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NFL Week 8 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Longshot Bets (2023)

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Last week, the Baltimore Ravens beat the Detroit Lions by 32 points, the Cleveland Browns and Indianapolis Colts combined for 77 points, and Patrick Mahomes threw for 424 yards and four touchdowns.

Here are the best long-shot bets of Week 8 of the NFL season.

Best NFL Week 8 Longshot Bets

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

New York Jets vs. New York Giants Under 24.5 (+466)

The Giants have scored more than 20 points just once this season this season. In their last five games, they've averaged under 11 points per game. This week, they face a defense allowing just 19.8 points per game.

The Jets' offense has been better during their two-game winning streak, but it's still far from great. They’re averaging just 18.8 points per game this season and they’ve been held to 10 points twice.

On the other side, the Giants' defense has been very good over the last two weeks. They've allowed only 21 points in those two matchups combined. The Jets could be the third team in a row they hold to 14 points or fewer. This is a game that could easily end 10-7 or 14-10. 

Christian Kirk 100+ Receiving Yards (+650)

It’s been a really good season for Christian Kirk, but he's only topped 100 yards once. In three of his last four games, he's gone for at least 78 yards, and he has been targeted at least six times. He leads the receiving corps in yards, targets, and touchdowns, while he is second on the team with 39 receptions.

This week, he faces a Pittsburgh Steelers' defense that has been allowing 259.7 passing yards per game. They’re also allowing 142.3 rush yards per game, so there is always a chance that Travis Etienne will take over. However, this bet is worth taking at this price. Kirk is going to get his fair share of targets, and the Steelers have allowed four 100-yard receivers already this season.

Gus Edwards 100+ Rushing Yards (+650)

Last week, the only running back to rush for 100 yards was Kenneth Walker III, who ran for 105 yard against the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals have the eighth-worst rush defense in football, and they have allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of their last four games.

The Ravens should be playing from ahead for most of this game, so Edwards and Justice Hill will see plenty of carries. Edwards' season-high is just 64 yards, which he accomplished last week. However, it is worth noting that Edwards has run the ball at least 14 times in three of his last four, after having 11 or fewer carries in the first three games of the season.

Finally, the Cardinals are allowing 4.4 yards per rush attempt. Edwards is averaging four yards per carry. If he gets close to 20 carries on Sunday, then he is definitely going to be close to hitting 100 yards.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:


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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

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