and a total of seven TD’s allowed, good for third worst in the NFL in both metrics.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Anytime TD Odds: +215 at DraftKings
Kenneth Walker is the obvious pick in this matchup as 8-point favorites at home. That said, I’m willing to take a chance on the rookie first-round pick finding his first TD. While Metcalf and Lockett are ahead of him in the pecking order, JSN has been modestly involved each week. He has seen 5 or more targets in four of the five games this season but has not topped 50 yards in any game. With Metcalf a game-time decision, this could significantly increase if he were to miss. Regardless, JSN did see his highest route participation (75%) last week and gets a favorable matchup against the Cardinals. Over the last three weeks, the Cardinals have allowed the most catches and receiving yards to WR’s.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Chris Godwin
- Anytime TD Odds: +240 at FanDuel
Godwin led the receiving group last week in the loss against Detroit. It could have been a big day, but Baker made a poor throw that would’ve resulted in a TD to Godwin in the last few minutes of the game. This matchup features the lowest total on the week (37), so TD’s may hard to come by. That said, the Bucs pass game has funneled through Godwin and Evans through the first five games, accounting for 50% of the team’s total targets. Evans has been able to convert three of his targets for TD’s, while Godwin is still looking for his first.
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