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NFL Week 7 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

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NFL Week 7 is here and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the Week 7 Sunday afternoon slate.

Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 7 Same Game Parlay bets before the games get underway.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 7)

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

The best game on Week 7's early Sunday slate is this NFC North matchup. The Vikings are 5-0 while the Lions are 4-1. Both teams have looked like Super Bowl contenders through the first part of the season and first place is up for grabs in the division. 

Instead of making a pick against the spread, let's target the total in this one. Detroit's offense is clicking on all cylinders right now after putting up 47 and 42 points in the past two games and averaging a league-best 30.2 points per game (PPG) this season. Although Minnesota's defense has been among the top-tier in the league, this will be the best offense it's faced thus far. The Vikings are averaging 27.8 PPG in their own right and should be fresh coming out of a bye week. 

The over is 6-2 in the past eight meetings between these division rivals, including 4-1 in the past five. There have also been 50+ combined points scored in each of the last five matchups. Take the over as we should see both offenses control the flow. 

Justin Jefferson is a huge part of Minnesota's offense, so let's bank on a big game from the wideout in a higher-scoring, back-and-forth affair. Jefferson has torn up Detroit ever since his rookie season, averaging 134 receiving yards per game in eight matchups. He had 192 and 141 yards in last year's two contests and has yardage totals of 223, 182, 124 and 133 in four other previous meetings. The Lions are allowing 265.6 receiving yards per game this season (27th in NFL). 

Despite backing the over, let's take the under on David Montgomery's rushing yards. The Vikings boast an elite run defense, allowing only 67.2 rush yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry (both second-best in the NFL). Minnesota has held opposing lead backs to yardage totals of 37, 100, 21, 23 and 51 this year. Although this line seems low for Montgomery, who just had 80 yards last week, we're playing the matchup. Plus, Detroit may opt to use the shiftier Jahmyr Gibbs more often. 

Parlay Odds: +525

Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers

One of the best games on Sunday is this cross-conference matchup between the Texans and Packers. Both teams come in hot with Houston winning three straight and boasting a 5-1 record overall while Green Bay has won four of its last five. 

The Texans' near-perfect record, while impressive, deserves some context. Four of Houston's wins have come against a pair of bad teams (Patriots, Jaguars), a rookie quarterback in his first road NFL start (Bears) and a second-year quarterback who went just 9-for-19 (Colts). The other victory came on a game-winning field goal at home after the Bills botched the end of the game. 

Houston has played one tough road game so far - a 34-7 blowout loss at Minnesota. It's time to fade the Texans in another hard road spot at Green Bay, especially coming off an easy win over the lowly Pats. The offense got back Joe Mixon last week but is still without stud wide receiver Nico Collins. Plus, offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil could potentially be out after suffering an ankle injury last game. On the defensive side, the Texans have four different starters questionable to play this week. 

Meanwhile, Green Bay just trounced the Cardinals, 34-13, a week ago and gets a second straight home game now. All four of the Packers' wins this year have been by 5+ points. Their two losses have come by a combined seven points (Eagles and Vikings). This is a good spot to back the Packers. 

Houston's run defense is solid on the surface, allowing 113.8 rush yards per game (13th in the NFL). However, the numbers are skewed because the Texans have mostly faced some weaker offenses. Against the two best units they've faced this year, the Texans allowed 102 rushing yards to Aaron Jones and 82 yards to James Cook. They also gave up 90 yards to Tank Bigsby. Take the over on Josh Jacobs' rushing yards as he's averaging 77.3 yards per game and is seeing heavy volume in the Green Bay backfield. 

Though we're backing Green Bay, we should see Stefon Diggs continue to be a big part of the Houston offense. With Collins out, Diggs is a main target for C.J. Stroud. He has 77 and 82 yards in the past two games with his teammate sidelined. Diggs is also averaging 80.5 yards per game over the past four contests as he's built a rapport with Stroud. 

Parlay Odds: +400

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

There are only a few divisional matchups on the Week 7 schedule but this is one of them as Philadelphia and New York battle in the NFC East. The Giants' offensive struggles are well-documented this season. They're averaging only 16.0 PPG (29th in the NFL) while scoring fewer than 20 points in four out of six games. 

Though Malik Nabers may be back for New York this week, the offense will now be down another big name. Left tackle Andrew Thomas is out for the season with a Lisfranc injury he suffered in last week's 17-7 loss. This is a massive blow to the offensive line and we should expect Eagles defensive coordinator Vic Fangio to dial up more pressure from that side. Expectations are low anyway for this Giants offense, but Thomas’ absence is very notable. 

Meanwhile, the Eagles' offense lacks rhythm and consistency right now. The early-season struggles with injuries to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are one thing. But with both back last week, in addition to Lane Johnson, the offense mustered only 20 points at home against the Browns - coming out of a bye, no less. Philly is also now dealing with two more injuries as both left tackle Jordan Mailata and tight end Dallas Goedert appear doubtful this week. 

Considering we have two underwhelming offenses in a divisional matchup here, let's count on a lower-scoring contest. The under is 6-3 in the past nine meetings between the Eagles and Giants, including three of the past four. Philadelphia has scored 16 and 15 points in its two road games thus far and the offense is impossible to trust right now. 

Speaking of the Eagles' offense, let's target an A.J. Brown prop as he should at least put up yards. The Giants have allowed 70+ receiving yards to an opposing wide receiver in four straight games, including to both Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase last week. New York's defense boasts a good slot corner in Andru Phillips but struggles to cover outside receivers. Brown has 119 and 116 yards in his two healthy games this season and is seeing a ton of targets from Jalen Hurts (19 total in two contests). 

Revenge game narrative, anyone? It's not often we get to bet on a top-tier running back facing his old team - in a divisional matchup, no less. Let's do it here with Saquon Barkley's anytime touchdown prop. This will be the first time Barkley will face the Giants since he parted ways in the offseason. If the Eagles get down near the goal line, you know they'll want to get him into the end zone. The Tush Push threatens the opportunity, but at the very least, we get Barkley running with an extra chip on his shoulder. Plus, he's due to score after not doing so in the past two games. 

Parlay Odds: +650

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons

This is a great buy-low, sell-high spot for both teams involved here. The Seahawks have lost three straight games after starting the year 3-0. The market has unsurprisingly reverted back to them just being a mediocre team amid this losing streak. 

However, Seattle comes in with a much-needed rest advantage after playing last Thursday night against San Francisco. The Seahawks also had a short week ahead of that game after playing on Sunday night. The mini-bye week should help head coach Mike Macdonald and the coaching staff to be prepared to face Kirk Cousins and the hot Atlanta offense. Plus, the time off is crucial for a Seattle defense with multiple players banged up. 

On the other side, the Falcons have won three in a row with all three victories coming against fellow NFC South teams. Atlanta may be in for a letdown after asserting its dominance over the division. Plus, there's lookahead potential with another divisional matchup against the Bucs on deck next week. 

Atlanta's 18-point road win last week was impressive, but it did come against a terrible Carolina team. The Falcons' other three victories this season deserve context as well. Each was a one-possession win and each needed some late-game heroics to happen. Give them credit, but the Falcons could easily have 2-3 more losses with a sub-.500 record. 

As we back Seattle on the road, Kenneth Walker should play a big role in a potential upset. The Seahawks running back may only have 51 combined rushing yards in his past two games, but he also put up 80 and 103 in the two prior outings. Yards were hard to come by against San Francisco's defense last week but things will be easier this time around. The Falcons are allowing 142.7 rush yards per game (25th in the NFL) and they've given up 70+ yards to a lead back in every game this year. 

The Seattle run defense is also a matchup to target in this one. The Seahawks are allowing 144.7 rush yards per game (27th) and 5.0 yards per carry (28th). They've also given up 70+ rushing yards to six different running backs in the past five games. Though Tyler Allgeier is taking carries away in the Atlanta backfield, Bijan Robinson still ran for 95 yards on 15 attempts last week. He has 60+ yards in four out of six games this year.

Parlay Odds: +525

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

After losing again last week, the Browns now sit at 1-5 on the season as one of the league's worst teams. Meanwhile, the Bengals have won two of their last three games and nearly upset Baltimore two weeks ago. Unsurprisingly, Cincinnati is favored on the road for this AFC North clash. Yet, the spread seems a bit too big for this divisional matchup. 

Interestingly, the Bengals haven't won at Cleveland since 2017. That's six straight losses on the road against their in-state division rivals. The Browns have simply had Cincy's number at home in these matchups. Cleveland is also 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall. 

Meanwhile, Zac Taylor is just 11-21 straight up in divisional games since taking over as Cincinnati's head coach. Plus, backing underdogs in AFC North matchups has been a profitable endeavor for years now. Since 2018, dogs in these divisional games are 46-29 against the spread (61%) - the best of any NFL division in this stretch. 

It's hard to get excited about a Browns team that's looked lifeless offensively in recent weeks. Trading away their leading receiver Amari Cooper this week doesn't help. Still, the offense can get a jolt with Nick Chubb expected to make his season debut on Sunday. He can add a different element to the attack and maybe it helps Deshaun Watson to play more freely. 

With Cooper gone, there's value to be had with multiple receiving props for Cleveland before the market adjusts. Jerry Jeudy presumably becomes the No. 1 WR and a top target for Deshaun Watson. Jeudy's 248 receiving yards this season now lead the team by a sizable margin (the next closest is 98 yards from Jordan Akins). While he only has 50+ yards in two out of six games this year, Jeudy should be locked into more opportunities. 

The Bengals have allowed 50+ receiving yards to 10 different pass-catchers over the past four games. The secondary has also given up the following yardage totals to top receivers in the past five weeks:

  • 57 to Darius Slayton
  • 111 to Zay Flowers
  • 83 to Diontae Johnson
  • 100 to Terry McLaurin
  • 75 to Rashee Rice

In addition to Jeudy, let's add in a prop for Cedric Tillman. The second-year wideout only has three catches for nine yards on the season and doesn't offer much confidence. However, Tillman is a prime candidate to step into the open snaps at outside receiver now that Cooper is gone. His yardage line is very low and he can go over it on one reception. 

Parlay Odds: +550

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills

The spread is unsurprisingly big for this AFC matchup with the Bills favored at home by 9.5 points over the Titans. We have a Tennessee team that's 1-4 on the year with the only win coming against the Dolphins and their poor offensive showing in Week 4. Buffalo, meanwhile, is 3-2 and coming off a road win over the Jets on Monday night. Instead of looking at the spread, let's target the under here. 

This is a potential letdown spot for the Bills on short rest after surviving a hard-fought, close road win over a division rival. Buffalo has another tough road matchup at Seattle coming up next week. The offense could easily go into cruise control early if it gets up by two scores. Buffalo has also been shaky in recent weeks offensively and won't correct things overnight. 

On that note, Tennessee’s defense has been a lot better than their record shows. The Titans are allowing a league-low 248.8 total yards per game with the best pass defense in the league (137 yards allowed per game). Don't be shocked if Josh Allen isn't as efficient as he should be, even with new trade acquisition Amari Cooper in the mix. Allen's passing yards prop may seem low, but he's averaging only 193.3 yards per game with fewer than 200 in three out of six games this season. Tennessee has yet to allow an opposing passer to throw for more than 202 yards. 

Meanwhile, the Titans have left a lot to be desired offensively themselves. They're averaging just 253.2 total yards per game (31st in the NFL) and 19.2 PPG (21st). Will Levis continues to be untrustworthy and it's hard to see him having success on the road at Buffalo here. Tennessee's offense has also skewed run-heavy, averaging more rushes than pass attempts per game so far. Expect a healthy dose of Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears as the Titans try to slow things down. 

With that in mind, grab the over on Pollard's rushing yards. The Bills are allowing a league-worst 5.3 yards per carry and 140.2 rushing yards per game (23rd). They've given up 60+ rushing yards to an opposing back in four of the last five games, including 113 to Breece Hall last week. Pollard is averaging 67.8 yards per game with 60+ in four out of five contests, including 93 and 88 in the past two. 

Parlay Odds: +440

Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts 

When we saw Miami last, the offense mustered just 15 points in a narrow win over the lowly Patriots on Monday Night Football two weeks ago. It's hard to get excited about the Dolphins and their offense while Tua Tagovailoa remains sidelined. Yet, we can have some optimism coming out of a much-needed bye week. 

Expect Mike McDaniel to have the offense running more smoothly and efficiently in this first game after the bye. Tyler Huntley has another two weeks of practice and prep under his belt to be more comfortable at quarterback. Don't forget, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle still exist and McDaniel should have creative ways dialed up to get his playmakers the ball in space. The Dolphins are also expected to get De'Von Achane back from his concussion. 

In other matchups, we could still feel low on the Miami attack. However, the Colts defense is very beatable. They're allowing 389.5 total yards per game (30th in the NFL) with the second-worst rush defense in the league. That doesn't bode well when facing a Dolphins offense that boasts three talented running backs with speed to break off long runs - not to mention Hill and Waddle as threats down the field. 

This is a get-right game for Miami offensively and the matchup is an exploitable one. Plus, the Dolphins could come out with some extra motivation to get the season back on track with McDaniel saying he expects Tua Tagovailoa to play again. Miami has won four straight games after a bye week, including 2-0 under McDaniel. 

On the other side, Anthony Richardson is expected to start for Indianapolis. That may be a downgrade from Joe Flacco, as the veteran was playing well in recent weeks. Richardson has more interceptions (six) than touchdowns (three) this season and may take time to shake off the rust coming off the oblique injury and weeks on the sideline. He also likely won't have Jonathan Taylor to lean on, as the running back is expected to be out again. 

Now Richardson has to face a Miami defense that's allowing just 159.6 passing yards per game (third in the NFL) and 285.4 total yards per contest (fifth). The Dolphins have allowed just one passer to throw for more than 170 yards in a game this year. Take the under on Richardson's passing yards. 

As mentioned above, the Colts' run defense has struggled this year, allowing 155.2 rush yards per game (31st). With Achane expected back, let's target his rushing yards prop. The second-year back only has 183 yards through five games with just one week of more than 30 yards. Still, Indy has given up 90+ yards to an opposing running back in four out of six games this year. Achane had 45+ yards in seven out of nine games last season when he saw seven or more carries. He's bound to get back to that production. 

Parlay Odds: +500

Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders

If there ever was a time to buy low on the Commanders, it may be now. After a 4-1 start to the season, Washington is coming off a road loss at Baltimore and now gets an easy matchup against the lowly Panthers. This is a nice bounceback spot against a softer opponent at home. 

The Commanders still put up 23 points in a one-possession loss to the Ravens last week. Jayden Daniels and the offense will have a much easier time this weekend as Carolina's defense is allowing a league-high 33.8 PPG and 379.8 total yards per game (29th). The Commanders put up 34, 40 and 38 points in a three-game stretch against the Browns, Cardinals and Bengals. The Panthers have allowed 38, 36 and 34 points in the past three. 

Washington is 4-1-1 against the spread this season and their last two wins were by 21 and 28 points. Meanwhile, the Panthers are 1-5 against the spread and straight up this year with all five losses coming by 10+ points and by an average of 22.8 PPG. The spread may seem large, but the Commanders should win by two scores to cover. The Panthers have struggled to defend both the pass and run, which doesn't bode well when facing a Washington offense that can beat you in multiple ways.

As we take the Commanders against the spread and back their team total, let's add in a prop for Terry McLaurin. This is a great matchup against arguably the worst defense in the league. The Panthers have allowed 60+ receiving yards to eight different pass-catchers in six games. Opposing wideouts in the past four games have put up 74 yards (Drake London), 105 (DJ Moore), 85 (Ja'Marr Chase) and 96 yards (Tre Tucker). Bank on McLaurin to continue the trend as he's averaging 79.3 yards per game over the past four with a pair of 100-yard efforts.

Parlay Odds: +420

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams 

On the surface, this West Coast matchup features two bottom-feeder teams with the 1-4 Rams against the 2-4 Raiders. Yet, the spread tells us one team is still a tier above the other and a deep dive into both squads backs that up. 

The Rams' record may be ugly, but it does deserve context. Three of their four losses have come down to the final possession but didn't go their way. The record could easily be a lot better if not for some late-game bad luck. Against two of the NFC's best teams, the Rams lost in overtime to Detroit and led at halftime over Green Bay - and they were on the road in both. Plus, Los Angeles boasts a win over San Francisco on its resume. 

The Rams also did all of that while dealing with multiple key injuries. The offensive line has been banged up all season, not to mention Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp both being sidelined. Los Angeles is coming off a much-needed bye week, which is a bigger deal for an injured team like this. On that note, Kupp looks likely to play this week after being out since Week 2. That's a major boost to a Rams offense that's been lacking playmakers. 

Meanwhile, the Raiders are spiraling right now and it's a great time to fade them on the road. Las Vegas has losses of 16 and 19 points in the past two games and all four of its losses this season have been by 12+ points. When the Raiders lose, they lose big and the defense is allowing 27.2 PPG (28th in the NFL).

The Raiders’ defense has struggled to stop the run, allowing 5.0 yards per carry (27th) and 140.3 rushing yards per game (23rd). It's a great matchup for Kyren Williams, who has 102, 94 and 89 rushing yards in the past three games. The Raiders have given up 100+ yards to an opposing ball-carrier in three out of six games and 84 yards to another. The game script should also favor Williams to rack up yards. 

There's not much to get excited about in the Raiders' offense. Brock Bowers is a lone bright spot, though. The rookie tight end out of Georgia has a team-high 384 receiving yards through six games, averaging 64 per contest. He's leading the team in receptions and targets so far, too. With Davante Adams gone, Bowers has 97 and 71 yards in the past two games with double-digit targets in both. It's him and Jakobi Meyers as the top two weapons, and the latter is questionable with an ankle injury. 

Parlay Odds: +410

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers 

In Sunday's late-afternoon window, all eyes will be on this Super Bowl rematch between the Chiefs and 49ers. We rarely see Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes as underdogs, but that's what we have here on the road. This should be a fun one with Kansas City coming off a bye and San Francisco benefiting from extra rest as well having last played on Thursday night. 

Maybe Vegas knows something making San Fran the favorite, but getting the undefeated Chiefs as underdogs seems like a steal. You've probably already heard these stats and trends but it bears repeating. Mahomes is 10-3 straight up and 11-1-1 against the spread as an underdog in his career. Mahomes is also 25-8-1 against the spread in games as an underdog or a favorite of three points or fewer. We've been told time and time again not to doubt him in these close spots, so why stop now?

Plus, the Chiefs performing well off a bye is another trend worth backing. In his career, Andy Reid boasts an exceptional 21-4 record off a bye. Reid's Kansas City teams are also 25-4 straight up on extended rest (eight or more days) since 2019. There's something to be said about a veteran coach consistently getting his players ready and well-prepared coming out of a long layoff. 

Honestly, most of the X's and O's in this game favor the 49ers. They are the rightful favorites and it's hard to argue against them. Still, we can't pass on getting Mahomes and Reid as underdogs out of the bye, so take the Chiefs on the Moneyline.

Since the 49ers have a top-tier rush defense and talented cover corners, expect Travis Kelce to be involved plenty for Kansas City's offense. We saw that last year in the Super Bowl as Kelce went for 93 yards on nine catches. He's even more important to the offense now with Rashee Rice out and the Chiefs lacking trustworthy pass-catchers for Mahomes. After a slow start to the season, Kelce has woken up with 89 and 70 yards in the past two games on 19 total targets. He had 60+ yards in 12 out of 19 games last year and 13 out of 20 two years ago. 

The Chiefs boast an elite run defense, allowing 88.4 rushing yards per game (fifth in the NFL) and 3.7 yards per carry (fourth). This unit should bottle up San Francisco's run game, especially with Jordan Mason banged up and Christian McCaffrey still out. If the 49ers want to move the ball on offense, Brock Purdy will have to shoulder the load in the passing attack. He's averaging 271.5 yards per game this year with 250+ in four out of six contests (and 244 in another). 

Parlay Odds: +525

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