NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Eagles vs. Steelers (2022)
You can find all of my best bets for Week 8 here. Let’s take a look below at my favorite odds, picks, and predictions for Eagles vs. Steelers to help guide your Week 8 NFL betting.
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NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Eagles vs. Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Check out our Steelers at Eagles matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: Lincoln Financial Field
- TV: CBS
Steelers at Eagles: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Eagles -10.5
- Over/Under: 43
- Moneyline: Eagles -500, Steelers +390
Steelers at Eagles: Betting Percentages
Data from Action Network and as of Oct. 26
- Spread: Steelers - 36% bets, 76% money
- Over/Under: Under - 64% bets, 89% money
- Moneyline: Steelers - 5% bets, 25% money
Steelers at Eagles: Injuries
Steelers: Week 8 Injury Report
| Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
| Josh Jackson | CB | Groin | DNP |
| Levi Wallace | CB | Shoulder | DNP |
| Montravius Adams | DT | Hamstring | DNP |
| Larry Ogunjobi | DT | Knee | DNP |
| Steven Sims | WR | Hamstring | LP |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | Ankle | LP |
| Ahkello Witherspoon | CB | Hamstring | FP |
Steelers: IR, PUP & Out
| Player | Pos | Status |
| Calvin Austin III | WR | IR |
| Karl Joseph | S | IR |
| Damontae Kazee | S | IR |
| DeMarvin Leal | DE | IR |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | IR |
| Anthony Miller | WR | IR |
| Carlins Platel | DB | IR |
| T.J. Watt | LB | IR |
Eagles: Week 8 Injury Report
| Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
| Brandon Graham | DE | Hamstring | DNP |
| James Bradberry | CB | Rest | LP |
| A.J. Brown | WR | Rest | LP |
| Fletcher Cox | DE | Rest | LP |
| Landon Dickerson | G | Rest | LP |
| Patrick Johnson | LB | Concussion | LP |
| Jason Kelce | C | Rest | LP |
| Isaac Seumalo | G | Ankle, rest | LP |
| Darius Slay | CB | Rest | LP |
| Josh Sweat | DE | Rest | LP |
| Josh Jobe | CB | Shoulder | FP |
Eagles: IR, PUP & Out
| Player | Pos | Status |
| Derek Barnett | DE | IR |
| Jaeden Graham | TE | IR |
| Janarius Robinson | DE | IR |
| Tyree Jackson | TE | PUP |
| Brett Toth | T/G | PUP |
Steelers at Eagles: Notable Trends
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
Steelers Trends
- 2022 Steelers: 3-3-1 ATS (-3.1% ROI)
- HC Mike Tomlin: 48-25-3 ATS (27.7% ROI) as underdog
Eagles Trends
- 2022 Eagles: 4-2 ATS (28.6% ROI)
- QB Jalen Hurts: 8-3-1 ATS (37.0% ROI) at home
Steelers at Eagles: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don't Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Steelers Offense vs. Eagles Defense
| Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
| EPA per Play | -0.082 | 28 | -0.094 | 4 | -24 |
| Total SR | 41.9% | 26 | 43.9% | 15 | -11 |
| Total DVOA | -9.2% | 24 | -17.7% | 4 | -20 |
| Dropback EPA | -0.082 | 29 | -0.143 | 2 | -27 |
| Dropback SR | 44.0% | 22 | 42.9% | 6 | -16 |
| Pass DVOA | 4.1% | 21 | -27.5% | 2 | -19 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 5.5% | 9 | 7.7% | 11 | 2 |
| Rush EPA | -0.082 | 21 | 0.007 | 25 | 4 |
| Rush SR | 37.9% | 25 | 46.0% | 28 | 3 |
| Rush DVOA | -20.7% | 30 | -1.0% | 22 | -8 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 4.20 | 25 | 4.77 | 24 | -1 |
| Yards per Play | 4.8 | 32 | 4.7 | 2 | -30 |
| Points per Game | 15.3 | 31 | 17.5 | 4 | -27 |
Eagles Offense vs. Steelers Defense
| Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
| EPA per Play | 0.106 | 3 | 0.042 | 22 | 19 |
| Total SR | 48.3% | 5 | 44.5% | 19 | 14 |
| Total DVOA | 13.9% | 4 | -0.5% | 14 | 10 |
| Dropback EPA | 0.177 | 4 | 0.084 | 18 | 14 |
| Dropback SR | 47.4% | 14 | 47.4% | 23 | 9 |
| Pass DVOA | 27.5% | 6 | 6.9% | 15 | 9 |
| Adj. Sack Rate | 7.5% | 21 | 5.3% | 26 | 5 |
| Rush EPA | 0.023 | 4 | -0.028 | 20 | 16 |
| Rush SR | 49.2% | 1 | 39.6% | 13 | 12 |
| Rush DVOA | 9.2% | 5 | -10.7% | 9 | 4 |
| Adj. Line Yards | 4.48 | 15 | 4.27 | 11 | -4 |
| Yards per Play | 5.6 | 12 | 5.7 | 19 | 7 |
| Points per Game | 26.8 | 4 | 23.1 | 22 | 18 |
Steelers at Eagles: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don't Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 112 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Kenny Pickett
| Metric | Output | Rank |
| AY/A | 3.9 | 36 |
| QBR | 41.1 | 23 |
| ATS Value vs. Avg. | -1.3 | 33 |
Career: Kenny Pickett
- AY/A: 3.9
- QB Elo per Game: -13.8
2022: Jalen Hurts
| Metric | Output | Rank |
| EPA + CPOE | 0.119 | 6 |
| AY/A | 8.4 | 4 |
| QBR | 59.1 | 9 |
| ATS Value vs. Avg. | 2.0 | 8 |
Career: Jalen Hurts
- AY/A: 7.3
- QB Elo per Game: 50.0
Key Matchup: Eagles Pass Defense vs. Steelers Pass Offense
The Steelers have one of the league’s best pass-catching quintets with WRs Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool and George Pickens, TE Pat Freiermuth and RB Najee Harris — but their passing game has been waylaid by the poor performance of rookie QB Kenny Pickett, who’s dead last with a 3.9 AY/A.
How will they be able to move the ball through the air against the Eagles defense, which is top-six against the pass?
| Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
| Dropback EPA | -0.082 | 29 | -0.143 | 2 | -27 |
| Dropback SR | 0.44 | 22 | 0.429 | 6 | -16 |
| Pass DVOA | 0.041 | 21 | -0.275 | 2 | -19 |
The answer: They won’t. The Eagles are too strong at cornerback.
On the perimeter, James Bradberry has the size (6’1″ and 210 pounds) and physicality to challenge Claypool and Pickens, and Darius Slay has the quickness (6.90-second three-cone drill) to stick with Johnson. In the slot, Avonte Maddox has steadily developed into one of the league’s best middle-of-the-field pass defenders thanks to his elite combination of speed (4.39-second 40-yard dash) and shiftiness (6.51-second three-cone).
The Eagles are explosive enough on offense to build a double-digit lead in the first half, and their pass defense is stout enough to keep it in the second half.
Best Line: Eagles -10 (-110, PointsBets)
First Recommended: Eagles -10 (-110)
Personal Projection: Eagles -10.75
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