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NFL Week 9 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Longshot Bets (2023)

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Last week, we correctly predicted that the New York Jets and New York Giants would combine for fewer than 24.5 points at a price of +466. Elsewhere, Gus Edwards and DeAndre Hopkins each scored three touchdowns, while rookie Will Levis threw four touchdowns in his NFL debut.

Here are the best longshot bets of Week 9 of the NFL season.

Best NFL Week 9 Longshot Bets

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Cleveland Browns to Win Every Quarter (+1075)

It's all but confirmed that Clayton Tune will be the starter for the Arizona Cardinals this weekend against the Browns. Tune has thrown just one pass in his career, and he will be going up against the best pass defense in football in his first start.

Without a threatening running game, there is a good chance that the Cardinals won't score more than 10 points in this game. We don't see a prop at the time of writing, but we'd consider taking the Browns to win in a shutout.

Of course, this prop is reliant on the Browns' offense. We don't know whether PJ Walker or Deshaun Watson will start Week 9. But we do know that the Cardinals have given up at least 20 points in every game this season. If the Browns score 20 on Sunday, it will just be about spreading it out over four quarters. With a price over +1000, it's certainly worth the risk.

Cincinnati Bengals -13.5 (+424)

Since Week 5, there has been no question as to who the better team is between the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals. The Bills are 2-2 during that stretch, with an ugly loss to the New England Patriots and an even uglier win over the New York Giants.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have won three in a row, including two road games against the Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers by 14 points each. Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, and the rest of the offense are starting to click. They've also scored 30 points or more in two of their last three games.

The Bills have allowed 25 or more in two of their last four games. In the two games that the defense played well, they were up against the 27th- and 32nd-ranked scoring offenses. If the Bengals exit Sunday's game with a decisive victory, we will not be remotely surprised.

Jalen Hurts 2+ Interceptions (+475)

Hurts has already thrown eight interceptions this season and this week, he’ll take on a defense that is averaging the fourth-most interceptions in the league.

Hurts already has two games this season with two or more interceptions. Both of those performances came against teams that put constant pressure on him. He has one of the best offensive lines in football, but the Dallas Cowboys' pass rush can get to him often in this game.

The Cowboys have picked off all but two quarterbacks they've faced this season. Three of the quarterbacks they've gone against have thrown at least two picks. If this is a close game, as many expect it to be, then Hurts may try to make a few too many tight throws while under pressure. With all the mistakes he's already made this year, this is a great price.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:


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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.

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