NFL Week 7 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Touchdowns are why we tune into NFL RedZone each Sunday. Below I will provide my predictions for players who will appear on RedZone by scoring a touchdown this Sunday (excludes the Sunday night game).
Below are my year-to-date results (assumes one unit per prop):
| Week | Units | ROI | Record |
| YTD | -0.6 | -1.6% | 11 – 25 |
| 4 | +0.6 | 5.2% | 5 – 7 |
| 5 | +5.8 | 44.6% | 4 – 9 |
| 6 | -7.0 | -63.6% | 2 – 9 |
NFL Week 7 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Odds, Picks & Predictions (2022)
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
- Kenyan Drake
- Anytime TD Odds: +100 (FanDuel)
The Browns have given up two rushing touchdowns to RBs in each of their last three games. We should continue to look at players who will be able to take advantage of Cleveland’s poor run defense and it looks like Kenyan Drake will have the opportunity this week. J.K. Dobbins was limited in last week’s game and Drake took advantage, turning 10 carries into 119 yards and a TD. Dobbins missed practice all week so it looks like Drake will have another opportunity for the bulk of the carries.
Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals
- Tee Higgins
- Anytime TD Odds: +135 (FanDuel)
Higgins has battled injuries this season but was back to his normal workload last week. He played 86% of the snaps and had 10 targets. While teammate Ja’Marr Chase lit up the box score last week, Higgins still gets plenty of opportunity in the games he is healthy. Atlanta’s defense has been better than expected this season, but did allow two receiving TDs to Brandon Aiyuk last week. The Bengals implied team total is 27 points, which is the 3rd highest on the slate.
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys
- Ezekiel Elliot
- Anytime TD Odds: -140 (FanDuel)
Elliot has received all of the red zone carries the last two weeks and the Cowboys are 7-point favorites at home against the Lions. Prior to the Lions bye, they were getting shredded on the ground. Their last three games saw the Lions run defense allowing 178 yards rushing per game and a total of five TDs. Elliot has averaged close to 17 touches a game this season, so he should have a chance to find the end zone on one of them against the Lions.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders
- Robert Tonyan
- Anytime TD Odds: +195 (FanDuel)
Tonyan had his best game of the season last week, turning 12 targets into 10 catches and 90 yards. Randall Cobb exited with an injury last week and is likely out for some time. This should help Tonyan’s usage moving forward and Rodgers has proven to look his way in the red zone. Tonyan only has one TD on the year but has received a red zone target in five of six games. He looks to be fully healthy coming off his torn ACL and is only two seasons removed from scoring 11 TDs.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
- Chris Godwin
- Anytime TD Odds: +155 (FanDuel)
Godwin has yet to find the end zone this season but his usage last week was encouraging. He received 11 targets and had three looks from Brady in the red zone. The Buccaneers offense is in a bounce-back spot after a road loss in Pittsburgh where they were 9.5-point favorites. The Bucs should be able to put up points this week (25.5 team total) and Godwin should find the end zone against a Panthers secondary that has given up a TD to a WR in four straight games.
New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Travis Etienne
- Anytime TD Odds: +115 (FanDuel)
I am going back to Etienne for the third straight week. His usage continues to trend up and he almost found the end zone for us last week at +230 odds. Ultimately, he broke a long run on the game’s first series but could not make the last defender miss en route to a 48 yards gain and he was later stuffed on a direct snap opportunity at the one-yard line. Unfortunately, his odds have been cut in half this week but there is no reason to go away after back-to-back 100+ yard outings. The matchup is also enticing as the Giants gave up over 11.9 yards per rush and a TD to Kenyan Drake last week.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
- Derrick Henry
- Anytime TD Odds: -160 (DraftKings)
The Titans are 2.5-point home favorites coming out of their bye. Henry was averaging 23 opportunities per game through the first five weeks. He rushed 22 times for 114 yards and a TD in the first meeting between these two teams in Week 4. He should be ready for another full workload this week as he looks to add to his total of five rushing TDs this season.
Houston Texans at Las Vegas Raiders
- Josh Jacobs
- Anytime TD Odds: -135 (DraftKings)
Jacobs was averaging 29.5 touches and scored three TDs in the two games prior to last week’s bye. I expect another full workload in a game the Raiders have the fourth-highest team total at 26.25 this week and are 8-point home favorites against the Texans. The Texans have been one of the worst defenses in the league at stopping the run and I don’t expect that to end this week. Even at short odds, I don’t want to overcomplicate the pick for this matchup.
New York Jets at Denver Broncos
- Breece Hall
- Anytime TD Odds: +135 (DraftKings)
This matchup features the current lowest total on the slate at 38 points. Touchdowns will be a challenge for these two struggling offenses, regardless if Russell Wilson plays or not. Breece Hall has been a bright spot on the Jets offense and his usage continues to trend up as he has broken out over the last couple of weeks. Hall has found the end zone each of the last three weeks and is averaging 132 total yards per game. I’ll bet Hall can make it four in a row against a struggling Broncos team.
Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers
- George Kittle
- Anytime TD Odds: +190 (FanDuel)
Kittle is another player I can’t quit on and will go back to for the third week in a row. Kittle’s passing game usage has continued to increase as expected, resulting in a season-high eight catches for 83 yards on 10 targets last week. He is still looking for his first TD of the season and Vegas expects this matchup to be closer than many people may think. The 49ers are only 2-point underdogs at home this week against the Chiefs and the total for the game is tied for second highest on the slate. The Chiefs have given up four TDs to TEs on the year, including the game-winner last week to Dawson Knox.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Chargers
- Mike Williams
- Anytime TD Odds: +110 (DraftKings)
The Chargers have one of the highest team totals on the day at 27.5. They should have no problems scoring touchdowns against the Seahawks who were allowing over 27 points per game this season. Williams was shut down by Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain last week, but he gets a much easier matchup against Seattle. Prior to last week’s quiet outing, Williams was averaging 10 targets a game over his last four games and had over 100 yards in 3 out of the 4 games. I expect him to get back on track this week and find the end zone.
(Data per PFF)
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