NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Giants vs. Seahawks (2022)
You can find all of my best bets for Week 8 here. Letâs take a look below at my favorite odds, picks, and predictions for Giants vs. Seahawks to help guide your Week 8 NFL betting.
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NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions: Giants vs. Seahawks
New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks
Check out our Giants at Seahawks matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 30, 2022, 4:25 pm ET
- Location: Lumen Field
- TV: FOX
Giants at Seahawks: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Seahawks -3
- Over/Under: 45
- Moneyline: Seahawks -152, Giants +133
Giants at Seahawks: Betting Percentages
Data from Action Network and as of Oct. 26
- Spread: Seahawks - 56% bets, 71% money
- Over/Under: Under - 24% bets, 38% money
- Moneyline: Seahawks - 54% bets, 62% money
Giants at Seahawks: Injuries
Giants: Week 8 Injury Report
Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
Daniel Bellinger | TE | Eye | DNP |
Ben Bredeson | G | Knee | DNP |
Cordale Flott | CB | Calf | DNP |
Kenny Golladay | WR | Knee | DNP |
Evan Neal | OT | Knee | DNP |
Kadarius Toney | WR | Hamstring | DNP |
Oshane Ximines | OLB | Quad | DNP |
Tyre Phillips | G | Toe | LP |
Jason Pinnock | CB | Foot | LP |
Leonard Williams | DE | Elbow | LP |
Giants: IR, PUP & Out
Player | Pos | Status |
Darrian Beavers | ILB | IR |
D.J. Davidson | DL | IR |
Tony Jefferson | S | IR |
Collin Johnson | WR | IR |
Shane Lemieux | G | IR |
Marcus McKethan | OL | IR |
Azeez Ojulari | OLB | IR |
Aaron Robinson | CB | IR |
Sterling Shepard | WR | IR |
Elerson Smith | OLB | IR-Return |
Rodarius Williams | CB | IR-Return |
Matt Peart | T | PUP |
Seahawks: Week 8 Injury Report
Player | Position | Injury | Wed |
DK Metcalf | WR | Knee | DNP |
Penny Hart | WR | Hamstring | DNP |
Phil Haynes | G | Concussion | DNP |
Nick Bellore | LB | Concussion | DNP |
Poona Ford | DT | Ankle | DNP |
Darrell Taylor | OLB | Groin | DNP |
Gabe Jackson | G | Hip/knee | LP |
Tyler Lockett | WR | Hamstring | LP |
Artie Burns | CB | Groin | LP |
Ryan Neal | S | Ankle | LP |
Quinton Jefferosn | DT | Foot | LP |
Sidney Jones | CB | Groin | LP |
Al Woods | DT | Knee | FP |
Seahawks: IR, PUP & Out
Player | Pos | Status |
Jamal Adams | SS | IR |
Isaiah Dunn | CB | IR |
Travis Homer | RB | IR |
Darryl Johnson | LB | IR |
Tyler Ott | LS | IR |
Rashaad Penny | RB | IR |
Alton Robinson | LB | IR |
Tyreke Smith | LB | IR |
Cody Thompson | WR | IR |
Tre Brown | CB | PUP |
Ben Burr-Kirven | LB | PUP |
Jon Rhattigan | LB | PUP |
Giants at Seahawks: Notable Trends
Data from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
Giants Trends
- 2022 Giants: 6-1 ATS (65.5% ROI)
- QB Daniel Jones: 14-6 ATS (35.6% ROI) on road
- QB Daniel Jones: 22-13 ATS (21.1% ROI) as underdog
- QB Daniel Jones: 13-4 ATS (48.1% ROI) as road underdog
Seahawks Trends
- 2022 Seahawks: 4-3 ATS (9.1% ROI)
Giants at Seahawks: Team Statistics
Advanced data from RBs Don't Matter and Football Outsiders. Basic stats from Pro Football Reference. Regular season only. Abbreviations: Expected Points Added (EPA), Success Rate (SR), Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Giants Offense vs. Seahawks Defense
Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
EPA per Play | 0.075 | 7 | 0.059 | 25 | 18 |
Total SR | 45.5% | 15 | 42.7% | 10 | -5 |
Total DVOA | 10.9% | 7 | 2.7% | 19 | 12 |
Dropback EPA | 0.107 | 10 | 0.122 | 25 | 15 |
Dropback SR | 47.0% | 16 | 45.1% | 15 | -1 |
Pass DVOA | 21.6% | 8 | 9.9% | 19 | 11 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 9.6% | 30 | 7.3% | 15 | -15 |
Rush EPA | 0.030 | 3 | -0.033 | 18 | 15 |
Rush SR | 43.4% | 10 | 39.3% | 12 | 2 |
Rush DVOA | 8.2% | 6 | -6.1% | 17 | 11 |
Adj. Line Yards | 4.42 | 18 | 4.69 | 21 | 3 |
Yards per Play | 5.2 | 20 | 6 | 27 | 7 |
Points per Game | 21.4 | 18 | 26.6 | 28 | 10 |
Seahawks Offense vs. Giants Defense
Metric | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Offense Edge |
EPA per Play | 0.083 | 5 | 0.057 | 24 | 19 |
Total SR | 46.1% | 11 | 45.0% | 21 | 10 |
Total DVOA | 14.0% | 3 | 11.8% | 29 | 26 |
Dropback EPA | 0.153 | 5 | 0.088 | 20 | 15 |
Dropback SR | 52.7% | 3 | 45.8% | 18 | 15 |
Pass DVOA | 33.4% | 4 | 14.4% | 26 | 22 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 8.7% | 25 | 5.0% | 28 | 3 |
Rush EPA | -0.030 | 14 | 0.007 | 25 | 11 |
Rush SR | 35.6% | 29 | 43.7% | 22 | -7 |
Rush DVOA | 4.9% | 10 | 8.1% | 30 | 20 |
Adj. Line Yards | 4.30 | 22 | 5.19 | 31 | 9 |
Yards per Play | 6.3 | 2 | 5.9 | 25 | 23 |
Points per Game | 26.1 | 5 | 18.6 | 6 | 1 |
Giants at Seahawks: Quarterback Statistics
Data from RBs Don't Matter, Pro Football Reference, ESPN and NFElo. Abbreviations: Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A), Adjusted Total Quarterback Rating (QBR), Quarterback Elo Value (QB Elo). 2022 data: Min. 112 plays for EPA + CPOE. Min. 14 pass attempts per scheduled game for AY/A. Min. 20 action plays per game for QBR.
2022: Daniel Jones
Metric | Output | Rank |
EPA + CPOE | 0.107 | 8 |
AY/A | 6.6 | 20 |
QBR | 62.7 | 6 |
ATS Value vs. Avg. | 0.5 | 14 |
Career: Daniel Jones
- AY/A: 6.3
- QB Elo per Game: -24.4
2022: Geno Smith
Metric | Output | Rank |
EPA + CPOE | 0.16 | 3 |
AY/A | 8.4 | 4 |
QBR | 66.8 | 4 |
ATS Value vs. Avg. | 1.0 | 11 |
Career: Geno Smith
- AY/A: 6.3
- QB Elo per Game: -45.3
Key Matchup: Giants Rush Offense vs. Seahawks Rush Defnse
We all know what the Giants want to do in this game. They want to run the ball. They literally run more than they pass (52.8% rush rate), which is hard to do in today's NFL - but I guess that's what you do when you have Daniel Jones at quarterback and Saquon Barkley at running back.
Barkley leads the league with 143 carries, and we see the Barkley-heavy Giants backfield as having a significant edge over the Seahawks defensive line and linebacking unit.
Rank | RBs | Opp Defense | DL Rank | LBs Rank | RB-DL Edge | RB-LB Edge |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | NYG | SEA | 26 | 19 | 24 | 17 |
And I canât believe Iâm saying this, but we also shouldnât overlook Jones as a running threat: He has had six carries in every game this year. Among all quarterbacks, heâs No. 4 in rush attempts (58) and No. 3 in rush yards (343).
Last week, he and Barkley both had 100-plus yards rushing.
The Giants will be without RT Evan Neal (knee) and maybe LG Ben Bredeson (knee) â but neither has a big edge in run blocking over backups RT Tyre Phillips and LG Joshua Ezeudu.
As mediocre as the Giants are on offense - 45.5% success rate (No. 15), 5.2 yards per play (No. 20) - they've been good running the ball, ranking No. 3 in rush EPA per play (0.030), whereas the Seahawks defense has been average against the run (-0.033 rush EPA, No. 18).
I have the Giants power rated ahead of the Seahawks, primarily because I trust HC Brian Daboll more than HC Pete Carroll as a situational decision maker. And as strong as the home-field advantage is at Lumen Field, no team has a three-point HFA in todayâs NFL.
So if the Giants can run the ball effectively against the Seahawks, they have a good chance to cover.
Best Line: Giants +3 (+100, Caesars)
First Recommended: Giants +2.5 (-104)
Personal Projection: Giants +2
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.