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NFL Week 9 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)

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NFL Week 9 is here and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the Week 9 Sunday afternoon slate.

Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Without further ado, let's dive into the best NFL Week 9 Same Game Parlay bets.

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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 9)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook unless otherwise specified

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Washington Commanders at New York Giants

Washington is now 6-2 after pulling out the win last week on a dramatic Hail Mary touchdown. Jayden Daniels was questionable coming in but ended up playing the whole game as the Commanders put up 481 total yards of offense. Daniels and Co. are averaging 29.5 points per game (third in the NFL) and 396.3 total yards per game (third). The Commanders are now 6-1-1 against the spread (ATS) overall, including 4-0 ATS as favorites, with the third-best point differential in the league (+69).

On the other side, we have a New York team that continues to slide. It's now lost three straight games by double digits with a -58 point differential this season, the second-worst in the NFC. The Giants have also been notably terrible at home. They're 0-4 straight up and 0-3-1 ATS at home so far with three of the losses coming by 10+ points. 

Through eight games, Daniel Jones has nearly as many interceptions (five) as touchdowns thrown (six). The Giants have some talented pass-catchers in Malik Nabers and Wan'Dale Robinson, but the offense still struggles to string together drives. Breakout rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. has made the attack more dynamic, but he's questionable after suffering a concussion on Monday night. 

This spread has moved to over a field goal, so let's buy it back a little to get the Commanders at -2.5 on the alt line. Two of Washington's wins this season have come by three points exactly, including the last time they faced the Giants. In that game, the Commanders outgained New York 425 to 304 and easily could've won by more but settled for seven field goals. 

On that note, Austin Seibert has been a trustworthy kicker for Washington and a key to their success. He's gone 23-for-25 on field goals this season (92%) with at least two made in all but one game. The only two misses he's had were from 50+ yards. Otherwise, he's been automatic from 20-49 yards. The Commanders have struggled to finish drives in the red zone, so relying on Seibert is a strategy the offense is using right now. 

Though we're backing Washington, Nabers can still have a good game here. The Commanders’ defense has benefited from playing multiple weaker passing offenses so far. Against top wideouts in better attacks, though, the Washington secondary has allowed some big yardages. Check out those performances:

  • Zay Flowers (Ravens): 132 yards
  • Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals): 118 yards
  • Nabers (Giants): 127 yards
  • Chris Godwin (Buccaneers): 83 yards

Notice that Nabers already owns one of those top performances. Let's run it back in this week's rematch. The rookie standout had 10 receptions on 18 targets for 127 yards in that first meeting. He also has 70+ receiving yards in four out of six games this year with 66 in another. Nabers is the clear top option for Jones in the passing game, averaging 12.2 targets per contest. 

Parlay Odds: +440

Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens

After the Ravens got upset by Cleveland last week, this is a great time to back John Harbaugh's squad. Baltimore should bounce back at home and start the game strong. Lamar Jackson's status appeared to be in question but he should be good to go. Denver's defense has been solid this year but the Ravens will be by far its toughest test and it could take a whole half until it makes adjustments. 

Meanwhile, this is a tough spot for the Broncos. They handily beat a pair of bad teams in the Panthers and Saints in their past two games, but now have to face a hungry Ravens squad on the road. Plus, it's a cross-country road trip for an early kickoff (11 a.m. MT). Can we blame the Broncos if they come out a bit flat in the first half? It may also take Bo Nix and the offense a half or more to get going against the Baltimore defense. 

Take the Ravens to cover the first half. The full-game line is also intriguing, but a backdoor cover is very real with a large spread (-9.5). Baltimore has been elite against the first-half spread with Jackson at quarterback. In his career, he's 54-29-2 ATS in the first half as the most profitable quarterback in NFL history against the first-half spread. 

Considering the large spread, the Broncos should be throwing it a ton while likely trailing by multiple scores at times - especially in the second half. It's a favorable game script for Nix to rack up passing yards. Plus, the Ravens’ defense is elite against the run and regularly funnels opposing offensive production to the air. Baltimore is allowing a league-high 311.6 passing yards per game to quarterbacks (before sacks). The defense has given up at least 269 passing yards to all but one opposing signal-caller this season. 

The Broncos don't have the best passing offense, but Nix has shown improvement as the season has gone on. Getting to 200+ passing yards is a low bar in this matchup. Nix has 200+ yards in five out of eight games this year while averaging 32.6 pass attempts per contest. 

Finish off this SGP with a pair of Derrick Henry props. The Ravens’ workhorse back had a "quiet" afternoon last week with 11 carries for 73 yards. Expect a much bigger workload this week, especially with Jackson being less than 100%. Henry is averaging 157.7 rushing yards per game over the past six contests and has 80+ yards in six out of eight games overall this year. 

Parlay Odds: +405

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

With Tua Tagovailoa back last week, the Dolphins offense looked more like itself. Miami scored a season-high 27 points with 377 total yards for arguably its best performance of the year. We should feel a lot better about the unit moving forward as long as Tagovailoa stays healthy. At full strength, the offense is as dangerous as any in the league with speed and playmakers to match up with anyone. 

The Bills are also rolling offensively right now. They have scored 31 and 34 points in their past two blowout wins and are now averaging 28.8 points per game (fifth). Buffalo has also put up 34+ points in all three home games. It's right on par with last year when the Bills scored 29.5 points per game at home. 

Instead of picking a side against the spread, let's just take the over and root for scoring of any kind. This AFC East matchup has been high-scoring in recent years. The past three Dolphins-Bills games in Buffalo have hit the over with at least 60 total points scored in each. 

The Bills have had issues covering running backs in the passing game this season. They're allowing the most receiving yards per game (54.3) to opposing running backs in the whole league. Enter De'Von Achane, who is one of the best pass-catching backs out there. Achane has 50, 69 and 76 receiving yards in the three games Tagovailoa has played. That's no coincidence. One of those even came against Buffalo, when he had seven catches. 

The Buffalo offense can seem a bit crowded, especially in the receiving corps, but Khalil Shakir has emerged as a trustworthy pass-catcher for Josh Allen. Last week, he had nine catches on 10 targets for 107 yards to lead the team in all categories. He also had seven receptions for 65 yards the game prior. Shakir has 5+ catches in four of the past six games and his role as the short-yardage guy for Allen is a big part of the offense. 

Parlay Odds: +455

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals

The Raiders and Bengals are both coming off of home losses and sit at 2-6 and 3-5, respectively, heading into this week. The spread and total for this matchup are tough to make predictions on with both squads having significant question marks. Instead, let's focus on a few player props to round out this same-game parlay. 

Despite Cincinnati's poor record, Joe Burrow has been one of the league's best quarterbacks this season. He has a 70.3% completion rate (fourth), a 106.5 quarterback rating (fifth), and an impressive 15:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Burrow is also averaging 249.1 passing yards per game. Though he's only thrown for 250+ yards in three out of eight games, this matchup suggests he can eclipse the mark this weekend. 

The Las Vegas defense may be only allowing 189.1 passing yards per game, but it's only faced a few good offenses so far. When the Raiders faced top-tier quarterbacks, they gave up 262 and 247 yards to Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson, respectively. The secondary is very beatable and Joe Burrow should have his way, especially if Tee Higgins returns to the lineup.

With Zack Moss doubtful this week, Chase Brown is locked into carries as the lead back. Even if Moss was playing, Brown has taken over the lead ball-carrier role recently. Over the past four games, Brown has 49 rush attempts for 175 yards compared to Moss' 26 attempts for 55 yards. Brown is an explosive runner, averaging 4.6 yards per carry (YPC) this season. The game script should favor him to rack up second-half rushing yards. 

Let's wrap it up with a Raiders prop. There's not much to get excited about on the Las Vegas offense right now, but Jakobi Meyers is a lone bright spot. With Davante Adams traded away, the veteran wideout is one of the only reliable targets for whoever has been under center for the Raiders. Meyers has 50+ receiving yards in four out of six games with 49 in another, averaging 54.2 per game. He should see plenty of targets once again with the offense likely throwing more while trailing. 

Parlay Odds: +425 (on BetMGM)

Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns

When the Chargers are involved, counting on low-scoring games has been a profitable strategy. The under is 6-1 in their games this season with fewer than 40 total points scored in each. Jesse Minter's defense is holding opponents to a league-low 13.0 points per game while allowing 305.4 total yards per game (eighth). 

Meanwhile, the Los Angeles offense is a run-focused attack and prefers to slow games down. The Chargers averaging just 18.9 points per game (25th) with Justin Herbert in a game-manager role rather than stretching the field. The attack is built on the run and still lacks playmakers in the passing game. The Browns’ defense has also allowed 21 or fewer points in five of its last seven games and is improving as the season has gone on. 

Even on the road here, L.A. should control the flow of this one to limit scoring on both sides. This total is inflated a bit because the Browns’ offense "exploded" for 29 points last week. Jameis Winston was impressive in his first start of 2024, but he also got to face Baltimore's pass-friendly defense. The offense should regress in a much tougher test against a Chargers defense allowing only 193.4 pass yards per game (ninth). 

We all know Winston is prone to throwing picks and it's only a matter of time until we get a down performance. Now he has to face a Chargers pass defense that has just as many interceptions as touchdowns allowed this season (six apiece). Plus, with Nick Chubb rounding into form, the Cleveland offense may want to lean on the run more this week - especially since the Chargers are worse against the run than the pass. 

On that note, let's turn to a Chubb prop. In his second game back from injury last week, Chubb saw 16 carries for 52 yards while logging 61% of offensive snaps. He's being ramped up to the bell-cow workload we're used to seeing from a guy who was one of the league's top running backs before getting hurt last year. 

The Chargers are allowing 4.8 yards per carry (25th) and they've given up at least 60 rushing yards to an opposing lead back in five of the past six games. The above prop is a low bar for Chubb. He has at least 50 rushing yards in 31 of his past 34 games going back to the start of the 2021 season. 

Although we're backing Chubb and the under here, we can also add in a Browns receiving prop. Cedric Tillman and Jerry Jeudy may be the popular names to target from this Cleveland wide receiver group but don't overlook Elijah Moore. The speedy slot wideout has six and eight catches in the past two games. Last week with Winston at quarterback, Moore saw a team-high 12 targets. He's a safety valve in the passing game and he could be even more important this week with David Njoku banged up. 

Parlay Odds: +525

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

It's do-or-die time for Dallas after losing back-to-back games to the Lions and 49ers. The Cowboys now sit at 3-4 on the season and should be hungry to get back into the win column this weekend, especially ahead of a big divisional matchup next week vs. Philadelphia. Interestingly enough, the Cowboys are 3-1 on the road with a pair of outright wins as road underdogs. 

Meanwhile, Atlanta could be in for a letdown after getting a road victory at Tampa Bay last week with another divisional matchup at New Orleans on deck. The Falcons are 4-0 against NFC South opponents and all four of those games have come in the past five games. They've already built a sizable lead in the division and have a chance at basically locking it up with a win against the Saints next week. 

Two games ago, we saw a similar letdown and/or lookahead at home from Atlanta when they lost by 20 to Seattle. That was sandwiched in between two divisional matchups as well. The Falcons have benefited from facing these weaker NFC South foes but are just 1-3 when playing non-divisional opponents this year. Plus, they needed a last-minute touchdown to pull off that one win against the Eagles back in Week 2. 

Admittedly, there isn't much to get excited about when it comes to this Dallas squad. The defense can't stop anyone right now while the offense is way too reliant on one playmaker in CeeDee Lamb. Even so, the pure motivational and situational angles say take the Cowboys. On the road after a loss, the Cowboys are 11-5 ATS with Dak Prescott at quarterback and 14-7 ATS under Mike McCarthy overall. 

Even though we're backing Dallas in this one, it's impossible to ignore Bijan Robinson's combined rushing and receiving yards prop. The Cowboys are giving up 154.6 rushing yards per game (31st) and have allowed at least 80 rushing yards to an opposing back in four of the last six games. Robinson, meanwhile, is averaging 98.7 total yards per contest with 100+ in five out of eight games. He should see plenty of touches in a close game. 

On the Cowboys side of things, Jalen Tolbert has emerged as a solid No. 2 WR behind Lamb. He has 40+ receiving yards in five of the last six games while averaging 53.7 receiving yards per game in this stretch. Tolbert should see softer coverage with the Falcons’ secondary focusing on Lamb. Atlanta has allowed at least 40 yards to multiple pass-catchers in five straight games, so there should be enough room for Tolbert to get his. 

Parlay Odds: +575

New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans 

Welcome to the least-watchable game of the Sunday slate as the 1-6 Titans host the 2-6 Patriots. Unless you're a fan of either team, the only reasons people will be interested in this are for betting and fantasy purposes. On that note, let's lock in an SGP for this barnburner of a matchup. 

If the Patriots or Titans are involved, the under is immediately in play. Tennessee is averaging 17.1 points per game while New England is putting up just 15.5 points per game. These are two of the worst offenses in the league and are now facing off against each other. Drake Maye and Will Levis are both questionable, so we could see Jacoby Brissett vs. Mason Rudolph. 

The Titans may have allowed 52 points to Detroit last week, but the defense has been a lot better than that for most of the season. Tennessee is still allowing a league-low 265.4 total yards per game with the best pass defense (151.6 yards per game). Don't overthink this and take the under in what should be a very low-scoring game. The winning team will likely score only 17 or 20 points. 

Tack on the under for the second half as well. The Titans are averaging a league-worst 6.1 second-half points per game while the Patriots are scoring only 8.0 points per game in the last two quarters. In that vein, add in the first half to be the game's highest-scoring half. Tennessee, especially, has shown a tendency to score earlier and crawl to the finish line. 

The Patriots are also worth backing as underdogs here. The Titans haven't proven they should be favored over anyone, even against the lowly Patriots. Tennessee's only win this season came against the Tyler Huntley-led Dolphins back in Week 4. Otherwise, the Titans are 0-6 ATS in their six losses. They've lost as favorites twice and have suffered deficits of 24 and 38 points in the past two games. 

New England, admittedly, doesn't offer much confidence. Still, the Patriots are coming off a win over the Jets last week and could carry that momentum into this game. If we're getting more than a field goal for either team, it's hard to pass up in a complete coin-flip game. The Titans are favored because they're at home, but it may not matter much at all in this matchup.

Parlay Odds: +525

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Derek Carr is back for New Orleans after missing the past three games. The offense had looked horrendous in the past two games but Carr's return is a massive upgrade over Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener. Although the Saints still have multiple injuries on offense, this is a soft matchup against Carolina. 

The Panthers continue to be an automatic fade team. Their defense is allowing a league-high 33.9 points per game while the offense is averaging just 15.5 points per game (29th). In turn, Carolina's -147 point differential is by far the NFL's worst - by 71 points, to be exact. The Panthers have lost five straight games by double-digit points and all seven of their losses have come by 10+ points. 

Although this is a big spread, take the Saints to cover. We saw this matchup in Week 1 and New Orleans won by 37 points. Since then, the Panthers have only gotten worse. The Saints went through a tough stretch as well, but Carr's return puts those vibes in a better place. Add in the first-half spread as well for a full fade of Carolina.

Carolina has been especially bad at stopping the run. The defense is giving up 154.6 rushing yards per game (tied for the most in the NFL) with 14 rush touchdowns allowed through eight games. The Panthers have also allowed 70+ rushing yards and a touchdown to an opposing rusher in all but two games this year. Alvin Kamara has had some underwhelming yardage totals in recent games, but the offense should open up more with Carr back. Plus, he could see a large workload with Kendre Miller out and Jamaal Williams doubtful in this Saints backfield. 

New Orleans will also likely use Taysom Hill as a runner more often with Miller and Williams out. Hill returned from injury himself last week and saw four carries for 20 yards. He now has 97 rushing yards over four games this season, but that role should increase. Plus, the offense may opt to go run-heavy to protect Carr, especially in the second half with a lead. 

Parlay Odds: +500 (on BetMGM)

Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles

Despite the Jaguars putting up 27 points last game, we should be concerned about the offense this week. Just when it looked like Trevor Lawrence and Co. were figuring things out and getting back on track, Jacksonville was dealt several injuries to the receiving corps. Christian Kirk suffered a season-ending injury while Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis are both questionable to play this week. 

The Jaguars' offensive line also has some notable moving parts. They traded away tackle Cam Robinson while starting guards Ezra Cleveland and Brandon Scherff are both questionable. We could see Lawrence throwing to a very shorthanded wide receiver group behind a banged-up offensive line on the road against an Eagles defense trending up. Philadelphia has allowed 17 or fewer points in four of its past five games. The defense has gotten much better play from its cornerbacks and pass-rushers in recent weeks than earlier this season. 

If you've watched the Eagles at all this season, you know all about their first-quarter struggles. Philadelphia still has yet to score any points in the first quarter through seven games. The offense continues to come out slow and takes a full half to get going. Meanwhile, the Jaguars also have a poor first-quarter offense, averaging 2.5 points per game in the opening 15 minutes this season (28th). Six of their eight games have seen seven points or fewer scored in the first quarter. 

Finish off this SGP with an Eagles player prop. The Jacksonville defense is allowing 284.0 receiving yards per game (third-most). This secondary has struggled all season, so expect both A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to be productive in the matchup. We'll stick with Smith, who has at least 64 yards in five out of six games this year. 

Parlay Odds: +445

Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals

The Bears were on the wrong end of last week's improbable Hail Mary touchdown by Jayden Daniels and the Commanders. It was a brutal way to lose after Chicago took the lead late. The Bears are now 0-3 on the road this year but all three losses have been by six points or fewer. They've been right there in each game and it's only a matter of time until Caleb Williams puts together a good road outing. 

Meanwhile, the Cardinals pulled off a one-point road win at Miami last week. This is now two straight victories for Arizona, which is an extremely very rare occurrence with Kyler Murray. The Cardinals hadn't won back-to-back games with Murray at quarterback since the 2021 season - spanning 11 straight losses in games right after a win. Can they win three in a row considering that poor history? 

The Cardinals' 4-4 record could easily look a lot worse, too. Three of their four wins have come by two points or fewer. Each of those wins also featured a game-winning field goal either as time expired or in the final minutes. Arizona has survived so far but it's bound to lose a close game. 

As we back the Bears, count on D'Andre Swift to play a key role offensively. Swift has come alive lately after a slow start to the season. He just exploded for 129 rushing yards last week and had 91, 73 and 93 yards in the three games prior. Swift will get a favorable matchup with Arizona allowing 140.9 rushing yards per game (26th). 

Murray exploded for 307 passing yards last week, but that was an anomaly. He is averaging just 204.8 yards per game this season with just as many games with under 200 yards than over. In terms of the above prop, he's been under 214.5 yards in six out of eight games. The Bears, meanwhile, are allowing 219.7 pass yards to opposing quarterbacks and have more interceptions (seven) than pass touchdowns allowed (five).

Parlay Odds: +435 

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

This late-afternoon matchup between Detroit and Green Bay is arguably the best divisional showdown of the weekend. The 6-2 Packers are slight home underdogs to the 6-1 Lions with first place up for grabs in the NFC North. Instead of picking a side, let's focus on the total to begin this SGP. 

After putting up 52 points last week, the Lions continue to score in bunches every week. They're now averaging a league-high 33.4 points per game and have scored at least 31 in four straight. Detroit is also averaging 385.1 total yards per game (sixth). This offense is on another level right now and regularly forces teams to keep pace offensively. 

The Packers are certainly up to the task, averaging 27.0 points (sixth) and 388.0 total yards (fifth) per contest. There's some uncertainty surrounding Jordan Love's status, but he looks likely to play after limited practices this week. Meanwhile, the Detroit defense has been shaky recently. The Lions gave up 29 points to both Seattle and Minnesota in their two most recent tough matchups. Plus, they just allowed 416 total yards to Tennessee last week as Aidan Hutchinson's absence loomed large. 

The over is 4-2 in the past six Lions-Packers matchups over the previous three seasons. There have also been 50+ combined points scored in six of their last eight meetings. This year's first divisional battle has the makings of another high-scoring game. 

Let's also bank on that scoring to start early and often as we back the first half to be the highest-scoring half. This has been the case in five out of seven games for Detroit with the Lions averaging a league-best 20.0 points per game in the first half. It's also happened in six out of eight games for Green Bay as the Packers are scoring 14.6 first-half points per game. 

We successfully backed Sam LaPorta's yards prop last week and we're running it back. With Jameson Williams suspended, LaPorta should have a bigger pass-catching role in the Lions’ offense. Last game, the tight end had six catches for 48 yards and a touchdown without Williams. He now has 40+ yards in four out of seven games with 36 in another. The Packers, meanwhile, are allowing 59.9 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the league's sixth-highest mark. 

Parlay Odds: +525

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks 

After winning two weeks ago, the Seahawks came crashing back down to Earth in Week 8. Seattle lost by 21 points at home to Buffalo and have now lost four of their past five games with each coming by nine or more points. That recent win against the Falcons was nice, but it may have said more about Atlanta's inconsistencies than the Seahawks figuring things out. Last week's blowout loss to the Bills was a good reminder Seattle can't be trusted.

Meanwhile, the Rams are coming off a home upset win over Minnesota last Thursday night. With a victory this weekend, Los Angeles would be alive in the NFC West. That seemed very unlikely a few weeks ago when it looked like the Rams would sell at the trade deadline. There's now a different vibe with Sean McVay's squad. Every team in the division has a .500 record or worse and an L.A. win this weekend would put them at 4-4 as well. It's a good time to buy the Rams in a crucial divisional matchup.

Seattle's rush defense is a weakness, allowing 148.4 rushing yards per game (29th) and 4.9 YPC (28th). The Seahawks have given up 100+ rushing yards to four straight opposing lead backs. They also allowed 118 and 177 combined yards to the Lions and Patriots backfield tandems, respectively, in two other games. Williams, meanwhile, has been a stud over the past month. He's averaging 91.6 rushing yards on 21.8 carries over the past five contests with game totals of 97, 76, 102, 94 and 89. Williams has also scored a touchdown in every game this season. 

Kupp returned from injury last week and immediately saw eight targets from Stafford. He finished with five receptions for 51 yards and a touchdown despite playing just 58% of the snaps. We should see Kupp resume his larger role in the offense now that he's healthy and the Rams presumably holding onto him past next week's trade deadline. If he does get moved, though, it's an added reason to back a big game in potentially his last game with the Rams. Don't forget when Kupp had 14 catches on a whopping 21 targets back in Week 1. 

The Seahawks have allowed six or more receptions to an opposing receiver in four of the past five games. The defense has particularly had issues covering possession pass-catchers with guys like Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Amon-Ra St. Brown all catching at least six passes in recent games vs. Seattle. With Puka Nacua questionable after hurting his knee in practice this week, Kupp could be even more of a go-to option for Stafford. 

Parlay Odds: +410

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