NFL Week 8 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (2022)
The NFL is a bettor’s dream, offering a boatload of wagering options. One of the best betting markets is the NFL Week 8 player prop bet market. They are an opportunity to bet on a player’s stats, such as passing yards, rushing yards, receptions or touchdowns. They have perfect crossover appeal for fantasy sports gamers dipping their toes into the betting world. Savvy gamblers wisely check many books for the best prop odds, and the following suggestions are my favorite props after scanning multiple sportsbooks.
So, let’s look at some NFL Week 8 player prop bets.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
View the best player prop bets for this week’s slate with our NFL Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Kirk Cousins Over 271.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Kirk Cousins has passed for more than 271.5 yards in three of six games, sporting a per-game average of 250.3 yards and a median outcome of 266.5 passing yards. As a result, the veteran quarterback isn’t an apparently great selection for his passing yardage over prop.
However, he’s featured here because he’s a world-beater in domes and has a good matchup. According to Pro-Football-Reference, Cousins averages 274.1 passing yards per game in domes as a member of the Vikings. That’s a noteworthy sample of 39 games.
And, again, the matchup is good. According to Football Outsiders, the Cardinals are 27th in pass defense Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). They’ve also allowed the eighth-most passing yards per game (258.6).
Minnesota’s offensive tendencies are also excellent for Cousins’ yardage outlook. First, according to Football Outsiders, the Vikings play at the 10th-fastest situation-neutral pace. Second, per numberFire, Cousins has attempted 145 passes in neutral game scripts, and non-quarterbacks have attempted only 85 runs. Thus, the Vikings have an uptempo and pass-heavy offense. Finally, FantasyPros projects Cousins to pass for 272.5 yards, putting him over his total at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Raheem Mostert Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
The Dolphins are 3.5-point favorites. That’s ideal for Miami’s chances for a good game script. And, of course, a good game script is optimal for Miami’s rushing attack. Additionally, Miami’s rushing attack has been synonymous with Raheem Mostert.
The veteran running back has taken a stranglehold on Miami’s backfield. According to FantasyPros, Mostert has a 61% snap share, has played at least 62% of Miami’s snaps in four straight and reached at least a 69% snap share three times in the previous four weeks.
Mostert averages a modest 55.4 rushing yards per game. Yet, he’s rushed for at least 69 yards in three of his last four games. Moreover, he’s handled at least 14 carries in the previous four weeks. Mostert’s standard workload lately should be enough to eclipse his rushing yardage prop against Detroit’s pathetic run defense.
The Lions are 29th in rush defense DVOA and allow the second-most rushing yards per game (162.8). Running backs have been highly efficient against Detroit, too. Per Pro-Football-Reference, running backs have averaged 5.41 yards per carry against them this season.
Since Week 4, Mostert has handled 15, 18, 14 and 16 rush attempts. Even if he merely hits 14 attempts, doing so and averaging the 5.41 yards per carry that backs have gashed the Lions for would put him at 75.74 rushing yards. Finally, FantasyPros projects Mostert for 73.1 rushing yards. Therefore, betting over 67.5 rushing yards for Mostert is enticing.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.