NFL Week 7 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions: Packers vs. Commanders (2022)
Our analysts go through each game of the NFL Week 7 slate to provide their early takes. Let’s take a look at our favorite early odds, picks, and predictions for Packers vs. Commanders.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
NFL Week 7 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions: Packers vs. Commanders
Advanced data from RBs Don't Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Packers Offense vs. Commanders Defense
| Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
| EPA per Play | -0.034 | 23 | 0.008 | 13 | -10 |
| Total SR | 47.7% | 5 | 41.0% | 5 | 0 |
| Total DVOA | 6.5% | 10 | -0.3% | 11 | 1 |
| Dropback EPA | -0.023 | 22 | 0.092 | 21 | -1 |
| Dropback SR | 47.3% | 15 | 44.2% | 12 | -3 |
| Pass DVOA | 11.4% | 16 | 11.8% | 19 | 3 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 6.4% | 13 | 9.7% | 4 | -9 |
| Rush EPA | -0.053 | 19 | -0.123 | 7 | -12 |
| Rush SR | 48.4% | 2 | 35.9% | 4 | 2 |
| Rush DVOA | 5.5% | 10 | -16.5% | 5 | -5 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 4.94 | 5 | 4.30 | 12 | 7 |
| Yards per Play | 5.4 | 15 | 5.6 | 17 | 2 |
| Points per Game | 17.8 | 24 | 22.5 | 18 | -6 |
Commanders Offense vs. Packers Defense
| Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
| EPA per Play | -0.086 | 28 | 0.029 | 19 | -9 |
| Total SR | 38.6% | 29 | 45.8% | 22 | -7 |
| Total DVOA | -19.1% | 29 | 7.2% | 24 | -5 |
| Dropback EPA | -0.072 | 28 | -0.017 | 10 | -18 |
| Dropback SR | 40.6% | 27 | 41.9% | 5 | -22 |
| Pass DVOA | -11.2% | 29 | -0.3% | 9 | -20 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 10.3% | 30 | 8.5% | 7 | -23 |
| Rush EPA | -0.117 | 24 | 0.083 | 30 | 6 |
| Rush SR | 34.4% | 30 | 50.3% | 32 | 2 |
| Rush DVOA | -20.2% | 29 | 14.5% | 32 | 3 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 4.01 | 29 | 5.32 | 32 | 3 |
| Yards per Play | 4.8 | 29 | 5.4 | 13 | -16 |
| Points per Game | 17 | 29 | 20.5 | 15 | -14 |
View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by player with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.