NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Giants vs. Seahawks (2022)

You can find all of my best bets for Week 8 here. Let’s take a look below at my favorite odds, picks, and predictions for Giants vs. Seahawks to help guide your Week 8 NFL betting.

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NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Giants vs. Seahawks

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

Check out our Giants at Seahawks matchup page.

  • Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 4:25 pm ET
  • Location: Lumen Field
  • TV: FOX

Giants at Seahawks: Consensus Lines

  • Spread: Seahawks -3
  • Over/Under: 45
  • Moneyline: Seahawks -152, Giants +133

Giants at Seahawks: Betting Percentages

Data from Action Network and as of Oct. 26

  • Spread: Seahawks - 56% bets, 71% money
  • Over/Under: Under - 24% bets, 38% money
  • Moneyline: Seahawks - 54% bets, 62% money

Giants at Seahawks: Injuries

Giants: Week 8 Injury Report

Player Position Injury Wed
Daniel Bellinger TE Eye DNP
Ben Bredeson G Knee DNP
Cordale Flott CB Calf DNP
Kenny Golladay WR Knee DNP
Evan Neal OT Knee DNP
Kadarius Toney WR Hamstring DNP
Oshane Ximines OLB Quad DNP
Tyre Phillips G Toe LP
Jason Pinnock CB Foot LP
Leonard Williams DE Elbow LP

 

Giants: IR, PUP & Out

Player Pos Status
Darrian Beavers ILB IR
D.J. Davidson DL IR
Tony Jefferson S IR
Collin Johnson WR IR
Shane Lemieux G IR
Marcus McKethan OL IR
Azeez Ojulari OLB IR
Aaron Robinson CB IR
Sterling Shepard WR IR
Elerson Smith OLB IR-Return
Rodarius Williams CB IR-Return
Matt Peart T PUP

 

Giants Injury News

Seahawks: Week 8 Injury Report

Player Position Injury Wed
DK Metcalf WR Knee DNP
Penny Hart WR Hamstring DNP
Phil Haynes G Concussion DNP
Nick Bellore LB Concussion DNP
Poona Ford DT Ankle DNP
Darrell Taylor OLB Groin DNP
Gabe Jackson G Hip/knee LP
Tyler Lockett WR Hamstring LP
Artie Burns CB Groin LP
Ryan Neal S Ankle LP
Quinton Jefferosn DT Foot LP
Sidney Jones CB Groin LP
Al Woods DT Knee FP

 

Seahawks: IR, PUP & Out

Player Pos Status
Jamal Adams SS IR
Isaiah Dunn CB IR
Travis Homer RB IR
Darryl Johnson LB IR
Tyler Ott LS IR
Rashaad Penny RB IR
Alton Robinson LB IR
Tyreke Smith LB IR
Cody Thompson WR IR
Tre Brown CB PUP
Ben Burr-Kirven LB PUP
Jon Rhattigan LB PUP

 

Seahawks Injury News

Giants at Seahawks: Notable Trends

Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).

Giants Trends

  • 2022 Giants: 6-1 ATS (65.5% ROI)
  • QB Daniel Jones: 14-6 ATS (35.6% ROI) on road
  • QB Daniel Jones: 22-13 ATS (21.1% ROI) as underdog
  • QB Daniel Jones: 13-4 ATS (48.1% ROI) as road underdog

Seahawks Trends

  • 2022 Seahawks: 4-3 ATS (9.1% ROI)

Giants at Seahawks: Team Statistics

Advanced data from RBs Don't Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football ReferenceRegular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).

Giants Offense vs. Seahawks Defense

Metric Offense Rank Defense Rank Offense Edge
EPA per Play 0.075 7 0.059 25 18
Total SR 45.5% 15 42.7% 10 -5
Total DVOA 10.9% 7 2.7% 19 12
Dropback EPA 0.107 10 0.122 25 15
Dropback SR 47.0% 16 45.1% 15 -1
Pass DVOA 21.6% 8 9.9% 19 11
Adj. Sack Rate 9.6% 30 7.3% 15 -15
Rush EPA 0.030 3 -0.033 18 15
Rush SR 43.4% 10 39.3% 12 2
Rush DVOA 8.2% 6 -6.1% 17 11
Adj. Line Yards 4.42 18 4.69 21 3
Yards per Play 5.2 20 6 27 7
Points per Game 21.4 18 26.6 28 10

 

Seahawks Offense vs. Giants Defense

Metric Offense Rank Defense Rank Offense Edge
EPA per Play 0.083 5 0.057 24 19
Total SR 46.1% 11 45.0% 21 10
Total DVOA 14.0% 3 11.8% 29 26
Dropback EPA 0.153 5 0.088 20 15
Dropback SR 52.7% 3 45.8% 18 15
Pass DVOA 33.4% 4 14.4% 26 22
Adj. Sack Rate 8.7% 25 5.0% 28 3
Rush EPA -0.030 14 0.007 25 11
Rush SR 35.6% 29 43.7% 22 -7
Rush DVOA 4.9% 10 8.1% 30 20
Adj. Line Yards 4.30 22 5.19 31 9
Yards per Play 6.3 2 5.9 25 23
Points per Game 26.1 5 18.6 6 1

 

Giants at Seahawks: Quarterback Statistics

Data from RBs Don't Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 112 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.

2022: Daniel Jones

Metric Output Rank
EPA + CPOE 0.107 8
AY/A 6.6 20
QBR 62.7 6
ATS Value vs. Avg. 0.5 14

 

Career: Daniel Jones

  • AY/A: 6.3
  • QB Elo per Game: -24.4

2022: Geno Smith

Metric Output Rank
EPA + CPOE 0.16 3
AY/A 8.4 4
QBR 66.8 4
ATS Value vs. Avg. 1.0 11

 

Career: Geno Smith

  • AY/A: 6.3
  • QB Elo per Game: -45.3

Key Matchup: Giants Rush Offense vs. Seahawks Rush Defnse

We all know what the Giants want to do in this game. They want to run the ball. They literally run more than they pass (52.8% rush rate), which is hard to do in today's NFL - but I guess that's what you do when you have Daniel Jones at quarterback and Saquon Barkley at running back.

Barkley leads the league with 143 carries, and we see the Barkley-heavy Giants backfield as having a significant edge over the Seahawks defensive line and linebacking unit.

Rank RBs Opp Defense DL Rank LBs Rank RB-DL Edge RB-LB Edge
2 NYG SEA 26 19 24 17

 

And I can’t believe I’m saying this, but we also shouldn’t overlook Jones as a running threat: He has had six carries in every game this year. Among all quarterbacks, he’s No. 4 in rush attempts (58) and No. 3 in rush yards (343).

Last week, he and Barkley both had 100-plus yards rushing.

The Giants will be without RT Evan Neal (knee) and maybe LG Ben Bredeson (knee) — but neither has a big edge in run blocking over backups RT Tyre Phillips and LG Joshua Ezeudu.

As mediocre as the Giants are on offense - 45.5% success rate (No. 15), 5.2 yards per play (No. 20) - they've been good running the ball, ranking No. 3 in rush EPA per play (0.030), whereas the Seahawks defense has been average against the run (-0.033 rush EPA, No. 18).

I have the Giants power rated ahead of the Seahawks, primarily because I trust HC Brian Daboll more than HC Pete Carroll as a situational decision maker. And as strong as the home-field advantage is at Lumen Field, no team has a three-point HFA in today’s NFL.

So if the Giants can run the ball effectively against the Seahawks, they have a good chance to cover.

Best Line: Giants +3 (+100, Caesars)
First Recommended: Giants +2.5 (-104)
Personal Projection:
Giants +2

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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

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