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NFL Week 7 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)

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Let’s take a look at our top NFL Week 6 same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 7)

Falcons @ Buccaneers

  • Falcons ML (+120)
  • Desmond Ridder 200+ Pass Yards (-155)
  • Rachaad White U47.5 Rush Yards (-110)

This will be a key game in the NFC South Standings, and I think the Falcons can get a big win on the road here. Atlanta is 3-3, and Desmond Ridder has upped his game in recent weeks. Ridder has thrown for over 300 yards in each of the past two weeks. Tampa Bay has a bottom-ten defense in terms of passing yards per game, and I think Ridder could be in for a solid game in a win on Sunday.

Rachaad White has struggled this year, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry this year and only breaking 40 yards once in his past three games. The Falcons allow 3.8 yards per carry – just below league average. If the Bucs are down, and have to throw late, I don't think White will log enough carries to break 47.5 rushing yards given his efficiency.

Parlay Odds: +420

Commanders @ Giants

  • Commanders -2.5 (-120)
  • Darius Slayton 40+ Rec Yards (+125)
  • Darren Waller U36.5 Rec Yards (-110)

Despite the Giants putting up a great performance in a near-upset last week against the Bills, I think they'll drop this game to Washington. Washington's biggest liability this season is their pass defense, and the Giants will either be starting Tyrod Taylor or an injured Daniel Jones. I don't think that'll give the New York offense enough firepower to capitalize on this matchup. I expect Washington to win, and cover the 2.5 point spread.

The Commanders have been especially bad against opposing WRs this year. They've allowed 200 receiving yards per game to opposing WRs, fourth-most in the NFL. Darius Slayton has at least four targets in all but one game this year, and I think he should get enough targets to go over 40 yards. The Commanders have been solid against TEs however, allowing just 37 yards per game to opposing TEs. This is a top-ten mark in the NFL. Given Darren Waller's inconsistent usage this year, I think he'll stay under 36.5 yards.

Parlay Odds: +600

Browns @ Colts

  • Browns -3 (-120)
  • Gardner Minshew U197.5 Pass Yards (-115)
  • Under 40.5 (-105)

I expect Cleveland's defense to lead them to a win, and keep this game low scoring. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL this season. They've allowed just 144 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, the lowest mark in the NFL by nearly 50 yards. Gardner Minshew is a solid backup, but I think he'll stay well under 197.5 pass yards.

Whether Deshaun Watson starts this week or not, the Browns' offense is unlikely to put up big numbers either. I think the Colts really struggle to score, and the Browns' offense won't do enough to push this total above 40.5. Only one Browns game all year has seen more than 36 points scored, and I don't expect this game to make it two.

Parlay Odds: +390

Lions @ Ravens

  • Lions +3 (-120)
  • Gus Edwards U43.5 Rush Yards (-115)
  • Sam LaPorta U43.5 Rec Yards (-115)

This should be the most interesting game of the early slate, but I think the Lions will play well enough to cover the 3 point spread on the road. Detroit is undefeated on the road this year, and has covered the spread in all their wins. They also have the best rush defense in the league, which I expect to cause problems for the Ravens. In particular, Gus Edwards hasn't gone over 48 rushing yards in any of his last three games, and now goes against a Lions' run defense averaging just 3.1 yards per carry. Edwards should be in for an inefficient day, and if the Ravens trail he won't get enough volume to go over his rushing total of 43.5.

Sam LaPorta has been a bright spot for the Lions this year, but he has a very tough matchup as well. The Ravens allow just 25 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs, the second-lowest average in the NFL. While LaPorta will command Baltimore's attention, I think he also stays under his 43.5 yard prop total.

Parlay Odds: +400

Raiders @ Bears

  • Raiders ML (-150)
  • Jakobi Meyers 50+ Rec Yards (-120)
  • Tyson Bagent U184.5 Pass Yards (-115)

This game, like most games this week, could be low-scoring. This is a matchup between backup QBs, as Brian Hoyer will start for the Raiders and rookie QB Tyson Bagent will be under center for the Bears. I give the edge here to Hoyer – while he's a backup, he's a veteran who has played well in spurts over his career. Given how much the Bears' offense has struggled with Justin Fields under center this year, Tyson Bagent could be in for a long day. I think the Raiders win, and hold Bagent under his 184.5 Pass Yards prop. Las Vegas has allowed just 206 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, the seventh-lowest mark in the NFL.

While Jakobi Meyers didn't produce much once Hoyer came in last week, I do think he could have a nice game against Chicago. Meyers has surprised some this season, and has gone over 60 receiving yards in all but one game this year. Chicago allows 9.0 yards per target to opposing WRs, and Meyers should see enough volume to break 50 receiving yards.

Parlay Odds: +450

Bills @ Patriots

  • Bills -6.5 (-165)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson 50+ Rush Yards (+115)
  • Josh Allen U23.5 Rush Yards (-115)

It seems like whenever the Bills start to look less-than-elite, they have a big win. Buffalo has struggled a bit in back to back weeks, losing the Jacksonville and barely beating the Giants, but I think they'll take care of business in New England this week. The Bills have a great defense, and the Patriots' offense has consistently struggled this year. I do think Rhamondre Stevenson could have a solid game, however. Stevenson hasn't gone over 50 rushing yards in any of his last three games, but the Bills allow 106 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs – seventh-most in the NFL. 

Josh Allen, on the other hand, may have trouble racking up rush yards on Sunday. Allen is always a threat with his legs, but the Patriots have allowed just 6.5 rushing yards per game to opposing QBs, second-least in the NFL. Even crazier, since playing Jalen Hurts Week 1, New England has allowed just two yards on 19 carries to opposing QBs! I think Allen does minimal damage on the ground, but the Bills still win the game.

Parlay Odds: +640

Steelers @ Rams

  • Rams -3 (-120)
  • Cooper Kupp 100+ Rec Yards (+110)
  • Jaylen Warren 25+ Rush Yards (-150)

The Rams are 3-3 this year, but they've consistently played well. Even though the Steelers are coming off a bye, I think the Rams will win and cover the 3 point spread at home this week. Pittsburgh has struggled on offense lately, scoring just 23 points total over their last two games. Los Angeles' defense has struggled in some stretches, but they should have no trouble holding Pittsburgh to a modest total.

One area of the Rams' defense that has struggled, however, is rush defense. LA allowed 4.2 yards per carry to opposing RBs, a bottom-ten mark in the NFL. Jaylen Warren has seen steady usage in recent weeks, carrying the ball at least 8 times in each of his last three games. I like his rushing props this week. On the other side, the Steelers have been terrible covering opposing WRs this year. They've allowed 205 yards per game to opposing WRs, the second-most in the NFL. Given the volume Cooper Kupp has seen since coming back from injury, I think he goes off for over 100 yards on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +525

Cardinals @ Seahawks

  • Seahawks -5.5 (-185)
  • Kenneth Walker 100+ Rush Yards (+195)
  • Marquise Brown 50+ Rec Yards (-160)

After the Cardinals played well to start the year, they regressed to be the team most people expected them to be. They've lost three straight games, each by more than one score. Seattle has been very solid after a bumpy start to the year, going 3-1 in their last four games with their only loss coming last week in Cincinnati. Arizona has specifically struggled to stop the run this year, allowing 113 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs – fifth-most in the NFL. Given Kenneth Walker's usage and efficiency lately, I think he leads Seattle to a convincing win.

The one threat to the Seahawks could be their pass defense – they're a bottom-three defense in terms of yardage allowed to opposing WRs. Marquise Brown had a down week last week, but he had posted at least 50 yards in his four prior games. He's played well, and should get plenty of targets if the Cardinals trail – I think he'll break 50 yards easily on Sunday.

Parlay Odds: +485

Packers @ Broncos

  • Packers ML (-115)
  • AJ Dillon 40+ Rush Yards (-110)
  • Jerry Jeudy U44.5 Rec Yards (-115)

Denver has disappointed consistently this year, and I don't think things will be any different on Sunday. The Packers are coming off a bye, and had lost three of four prior, but I think they can win without playing their best game against the Broncos. AJ Dillon has gotten 10+ carries in both the Packers' wins this year, and he gets to go against the worst rush defense in the NFL this week. The Broncos have 148 rush yards per game to opposing RBs on an insane 5.9 yards per carry – both last in the NFL by a wide margin. Dillon should get enough carries to go over 40 rushing yards, especially if the Packers lead.

Jerry Jeudy has had an up and down season, but has just three catches in two of his last three games. Jeudy struggled against Kansas City last week, with just 14 receiving yards. He may be lined up across from Jaire Alexander this week if Alexander is healthy enough to go on Sunday. Either way, I like Jeudy to stay under his 44.5 yard total for receiving yards.

Parlay Odds: +435

Chargers @ Chiefs

  • Over 47.5 (-115)
  • Patrick Mahomes 300+ Pass Yards (+130)
  • Josh Palmer Anytime TD (+250)

In a week with so many low-total games, this has a chance to be the most exciting game of the week. Both these offenses have performed well this year, and both defenses have struggled at times. I think this game goes over the 47.5 point total. Mahomes should be a big driver if it does – the Chargers allow 318 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, most in the NFL by a wide margin. I think 48 or more points are scored, and Mahomes has a big statistical day.

For a longer shot leg, I love Josh Palmer to score a TD at +250. Palmer had a TD and a couple other big plays called back by penalties last week, but he's clearly Justin Herbert's number 2 option behind Keenan Allen and has 5 red zone targets so far this year. Given the odds, I think it's a great bet for Palmer to get in the end zone.

Parlay Odds: +750

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:


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